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Stuffing and Snow - Late November Banter and Obs


HoarfrostHubb

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18z GFS has energy on the backside of the trough digging through the OH Valley around the 24-25th timeframe. Wants to develop a secondary wave of low pressure near Cape Cod, MA. Not really through the timeframe yet, but trends are getting better for more energy to dig southeastward then modeled the last few days. Models have been trending better with ridging over the western US for this trough to dig further. Time will tell if there is a chance at seeing an ocean storm develop before it hits the Maritimes. It will be interesting if Cape Cod, MA could get some snow before the system is fully into the Maritimes.

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18z GFS has energy on the backside of the trough digging through the OH Valley around the 24-25th timeframe. Wants to develop a secondary wave of low pressure near Cape Cod, MA. Not really through the timeframe yet, but trends are getting better for more energy to dig southeastward then modeled the last few days. Models have been trending better with ridging over the western US for this trough to dig further. Time will tell if there is a chance at seeing an ocean storm develop before it hits the Maritimes. It will be interesting if Cape Cod, MA could get some snow before the system is fully into the Maritimes.

It wouldn't be a shock to see some sort of inverted trough try and produce snow showers. I'd like to see the vorticity a little more concetrated and the trough a touch sharper. We'll see how it looks throughout the week.

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Someone spiked Jerry's cool-aid this year... guy hasn't been this pumped up in a long time. Amazing what sustained chill and a few inches of November snow will do for moral about the winter. After last year in the BOS environs, they have every reason to be pumped at this point.

It's been nice to avoid a horrendous torch...and nice to see Fall act like Fall and not August.

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It's been nice to avoid a horrendous torch...and nice to see Fall act like Fall and not August.

I agree, its nice to actually have seasons for a change. September was a wash two stations above two below all less than 1 degree, October was warm with all 4 stations above normal between 2.5 and 3.4 respectively. This month obviously below, how much so yet to be determined but when averaged out it certainly has felt like fall in southern new england and vastly different from last year.

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The weeklies did have a little relaxation in terms of temps week 3, but low H5 anomalies off the SE coast and a west based -NAO. They also had a trough west of California with a weak Aleutian ridge. Weak 4 had an interesting pattern with ridging all from the Aleutians into the North Pole and on the west coast albeit weak there. However, low anomalies at H5 all from the Davis Straits and what looks like a 50/50 low and confluence zone over Newfoundland. Would be chilly here verbatim.

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The weeklies did have a little relaxation in terms of temps week 3, but low H5 anomalies off the SE coast and a west based -NAO. They also had a trough west of California with a weak Aleutian ridge. Weak 4 had an interesting pattern with ridging all from the Aleutians into the North Pole and on the west coast albeit weak there. However, low anomalies at H5 all from the Davis Straits and what looks like a 50/50 low and confluence zone over Newfoundland. Would be chilly here verbatim.

Week 4 is actually a very cold composite for New England historically where the 5h anomalies are.

At any rate, good to see the weeklies continuing with the ridging where it needs to be on the PAC side. Vastly different than the weeklies this time last year.

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Week 4 is actually a very cold composite for New England historically where the 5h anomalies are.

At any rate, good to see the weeklies continuing with the ridging where it needs to be on the PAC side. Vastly different than the weeklies this time last year.

Oh, night and day..lol. It will be interesting to see what we can get out of it. Sometimes things are timed right and produce, other times not so much, but at least we have an opportunity anyways.

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Sounds as if Euro ens have locked in a frozen event wire to wire for the 28th..Hopefully all snow..but even snow to ice is fine..Lock in the pack

Yeah put it in the book...over 200 hours out. (they actually change you over to rain verbatim but north of the pike might stay frozen)

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