weathafella Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Overall euro shows potential as many alluded to for early December. But even in the higher ht periods the propensity for hp to the north should keep us from torching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Overall euro shows potential as many alluded to for early December. But even in the higher ht periods the propensity for hp to the north should keep us from torching. I don't know the 10 day Euro is pretty hideous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Euro looks about average to just above as far as temps go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 I don't know the 10 day Euro is pretty hideous. What? That when I was promised cold and snow by JB and others Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Euro day 10 itself is bad, but if euro was correct it would probably setup for a good early December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Nov 25 is when things kick off in earnest. Looking forward to that date and beyond Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 If memory serves me correct I think JB said two years ago that this winter would be the return of the little ice age....lol. Beautiful, cold late fall day again great stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Boring stretch ongoing, Watch out 1st week of Dec Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 If memory serves me correct I think JB said two years ago that this winter would be the return of the little ice age....lol. Beautiful, cold late fall day again great stuff. There's a few months ahead of us for that to be determined... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 If memory serves me correct I think JB said two years ago that this winter would be the return of the little ice age....lol. Beautiful, cold late fall day again great stuff. pretty much...he has slowly been backing down though-he's still cold, but not historically cold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 pretty much...he has slowly been backing down though-he's still cold, but not historically cold I thought so, anyways huge differences between the gfs and euro.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Euro day 10 itself is bad, but if euro was correct it would probably setup for a good early December. Yeah if you extrapolate the D10 Euro it would look pretty good actually for the end of the month into December most likely...but extrapolating OP runs beyond D10 is kind of a silly experiment to begin with. It doesn't really disagree with the ensmebles in that it is folding the Aleutian Ridge block over the EPO region and dumping an immense amount of cold into Canada...there's literally a train of high presure directly from Siberia marching down the east side of that block into NE AK, then Canada and finally the high plains of Montana. As the GOA/PAC NW trough retrogrades a bit, everything would press south into a gradient pattern...if we ever popped a -NAO, it would get very cold in the east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Looks like today and tonight will be the coldest for at least the next 7-10 days here, Tday scattered clouds mid to upper 50s? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Looks like today and tonight will be the coldest for at least the next 7-10 days here, Tday scattered clouds mid to upper 50s? 50's? Maybe one or 2 places nuzzle 50, but most of next 7-10 are 40's/20's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 I think it is sort of meh to start, but as long as it doesn't regress....I think it will improve in successive steps. I guess what I mean is I could invision something where we start out with a cutter (doesn't mean a 980 low..could be a fropa), and then maybe a cool shot followed by a messy low..maybe a little mix in the interior..followed by a deeper push of colder air and then maybe something bigger down the road..especially with a -NAO. Again, if the pattern doesn't regress which for now, seems like it won't. That's sort of the approach I'm going with and why I am waiting until we get into December by a few days at least. It sort of looks like that on the ensembles actually...but it may take time oozing it into the nrn tier with the PAC flow into the US. Might be some signs down the road on the ensembles of a weak -NAO...but that is getting out there. Posted this in the winter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 50's? Maybe one or 2 places nuzzle 50, but most of next 7-10 are 40's/20's you ok? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 you ok? Just enjoying the cold dry pattern now and next week until we get to winter after25th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Just enjoying the cold dry pattern now and next week until we get to winter after25th. Enjoy the cold, not a single high forecast in the 40s here or low in the 20s . OKX going with mostly sunny and 54 for Tday as expected, that temp will only creep up as we get closer to the holidays. Today was cold for sure, after this its just rots, Euro is a mild pattern next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Enjoy the cold, not a single high forecast in the 40s here or low in the 20s . OKX going with mostly sunny and 54 for Tday as expected, that temp will only creep up as we get closer to the holidays. Today was cold for sure, after this its just rots, Euro is a mild pattern next week. I don't follow OKX so no clue about them or what they forecast. As mets on here have preaching.. It's not a mild or warm pattern. It's slightly below to normal thru next week. I'll enjoy that for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 I don't follow OKX so no clue about them or what they forecast. As mets on here have preaching.. It's not a mild or warm pattern. It's slightly below to normal thru next week. I'll enjoy that for now So you are choosing the gfs over euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Good lord-we're arguing over whether it's 48 and sunny or 52 and sunny? Who cares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 So you are choosing the gfs over euro? Euro isn't warm. Chilly HP nibbling your nads nosing down from the north keeping it nipply Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Gotta love mesoscale banding. What I love here is you can see the importance of elevation in the NW Hills (only a little snow melted quickly in the valleys the following morning) while mesoscale banding from HVN to ORH trumps all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Good lord-we're arguing over whether it's 48 and sunny or 52 and sunny? Who cares You are right, I guess its a below normal pattern for the next ten days.......sunny and cold, perfect weather to fry that Turkey outside! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Good lord-we're arguing over whether it's 48 and sunny or 52 and sunny? Who cares I care. Low mid 40's is much better than 50+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Gotta love mesoscale banding. What I love here is you can see the importance of elevation in the NW Hills (only a little snow melted quickly in the valleys the following morning) while mesoscale banding from HVN to ORH trumps all. That's a really great shot. I can see why hubbdave bent a skipole around his neck...and of course why MPM was inside his barn building gallows during the virga. There was another area in E MA that did ok too...from west side of BOS down 95...though not nearly as good as that main band did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 I don't follow OKX so no clue about them or what they forecast. As mets on here have preaching.. It's not a mild or warm pattern. It's slightly below to normal thru next week. I'll enjoy that for now Hey now 65% of the state lives in OKX's area, and I can't imagine many crazy negative departures given that normals are practically 40s/20s now for inland areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 This airmass is a good example of how 850 temps can be quite misleading at times to judge surface temps. It's actually pretty warm aloft but much much cooler between 900 and 1000mb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 That's a really great shot. I can see why hubbdave bent a skipole around his neck...and of course why MPM was inside his barn building gallows during the virga. There was another area in E MA that did ok too...from west side of BOS down 95...though not nearly as good as that main band did. The second little jackpot area like Oct 2011 had too ironically. Some CF enhancement I would imagine. Well actually you saw it first hand when we were talking lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 This airmass is a good example of how 850 temps can be quite misleading at times to judge surface temps. It's actually pretty warm aloft but much much cooler between 900 and 1000mb. Ginx's favorite kind of cold! Sneaky cold!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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