Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,614
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Vesuvius
    Newest Member
    Vesuvius
    Joined

December 2012 General Discussion


Guru Of Reason

Recommended Posts

Just in the last few hours Weather Channel has upped tomorrow's predicted high here in Springfield--to 77! Crazy. And they are still referring to "near record high temperatures"--LOL. More like beating the all-time December record high of 74 (set Dec. 28, 1984) by three degrees.

Could it be very possible that there may be a small, isolated area somewhere around here that could even pop an 80 tomorrow--if TWC's prediction comes true or is even raised further before tomorrow?

I don't have the time to research this myself at this time, but has there been any known location within or close to the confines of this subforum's region that popped at least 80 degrees in December?

As far as major reporting stations, Evansville and Paducah hit 77 on December 2, 1982. 80 just seems like it will be out of reach based on the thermal fields. I could see somewhere like STL hitting 76 or 77 if things go right.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  • Replies 928
  • Created
  • Last Reply

As of this time I agree that snow chances are possible, this looks like the GFS forecast. If it were me at this time I would put another graphic below the snowfall ones that says 30% chance, and adjust it as needed.

Most of the other local mets have highs in the upper 30s to low 40s on Sunday, which I realized after I posted this map. I'm fine if the cold weather waits another day or two if it means the big one projected early the following week (Nov. 9-11) shifts northwest, because right now that looks like an OV storm.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Probably about 1/8 mile vis here. Definitely foggier than what we saw about a week ago when other surrounding areas had near zero vis. Temp already down to 43, which is much lower than the forecast low of 50. Strong WAA should kick in around daybreak, so I'm still confident we'll go at least deep into the 60s tomorrow.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Probably about 1/8 mile vis here. Definitely foggier than what we saw about a week ago when other surrounding areas had near zero vis. Temp already down to 43, which is much lower than the forecast low of 50. Strong WAA should kick in around daybreak, so I'm still confident we'll go at least deep into the 60s tomorrow.

its pretty sad when fog is the big story as we start december... sigh.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Wow, it sure is warm so far this December. Lol......

Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI

925 PM CST SUN DEC 2 2012

WIZ051-052-058>060-064>066-070>072-030600-

FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-DODGE-WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-

MILWAUKEE-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FOND DU LAC...SHEBOYGAN...BEAVER DAM...

WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...JEFFERSON...LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...

BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...KENOSHA

925 PM CST SUN DEC 2 2012

...FOG TO LOWER VISIBILITIES TONIGHT...

FOG IS BECOMING THICKER OVER SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN...WITH WIDESPREAD

VISIBILITIES LOWERING TO 1 TO 2 MILES BY MIDNIGHT. LOCALLY DENSE

FOG IS REDUCING VISIBILITIES TO 1/4 MILE OR LESS...ESPECIALLY IN

THE VALLEYS OF THE KETTLE MORAINE...AND ALONG RIVER VALLEYS.

DIVERS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING VISIBILITIES WHILE

TRAVELING TONIGHT. USE LOW BEAM HEADLINES AND LEAVE PLENTY OF

DISTANCE BETWEEN YOU AND OTHER VEHICLES.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The December "see text"...

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

1145 PM CST SUN DEC 02 2012

VALID 031200Z - 041200Z

..NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST

..SYNOPSIS

A BROAD UPPER TROUGH WILL PROGRESS QUICKLY EWD ACROSS THE CNTRL U.S.

WITH UPPER LOW CENTER MOVING FROM SK INTO ONTARIO. AT THE

SURFACE...A COLD FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM ERN WI INTO NRN TX BY

00Z...WITH SLY WINDS RESULTING IN MID TO UPPER 50S F BOUNDARY LAYER

DEWPOINTS AHEAD OF IT AND GENERALLY WEAK INSTABILITY. THUNDERSTORMS

ARE EXPECTED TO FORM DURING THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE LENGTH OF THE

FRONT FROM MI INTO MO...AND SWWD INTO ERN OK AND NERN TX AFTER 00Z

AS THE FRONT DROPS SWD.

..NERN MO...IL...SERN WI

STORMS SHOULD FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM NERN MO INTO ERN WI AND

WRN MI BY LATE AFTERNOON COINCIDING WITH PEAK HEATING. FORCING ALONG

THE COLD FRONT WILL INITIATE A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SRN

WI...ERN IA/WRN IL AND PERHAPS INTO NERN MO BEFORE SUNSET. ALTHOUGH

LAPSE RATE PROFILES WILL BE WEAK...RELATIVELY STRONG FLOW IN THE

LOWEST FEW KM /50 KT AT 700 MB/ SUGGESTS A FEW STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE

OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

The December "see text"...

..NERN MO...IL...SERN WI

STORMS SHOULD FORM ALONG THE COLD FRONT FROM NERN MO INTO ERN WI AND

WRN MI BY LATE AFTERNOON COINCIDING WITH PEAK HEATING. FORCING ALONG

THE COLD FRONT WILL INITIATE A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER SRN

WI...ERN IA/WRN IL AND PERHAPS INTO NERN MO BEFORE SUNSET. ALTHOUGH

LAPSE RATE PROFILES WILL BE WEAK...RELATIVELY STRONG FLOW IN THE

LOWEST FEW KM /50 KT AT 700 MB/ SUGGESTS A FEW STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE

OF DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.

The 0z 4km wrf doesn't look half bad for December.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

KDTW 031243Z 11003KT 1/8SM R04R/1200FT FG VV002 09/08 A3013 RMK AO2 TWR VIS 1/4

KDTW 031235Z 00000KT 1/4SM R04R/1200V2000FT FG VV002 09/08 A3013 RMK AO2

KDTW 031208Z 00000KT 1/4SM BR OVC002 09/07 A3013 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 1/2

KDTW 031205Z 00000KT 1/2SM BR OVC004 09/07 A3013 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 2 1/2

KDTW 031157Z 11003KT 2SM BR OVC004 08/07 A3013 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 3

KDTW 031153Z 12003KT 3SM BR OVC004 08/07 A3013 RMK AO2 SFC VIS 4 SLP205 70013 T00830072 10094 20083 56001

From 4SM to 1/8SM in under an hour, things got thick here fast. It is awesome to watch as the cloud descends from above

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Thicker than pea soup outside. At least it's white :lol:!

Was reading the daily comics (ie, the ridiculous CFS weeklies) and the latest weeks 3 & 4 show torch after they showed very cold the last 2 days. So, while trollpical has abandoned them the last 2 days, be prepared he will be posting the garbage today lol.

Other than the wild gyrations of the models every 6 hours, certainly looks like a more active period ahead after our very mild first week of December.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...