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On the doorstep of winter....it's coming! Pattern with banter


weathafella

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Have to love the mid-December look on the weeklies. Makes sense given the way the ensembles start to look good at the end of their run....reload potential is pretty high I think. Hopefully we can get that to verify more or less.

yep should be fun times, your boys are back in this game, great games today. TDay as it should be, great food, family, friends, and sweet Euro runs.
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I wonder if we end up with something hugging the coast next week. Maybe some sort of a compromise with the Euro and GFS. It's getting to the point that you have to weigh the EC ensembles into the picture....just be careful not to fall in love with them quite yet. It does appear the GFS is not quite the powerful low, despite it's farther west look.

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I wonder if we end up with something hugging the coast next week. Maybe some sort of a compromise with the Euro and GFS. It's getting to the point that you have to weigh the EC ensembles into the picture....just be careful not to fall in love with them quite yet. It does appear the GFS is not quite the powerful low, despite it's farther west look.

PF would be doing naked snow angels if it was a hugger

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Have to love the mid-December look on the weeklies. Makes sense given the way the ensembles start to look good at the end of their run....reload potential is pretty high I think. Hopefully we can get that to verify more or less.

What a difference from last years outlook at this time

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Just wondering which model gives in and starts to key on a specific vortmax. I saw a local met on air go for a miss and mention maybe some snow showers over SE MA. Granted he admitted it's a shaky call...a little gutsy imo.

Right now, You may be on with the hugger scenario, I would rather see it key on vort 2, That would give us a better shot at a coastal, Amping the 1st wave is going to want to cut or be a runner

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Right now, You may be on with the hugger scenario, I would rather see it key on vort 2, That would give us a better shot at a coastal, Amping the 1st wave is going to want to cut or be a runner

I think a bunch of euro members might key in on the second s/w given how they blew up just to the east of us.

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Euro op gives you nothing, and euro ensembles aren't very wet at the moment, so there is work to do if you want a snowstorm.

There is also the slight problem of this being 144 hours out in terms of making a call for a snowstorm.

The 2nd wave (if that is the ultimate outcome) slows down the ETA of this system by a day.

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Was this what you were hoping for last night?

Yeah Will commented on it last night when the euro came out, and it was still on the table on the 12z too. It's a fine line between wanting enough confluence to keeping the storm offshore, but not too weak, or it's chairlift genocide for WaWa.

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