CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 AWT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 But you said we could not get a cutter in this pattern One day he'll listen to the pros. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 LOL on the folks using a 7 day prog today but telling Kev not to yesterday. Anyways Cold Front, front end dump for you? followed by drizzle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Goodmorning! First morning without frost in a long time, looking forward to this weekends snow squalls and next weeks 4-8 inches of snow! From simple math to Kevin-esque forecasting in a span of 10 days: Absolutely gorgeous morning! Snow pile hanging on by a thread.......over 700 volunteers have signed up to meet at Jennings Beach for the cleanup today!!! Heading down there in a bit to drop off over 200 garbage bags and gloves we are donating. That departure at BOS will be wiped out by the end of the month, just simple math. Euro looked boring. Both methods need some revisions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 The ensembles still had a SWFE style for NNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 LOL on the folks using a 7 day prog today but telling Kev not to yesterday. Anyways Cold Front, front end dump for you? followed by drizzle? It's trolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 LOL on the folks using a 7 day prog today but telling Kev not to yesterday. Anyways Cold Front, front end dump for you? followed by drizzle? Not with that 0z euro run, It would be backside, But i never see backside snow here we down slope, But like you said, It's 7 days out, still time for more shifts, But right now its going the wrong way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 From simple math to Kevin-esque forecasting in a span of 10 days: Both methods need some revisions. Yep right on schedule the monster departures that we had earlier this month have been knocked way down, ending the month at -1 is hardly special.?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 It's trolling. Exactly why I put the LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Yep right on schedule the monster departures that we had earlier this month have been knocked way down, ending the month at -1 is hardly special.?? nobody is going to end -1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 It's trolling. A troll Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Sunshine still rains down in SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 I wonder if we relax as we head past the first week of December. Sort of hinted on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 28/24 Ended my streak of nights below 20F at 4 in a row. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Sunshine still rains down in SW CT. This is like what 10 days of sun and 47-52? Just amazing and more of the same on the way, low to mid 50s the next three days and nothing but sun. Very cool inversions, strong high pressure almost intermountain west kind of stuff, although you guys have had the north east winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 With that low day 6 to day 7...you can see the -NAO hasn't quite established it's influence...so it has an opportunity to cut. It still may not, but it's a concern. Also, there's a lot of northern stream energy out west...which has some opportunity to partially phase with the system....amplifying the pattern and warming the northeast. This amplification was really apparent on the 06z gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 nobody is going to end -1 Really? ORH is -1.5 with a couple above normal days, couple below, then a cutter. Other stations are -2.5, we can look at the facts at the end of the month:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Sunshine still rains down in SW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 This is like what 10 days of sun and 47-52? Just amazing and more of the same on the way, low to mid 50s the next three days and nothing but sun. Very cool inversions, strong high pressure almost intermountain west kind of stuff, although you guys have had the north east winds. There is a chance of departures -2.5 or better here at BOS if the ensembles are right. A true cutter would probably diminish that, but if we indeed get that, it will be the most impressive departure possibly since Dec 2010 if it works out. I'll give Kevin and the KFS props for that if it happens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 I understand, the way messenger has been describing the weather up that way I would feel the same way, sounds brutal up there! Have a Happy Thanksgiving Phil!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Really? ORH is -1.5 with a couple above normal days, couple below, then a cutter. Other stations are -2.5, we can look at the facts at the end of the month:) Yea I forgot that ORH had lows at 32 while the rest of us were in the low mid 20's but judging by the next ten days I would say they will be solidly below for the month. Nice to see the country wide streak broke last month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Really? ORH is -1.5 with a couple above normal days, couple below, then a cutter. Other stations are -2.5, we can look at the facts at the end of the month:) The EC ensembles if anything would increase or maintain negative departures through the end of the month. Neutral anomalies through day 5, then -2 to -3C 850 anomalies from day 5 to day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 The day plus 8 and 11 analogs are full of win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 The day plus 8 and 11 analogs are full of win. post 'em Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 28/24 Ended my streak of nights below 20F at 4 in a row. You kill me on the overnight lows, Chris! Are you headed to Moonlight Magic tomorrow? I think I remember you said your wife was involved with it last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Well he is cherry picking numbers because the interior high elevations had the least numerical departures which isn't a surprise. However, you have to remember what it looked like 3 weeks ago. It looked ugly and I thought we would be pretty mild. I never thought BOS would be -2.6. I would have said no way. So, when you think of it in those terms, it's impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Well he is cherry picking numbers because the interior high elevations had the least numerical departures which isn't a surprise. However, you have to remember what it looked like 3 weeks ago. It looked ugly and I thought we would be pretty mild. I never thought BOS would be -2.6. I would have said no way. So, when you think of it in those terms, it's impressive. more boring -2.6 departure ever run? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 more boring -2.6 departure ever run? lol Kind of..lol. But, it's nice to have a more normal November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 This storm that some of y'all are worried about cutting inland is quite important for moving the -NAO block west and setting up the Dec 5-10 time frame. I say let the bastard cut inland, take your mix (or rain for me) if you're lucky and hope for the best down the road. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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