Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Yea that's the reload possible. weak PNA, Aleutian ridge buildup, and -NAO. sweet, next 15 -25 days should be pretty interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Is this the re-load time? Looks to turn a bit mild there after day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 sweet, next 15 -25 days should be pretty interesting. So many mixed signals... plus the models flop every run... GFS in the lala land has been looking atrocious at times. Hopefully this is not the extent of the cold air in the U.S. on December 8th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Is this the re-load time? Looks to turn a bit mild there after day 10. No it may be more towards the 6-10th period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 No it may be more towards the 6-10th period. Ahhh ok, yeah I just re-read the posts above... day 11-15 not day 8-10. I like BTV's discussion regarding the upcoming system... quite the spread. THE ENVELOPE OF FORECAST SFC CYCLONE TRACKS FOR THIS PORTION OF THE EXTENDED ALSO REMAINS QUITE LARGE...RANGING FROM WESTERN NEW YORK TO NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA. WITH THE LARGE SPREAD IN THE PATTERN...HAVE NOT STRAYED TOO FAR FROM CONTINUITY FROM THE INHERITED FORECAST WHICH KEEPS CHANCE POPS AND TEMPS CLOSER TO NORMAL GOING THROUGH THE REST OF THE EXTENDED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 what's up turkeys? family just left the house. good times. libations were had. stuffed. enjoy the rest of the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Is PF the new Debbie Downer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Lucky Texans. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Lakes cutter incoming on the 18z.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Is PF the new Debbie Downer Maybe realist? I don't mean to sound like a debbie downer, I'm just actually trying to objectively look at it for operations purposes. Just saying that every storm and time period looks cold and snowy isn't really going to accomplish anything for me. You know that I would love it to be an epic winter...but I like to know where the "threats" are out there. And by "threats" I'm not talking about snow, I'm talking about threats to current snow on the ground and open terrain (ie. rain/warmth). It can mean the difference between one week making snow on primarily existing terrain to ensure depths are deep enough to deal with a week-long warm spell, or is there a high enough probability of cold/snow occurring, so we go with a dust and run program to open as much terrain as possible. But if you do that, you are vulnerable. And that's where I like to look at the cold and snow progs with skepticism. Cold and snow is the best possible outcome and is business as usual, but we still need to identify time periods that may be a threat down the road. I guess I'm just looking at it from a different point of view, rather than just trying to go cheerleading for snow/cold all the time. You guys are looking for cold/snow... I'm actually trying to look for periods of warmth/rain (but I obviously don't want that, I just need to identify potentials). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 EURO ens bone chilling next week, make tons of snow. Stowe the rich man's playground can afford it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Not really a cutter...more like a jumper on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 GFS beginning to get a clue,PF can put the last wishes letter away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Not really a cutter...more like a jumper on the GFS. Odd track taking the low right over Maine, Don't see that to often, Actually, It goes up the St Lawrence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Odd track taking the low right over Maine, Don't see that to often highly unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 highly unlikely Very unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Very unlikely cape cod canal runner, your buddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 EURO ens bone chilling next week, make tons of snow. Stowe the rich man's playground can afford it. This week you can ski 3 days for $99 (3 out of 4 so you get a flex day)...there'll be another 3 for $99 deal sometime in December prior to X-Mas too (and others throughout the season). Everyone talks about the walk-up high ticket rate but you're an idiot if you just show up to any mountain and pay the listed price, haha. There's always ways around that. Also, I'm pretty sure if you reload your Evolution Stowe card ($5 for the card) online you get $72 lift ticket prices (the same price as "cheap" Mad River Glen) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Odd track taking the low right over Maine, Don't see that to often, Actually, It goes up the St Lawrence My guess is if that were to happen, it would snake across SNE into the Gulf of Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 This week you can ski 3 days for $99 (3 out of 4 so you get a flex day)...there'll be another 3 for $99 deal sometime in December prior to X-Mas too (and others throughout the season). Everyone talks about the walk-up high ticket rate but you're an idiot if you just show up to any mountain and pay the listed price, haha. There's always ways around that. Also, I'm pretty sure if you reload your Evolution Stowe card ($5 for the card) online you get $72 lift ticket prices (the same price as "cheap" Mad River Glen) cool how much for weeks worth of ski stay midweek? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Very unlikely I'll take the whiff to the south please, lol. That looks like an inch or two of snow thats promptly washed away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 cool how much for weeks worth of ski stay midweek? No idea... you're deals at Sunday River sound pretty solid. Stowe has relatively limited lodging (the big hotel and that's about it) so its not like there are hundreds of condos the resort is trying to fill on off-peak times. For a place like SR or Killington (any older ASC mountain) that has tons of resort operated lodging/condos everywhere, they probably have the advantage on the ski/stay packages because a warm bed is better than a cold one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Weeklies have a Aleutian/Kamchatka ridge with a +PNA look over the west with nice negative height anomalies here. Week 4 gets messy, perhaps tied to the tropics becoming unfavorable as forecasted. It has an Aleutian ridge with a GOA trough. it then has a weak nrn Plains ridge with weak looking lower height anomalies overhead at 500mb. NAO is sort of neutral. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Weeklies have a Aleutian/Kamchatka ridge with a +PNA look over the west with nice negative height anomalies here. Good news.... wish I saw more ECMWF data. All I get to see is the GFS with its scarf hanging from a chairlift long range outlooks of the 0C H85 line straddling the international border from Montana to Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 PF there is a model site here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 cape cod canal runner, your buddy My guess is if that were to happen, it would snake across SNE into the Gulf of Maine. Yeah, That is a wintery track for sure here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 You should get Stowe to pay for Accuweather Pro, very cheap and full of Euro data. Wunderground also has 3 hr data to 180 which to me is max usefulness anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Powder how the heck do u get the 3 for99 bucks. (What days!) Including wknd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 384 hour 18z GFS snowstorm. KFS says lock it in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Gettin my pre game on, Down to 35.8F here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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