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Stuffing and Snow - Late November Banter and Obs


HoarfrostHubb

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I think at least the interior will have a shot of wintry precip for sure as we head into the first week of December, climo and the pattern both support it. A little more unsure here locally, but I would feel good if we got that -NAO as progged to stay as we continue to look at models into next week. A pattern like this very well may produce a good coastal Miller B deal. If I had to be picky, it would be less PAC flow, but that is where the -NAO is needed, or one hell of a Aleutian ridge folding over into Canada.

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Noone said that..but a pattern with highs in the 30's and low 40's with snow chances is wintry..Noone is saying teens and 20's for highs from Nov 25th on

Well if you go by your threshold of winter locking in Nov 25...I think I would wait until whatever happens near the 28th. It's a completely stupid argument anyways...I think it will be more into December before the regime changes for the better with less of these warmer threats. But whatever makes you happy. :) The bottom line is, it's a change for the better and could deliver for a chunk of the area heading into the big D. I think Phil and I share a few issues, but part of it is our location and climo too.

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Well if you go by your threshold of winter locking in Nov 25...I think I would wait until whatever happens near the 28th. It's a completely stupid argument anyways...I think it will be more into December before the regime changes for the better with less of these warmer threats. But whatever makes you happy. smile.png The bottom line is, it's a change for the better and could deliver for a chunk of the area heading into the big D. I think Phil and I share a few issues, but part of it is our location and climo too.

Its crazy that almost two weeks ago we had an all frozen event here, it will damn hard to get a similiar event in here over the next 4-6 weeks that stays all frozen, just goes to show how special the son of sandy really was.

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Go with the ensembles

Yeah, ensembles are the way to go past day 7, I just posted it because of how nuts it went with trough out west. It also seemed to turn the Aleutian ridge into a full-blown AK ridge which would increase our chances of a cold outbreak going forward I would think. Unfortunately, ensembles do not agree.

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Yeah...I was wondering what you were seeing when I first saw your post. lol

Lol...what I originally saw was atrocious. I couldn't figure out why he had posted it. There were high heights all over the central and eastern part of the county and a big +NAO. I couldn't see what image it was just knew it looked like poo

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