Chicago Storm Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 IMBY futility was trashed anyways. 12z is a good run for me, .3" with hint of LE Still a decent quality light snow in the city. Only 0.7" on the season here and 0.4" at ORD, so some futility is obviously still in play for now. I know you are down and out after the 1"+ a few days back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 12z nested run of the NAM showing this for total precip. I included a little inset of the simulated radar returns at the point a meso low is obviously going into Ozaukee Co. It swings south later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Only 0.7" on the season here and 0.4" at ORD, so some futility is still in play. I know you are down and out after the 1"+ a few days back. Pulling for you but it looks like it's going down EDIT: some signs the lake band is getting better organized (RAP doing well so far)...could manage a brief period of moderate snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Best looking LES band so far this week. Just some flurries up this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 we'll see, NAM was wetter over IL as is the 12z GFS, could easily just be blips. Still a high end light snow here in Chicago...trying to squeek out my second low probability lake snow of the season. http://www.wxcaster.com/CONUS_GFS_SFC_ACCUMPRECIP_54HR.gif You call this wetter over N Illinois? Even if a small bit of that is contamination from expected lake effect today, I just don't see it. 12z GFS has the primary snow accums north of Milwaukee for goodness sake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Best looking LES band so far this week. Just some flurries up this way. still not as heavy as the one a couple days back but the best is still off-shore. Gotta give some props to the RAP, didn't think this would material much less strengthen right on schedule like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 http://www.wxcaster....PRECIP_54HR.gif You call this wetter over N Illinois? Even if a small bit of that is contamination from expected lake effect today, I just don't see it. 12z GFS has the primary snow accums north of Milwaukee for goodness sake. easy there cowboy I went from barely .1 to .3 in one run, it's wetter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 easy there cowboy I went from barely .1 to .3 in one run, it's wetter. I interpreted you as saying the center of the action shifted into N Illinois. I agree it's wetter for you guys, but it keeps some enhanced bands north of Milwaukee. Sorry for the misinterpretation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 still not as heavy as the one a couple days back but the best is still off-shore. Gotta give some props to the RAP, didn't think this would material much less strengthen right on schedule like this. Kind of surprised given the unfavorable conditions. Hopefully it can make it up the lakeshore later this afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 I interpreted you as saying the center of the action shifted into N Illinois. I agree it's wetter for you guys, but it keeps some enhanced bands north of Milwaukee. Sorry for the misinterpretation. my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 super weak meso low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 The convergence is probably forcing the inversion upwards. Via Mike Caplan: Traffic on the Kennedy in a mess due to this small band! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 -SN here near MDW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeenerWx Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Hoping good ole LM can crank out a classic blockbuster event sometime this winter. I'm itching for a snow chase. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McDude Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Wife says it's like a "mini-blizzard" in Hyde Park. Which I would interrupt as Moderate Snow lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Wife says it's like a "mini-blizzard" in Hyde Park. Which I would interrupt as Moderate Snow lol visibility in the loop is probably still just over 1/2 mile but slowly dropping and we should go over to legit moderate once the band off shore moves in. Chistorm started a thread to talk about the LE. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38540-dec-27-29th-lessnow-event/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstormcanuck Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Here's what Toronto's 4 12"+ storms (either at Pearson or downtown) from the last 15 years looked like at H5 approximately 12 hours before commencing: Incredibly similar upper level configuration. Yesterday's storm really didn't fit the bill and I think this is something that should be considered when interpreting the models and making forecasts going forward. Although, here's another footer from the early 1990s that was remarkably similar to today's exiting storm. So I guess I'm just contradicting myself: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 single pixel of 20 dbz over downtown associated with weak meso-low how do you like the new COD radar site page? Well somewhat new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 how do you like the new COD radar site page? Well somewhat new. I haven't had many good uses for it but it seems pretty solid...especially if you're like me and don't pay for something better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Snow quickly approaching this area... I still need new tires! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 GFS shows a week from now being very cold...-17F on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 27, 2012 Share Posted December 27, 2012 Snowpack still remains unscathed around 3". Made it to 29 today. Looks like a dusting to an inch of new powder tomorrow, and then dry for the next 7+ days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Anyone who hasn't voted...we need a big last hour push for Ohio Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Powerball Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Latest GFS comes pretty darn close to developing a decent Winter Storm for us in the 5-day range. The pattern over the next week definitely has potential, that's for sure. It'll all depend on how the waves interact and the amount of blocking. it's the type of pattern where surprises could happen at the last second moment in terms of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmc76 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Latest GFS comes pretty darn close to developing a decent Winter Storm for us in the 5-day range. The pattern over the next week definitely has potential, that's for sure. It'll all depend on how the waves interact and the amount of blocking. it's the type of pattern where surprises could happen at the last second moment in terms of snowfall. agree. Models have sucked me in again. Coldest morning of the year so far 6 degrees this AM. It's been a long while since seeing this cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Officially at Kenosha, December will go down as a complete FAIL. Happy New Years all. Heres to hoping the new year brings a more interesting weather pattern for this guy.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 About 3 inches of snow out there...very very fluffy. GFS shows a very cold week coming up...some -10Fs or better ? possibly. Good for making some ice. Looks pretty dry after this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Officially at Kenosha, December will go down as a complete FAIL. Happy New Years all. Heres to hoping the new year brings a more interesting weather pattern for this guy.... Agreed. Except the rainfall last week was very welcome. Snow would have been better, but it is moisture for the ground. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Latest GFS comes pretty darn close to developing a decent Winter Storm for us in the 5-day range. The pattern over the next week definitely has potential, that's for sure. It'll all depend on how the waves interact and the amount of blocking. it's the type of pattern where surprises could happen at the last second moment in terms of snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 28, 2012 Share Posted December 28, 2012 Been spitting extremely small salt-like snow flakes all afternoon. No accumulation. Today was the first time I've noticed a little reduction in the snowpack. Still a good 2-3" out there though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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