Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Another lovely cloudy day with winds off the water. I cannot recall a November that featured raw ocean winds and temps as many as this one has. OES for the win if this continues later in winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Last year as of the 19th my monthly average was 45.5, some 6 degrees colder this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 But that's what Jerry and I have been saying while other weenies are calling for torch tgiving lol Well T-day will be milder for places like LL and a good chunk of CT, especially south. Friday may be even milder across all areas, but still no where near torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Coldest Nov since 2007 when I was 39.1 on this date versus 39.9 currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Sultan fropa late Saturday? At the least could be a line of showers and maybe snow for the Berks as it comes through. If it was later in the season, it would be WINDEX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 You mean Fri nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Sultan fropa late Saturday? At the least could be a line of showers and maybe snow for the Berks as it comes through. If it was later in the season, it would be WINDEX. Nice upslope for your boy PF Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 You mean Fri nite No, Saturday per euro op. Ensembles do bring it in earlier Saturday morning with falling aftn temps. It was only to give Sultan a taste of his WINDEX love. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Heading up to Beckett Mass this weekend, highest spot in the Berkshires to our friends cabin. Pulling out some birch cutting it into sections and bringing it back home to split. So excited to get the stove this weekend, hot times ahead in the casa. Its its a new EPA stove its going to want dry seasoned wood to run properly, I love my stove, heat from a woodstove cant be beat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 No, Saturday per euro op. Ensembles do bring it in earlier Saturday morning with falling aftn temps. It was only to give Sultan a taste of his WINDEX love. This weekend looks like a nice setup for some "ground whiteners" throughout the Northeast, especially if the ECMWF is correct with the amplitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Its its a new EPA stove its going to want dry seasoned wood to run properly, I love my stove, heat from a woodstove cant be beat. I can't wait this birch is over two years dead standing now, I have about 5 cord from Sandy which will be ready next winter. I will miss the fireplace:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 This weekend looks like a nice setup for some "ground whiteners" throughout the Northeast, especially if the ECMWF is correct with the amplitude. The good people in northern New England are getting a little impatient, so this should start the ski season with a bang there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 The good people in northern New England are getting a little impatient, so this should start the ski season with a bang there. Yeah, right after I leave ha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Some not all, I have stated my case, I like the gradient look going forward with some chances here early on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Some not all, I have stated my case, I like the gradient look going forward with some chances here early on You mean mainly PF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 You mean mainly PF. Lol, You knew who i was referring to, I like the look here going forward, I think December could end up pretty decent Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 No, Saturday per euro op. Ensembles do bring it in earlier Saturday morning with falling aftn temps. It was only to give Sultan a taste of his WINDEX love. [kevin]No, Scott. You are wrong. It will be Friday night because I'm getting my Christmas tree on Saturday, and I must have that chance of a flake or two sliding off of my dome.[/Kevin] Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 looks like the 12z gfs has snow showers for just about everyone this weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 I'm thinking the southward shift may be legit on 11/28. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Overrunning setup on the Day 7-8 GFS, instead of dumping all the energy in the southwest it sends a shortwave east which helps lock in the cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 I'm thinking the southward shift may be legit on 11/28. Looks like a nice overrunning event forthcoming after 180h. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Looks like a nice overrunning event forthcoming after 180h. It still turns into an ugly cutter, but it may be a nice mix for the interior...perhaps SWFE like. I actually would run with the idea of an interior mixed event going to rain or something of that nature. If the -NAO was more established, it would probably be a Miller B. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Looks like a nice overrunning event forthcoming after 180h. Yea @ 144 HRS you can notice a shortwave near the great lakes. Unlike the EURO, which basically just dumps all the energy into the Southwest, this "clipper" helps juice up the PV & lock the cold....Maybe EURO will trend that way today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Dec 2nd.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 It still turns into an ugly cutter, but it may be a nice mix for the interior...perhaps SWFE like. I actually would run with the idea of an interior mixed event going to rain or something of that nature. If the -NAO was more established, it would probably be a Miller B. Yea if the energy in the SW takes too long to come up the heights in the east will be too high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 It still turns into an ugly cutter, but it may be a nice mix for the interior...perhaps SWFE like. I actually would run with the idea of an interior mixed event going to rain or something of that nature. If the -NAO was more established, it would probably be a Miller B. Yeah, all options are on the table. Will have to watch the current coastal storm evolution as well as that low in the GL to see how they play into the -NAO that is supposed to develop. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 the big AK block is much weaker and we have a canadian vortex problem now... everything cuts http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/MRF_12z/mrfloop2.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 Yeah, all options are on the table. Will have to watch the current coastal storm evolution as well as that low in the GL to see how they play into the -NAO that is supposed to develop. The more I look at it, the more it may be gradient like heading into the beginning of December. The Aleutian ridge is throwing the cold south on the east side of the Rockies in classic form. What a freezer box for Calgary and down into CO. This will pump up heights to the east, but the -NAO will try to act like a wall and prevent heights from rising to hard by introducing confluent flow overhead. This is where the location of the -NAO will be absolutely key for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 the big AK block is much weaker and we have a canadian vortex problem now... everything cuts http://www.meteo.psu...z/mrfloop2.html Would be good for your rain fetish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 19, 2012 Share Posted November 19, 2012 the big AK block is much weaker and we have a canadian vortex problem now... everything cuts http://www.meteo.psu...z/mrfloop2.html This is when we'll need a -NAO and what I've tried to stress over the last few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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