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ECMWF would have blown Sandy forecast...


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The ECMWF assimilates a lot of data from NOAA satellites, apparenty.

Slower, and into Canada, in the sims they ran.

NASA and NOAA are having difficulty planning replacements for our current satellite fleet. Does that threaten your model?

I can’t send you any picture yet, but what we are doing at the moment is running an experiment where we deny all of the satellite data in the case of Hurricane Sandy, so we can see what the impact will be. The preliminary results show that the storm stays over the sea. It’s basically 24 hours to slow, and it its Canada instead of New Jersey. When we finalize this little study it will really show the importance of the satellite data. That’s a clear message from us, to have the satellite data, to have a state-of-the-art observing system, is key for forecasting and modeling in general.

http://blog.chron.com/sciguy/2012/11/european-scientist-how-we-improved-our-forecast-model-and-how-its-reliant-on-u-s-satellite-data/

Those satellites are a good thing...

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