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December 2012 General Discussion


Guru Of Reason

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Lake temps should fall into the 30s if they haven't already with this sustained normal to below normal period.

That's one good thing. It's not like we usually cash in with LES at all!

Noticing a light band forming east of Racine and Kenosha.

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Crappy day out, caught in the huge stratus bank coming off Lake Michigan. 20 miles northwest of here just has cirrus overhead based on this satellite loop: http://mapmaker.aos.wisc.edu/scr3/sat/g8/g8msnflash.html

Lake effect from the storm is probably optimizing about now as it makes its close approach, been having very light snow most of the morning.

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Slightly off topic, but today is the third anniversary of the "surprise" Boxing Day snowfall that left up to 12-14" in six hours or so over portions of the Fox Valley in northern Illinois. Out of the posters on here, it probably affected me, Thundersnow, and Chicago Storm the most. After GHD and perhaps '99, that remains the third-greatest snowfall of my lifetime.

I would have sworn that LOT released a technical summary (prepared by Gino Izzi, I want to say) on that event, but I cannot find it among the Top News Archives on its website. Am I remembering correctly, anyone?

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Slightly off topic, but today is the third anniversary of the "surprise" Boxing Day snowfall that left up to 12-14" in six hours or so over portions of the Fox Valley in northern Illinois. Out of the posters on here, it probably affected me, Thundersnow, and Chicago Storm the most. After GHD and perhaps '99, that remains the third-greatest snowfall of my lifetime.

I would have sworn that LOT released a technical summary (prepared by Gino Izzi, I want to say) on that event, but I cannot find it among the Top News Archives on its website. Am I remembering correctly, anyone?

I thought so too. I remember ratios were like 40:1 in some areas which is pretty hard to pull off outside of LES.

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Slightly off topic, but today is the third anniversary of the "surprise" Boxing Day snowfall that left up to 12-14" in six hours or so over portions of the Fox Valley in northern Illinois. Out of the posters on here, it probably affected me, Thundersnow, and Chicago Storm the most. After GHD and perhaps '99, that remains the third-greatest snowfall of my lifetime.

I would have sworn that LOT released a technical summary (prepared by Gino Izzi, I want to say) on that event, but I cannot find it among the Top News Archives on its website. Am I remembering correctly, anyone?

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php?wfo=lot&storyid=45219&source=2

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I remember that event guys! I was out in McHenry county for part of that. That was probably the most surprising snowstorm of all time for me. Especially when there was nothing like it forecast. I think there might have been 1-2" forecast that day/night. Definitely remember the fluffy element to the snow. - very easy to shovel.

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Slightly off topic, but today is the third anniversary of the "surprise" Boxing Day snowfall that left up to 12-14" in six hours or so over portions of the Fox Valley in northern Illinois. Out of the posters on here, it probably affected me, Thundersnow, and Chicago Storm the most. After GHD and perhaps '99, that remains the third-greatest snowfall of my lifetime.

I would have sworn that LOT released a technical summary (prepared by Gino Izzi, I want to say) on that event, but I cannot find it among the Top News Archives on its website. Am I remembering correctly, anyone?

Just made a high-res loop of this event a few weeks ago. Unfortunately NCDC is missing a few periods of data in there, but what was available still made for a decent loop.

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A few models are showing the potential for a meso-low to develop over southern LM as this next little disturbance passes through. Might be something to watch over the next day or so, especially for interested folks near the WI/IL/IN/MI lakeshore.

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Conditions look ideal with a pretty weak pressure gradient.

On top of that, looks like a solid 2-4 inch snow event for Southern WI. With a fairly deep and saturated DGZ along with UVV due to the passing vorticity maxima will allow for light/moderate snow on Friday.

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A few models are showing the potential for a meso-low to develop over southern LM as this next little disturbance passes through. Might be something to watch over the next day or so, especially for interested folks near the WI/IL/IN/MI lakeshore.

NMM has a dot of .25+ over MBY...these things are only long shots but they're also the only thing that broke my futility streak. I'd favor the WI/IL border area right now.

EDIT: RAP, HRR and NMM continue to advertise a band hugging the cook co shore line later.

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A few models are showing the potential for a meso-low to develop over southern LM as this next little disturbance passes through. Might be something to watch over the next day or so, especially for interested folks near the WI/IL/IN/MI lakeshore.

It is Muskegon, Michigan's turn! That baby better sit over us and dump!

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NMM has a dot of .25+ over MBY...these things are only long shots but they're also the only thing that broke my futility streak. I'd favor the WI/IL border area right now.

EDIT: RAP, HRR and NMM continue to advertise a band hugging the cook co shore line later.

Could you post the link, Alek? Thanks in advance.

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