Shawn Posted January 21, 2013 Share Posted January 21, 2013 Good point but if he loses credibility thats his problem. All some have done on here is post his thoughts. If nobody likes him who cares. However not one time has he said snow in se this year. The last storm he never said anything about amounts. He posted gfs map and that was it. Everybody busted on this storm as nobody got what models showed but with ground temps at 47 here i for one didnt expect 3-6 inches like forecasted. His character is to hype so is DT but most read their comments on twitter or fb just to see what they say. He is just another forecaster that some like and others don't. Yeah, pretty true he has the right to post his thoughts like anyone else also. He's just criticized more because of who and how long he's been around I'm guessing. Forecasting upper level lows and dynamics is never a fun task for anyone down here in the SE imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Found on Bard Panovich FB page "Both of our long range models have snow over the Carolinas Friday night into Saturday. They differ on amounts and extent of coverage, but the trends have been towards snow for the past 2 model runs. The snow meter remains at a 1 for now. Stay Tuned!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 JB on 12z Euro and JMA, UKMET Unitl this comes over the rockies the problem is the feedback that is leading to part of the energy jumping out. THe ECMWF is like that now too. The JMA, like the UKMET is hanging back and doesnt like sending energy out so instead. This has a long way to go. Can I see the flatter solution, certainly. Do I believe it. No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowNiner Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 JB on 12z Euro and JMA, UKMET Unitl this comes over the rockies the problem is the feedback that is leading to part of the energy jumping out. THe ECMWF is like that now too. The JMA, like the UKMET is hanging back and doesnt like sending energy out so instead. This has a long way to go. Can I see the flatter solution, certainly. Do I believe it. No I don't understand what he's saying. Is he saying the energy in the northern stream should be more amped up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 I don't understand what he's saying. Is he saying the energy in the northern stream should be more amped up? Yes, he had maps showing JMA and UKMET looked good, but I can't post the maps... But to answer your question a lot juicer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Yes, he had maps showing JMA and UKMET looked good, but I can't post the maps... But to answer your question a lot juicer. The UKMet has the vort max digging from Wyoming to northern Oklahoma, and indeed, would be a major winter storm...but it's way south of the GFS/Euro with the vort max, and it has a known bias of being too far south with features. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 The UKMet has the vort max digging from Wyoming to northern Oklahoma, and indeed, would be a major winter storm...but it's way south of the GFS/Euro with the vort max, and it has a known bias of being too far south with features. Just to clarify my post. Yes he was not saying thats what was going to happen, he feels like the ukmet and jma may have the better idea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Just to clarify my post. Yes he was not saying thats what was going to happen, he feels like the ukmet and jma may have the better idea? Oh yeah, I wasn't commenting on what JB was saying, just throwing out what I was seeing with the UKMet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 22, 2013 Share Posted January 22, 2013 Seen on the web Mid Atlantic Weather 57 minutes ago · Snow potential for most of VA and now into NC increased! Northern VA and MD - European has really brought down snow totals there. Central VA looks good on this run. So I am convinced of a snowy/wintry Friday for a lot of VA and NC, not sure of amounts and again, light to moderate snow system seems possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 NWS GSP Special Presentation by Bryan McAvoy: Late January 2000: A stormy winter period in Western Carolina. Good read.... http://www.weather.gov/gsp/janwinter_2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted January 23, 2013 Share Posted January 23, 2013 Thanks for posting Bill. Good read ! NWS GSP Special Presentation by Bryab McAvoy: Late January 2000: A stormy winter period in Western Carolina. Good read.... http://www.weather.gov/gsp/janwinter_2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
POWERSTROKE Posted January 25, 2013 Author Share Posted January 25, 2013 Wxsouth has good write up on fb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 That doesn't explain slpoehead? Wxrisk.com on a side note... some of you may see a comment from me "BULLY!!" let me explain That phrase is an expression I use when something is awesome or great or fabulous ... it goes back to one of our greatest if not THE greatest POTUS of all time Teddy Roosevelt and a personal hero of mine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 What's the latest on the fab feb ? He commenting on any thing about next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 25, 2013 Share Posted January 25, 2013 What's the latest on the fab feb ? He commenting on any thing about next weekend? He said winter returns for most by valentines day or something like that. His tweets are almost unreadable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 He said winter returns for most by valentines day or something like that. His tweets are almost unreadable.are we talking about dt or jb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 are we talking about dt or jb? I was talking about JB's twitter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 He said winter returns for most by valentines day or something like that. His tweets are almost unreadable. What he said was for Europe winter would return around valentines and for US after36 to 48 hr warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Well it's not very clear but it certainly could mean that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Well it's not very clear but it certainly could mean that. I understood as foothills said. But I agree his tweets are awful hard to understand sometimes... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I was talking about JB's twitter.on his site he has said 3 day warm up, then cold. Lately he has been too busy talking about an inch of snow in dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I understood as foothills said. But I agree his tweets are awful hard to understand sometimes... I agree. Sometimes I have to read hie tweets a couple times. Did you get any snow your way?It snowed off and on twice then around 1:00 started sleeting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I was reading through the past week's worth of posts in this thread getting caught up. Sounds like we may need to meet up at that mall again for a fist fight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 I agree. Sometimes I have to read hie tweets a couple times. Did you get any snow your way?It snowed off and on twice then around 1:00 started sleeting Same here a little snow this morning then sleet!!! I wanna big snow! lol You see where NWS has freezing rain in forecast sunday night? Just looked at my forecast and was surprised, haven't heard anybody mention this? SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. NOT AS COOL WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 LOL he's terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Same here a little snow this morning then sleet!!! I wanna big snow! lol You see where NWS has freezing rain in forecast sunday night? Just looked at my forecast and was surprised, haven't heard anybody mention this? SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. NOT AS COOL WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. Same here a little snow this morning then sleet!!! I wanna big snow! lol You see where NWS has freezing rain in forecast sunday night? Just looked at my forecast and was surprised, haven't heard anybody mention this? SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT. NOT AS COOL WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN IN THE MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT. We want a good snowstorm too.I told my wife if we could have had last weeks moisture with this weeks cold we would have been set.There's talk of a cold Feb and from what wxsouth weather says it could be good for the SE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Thanks for the info guys. These teasers are just making the ole boy more desperate. Actually sawthe ponds freezing over on the way home this afternoon. First time in 2 years. Now if I can just get the sled out I,ll shut up until November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 Thanks for the info guys. These teasers are just making the ole boy more desperate. Actually sawthe ponds freezing over on the way home this afternoon. First time in 2 years. Now if I can just get the sled out I,ll shut up until November. Did you check your pm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 From Big Joe yesterday: @BigJoeBastardi: On FBN to talk about the cold... that will come with greater fury next week and beyond Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted January 26, 2013 Share Posted January 26, 2013 From Big Joe yesterday: @BigJoeBastardi: On FBN to talk about the cold... that will come with greater fury next week and beyond Thanks for posting. I'm not saying you're necessarily buying into what he says as you're just being a messenger. However, a word of caution and a reminder to the readers: When JB speaks in generalities, he certainly isn't concentrating on the SE US and is most likely centered on the NE. Though some models are showing it for the NE and Midwest, no model is showing any kind of sustained cold air for the SE, and we've yet to have any. As a matter of fact, Atlanta is on track to have its warmest 12/1-1/31 since at least 1949-50! This has occured despite JB harping on cold for the bulk of the last two months and some models actually having shown very impressive cold here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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