Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Kevin jinxed winter. If it fails, I know where he lives. I've been smashing ballz into wallz for this winter for about a month now. We're locking in an early and long winter starting next week. We've had days and days in a row of 30's and 40's for highs and 20's for lows..with 3-5 more at least before it kicks in around the 25th. No 50's to be found anywhere.While some tiptoe thru tulips and caution, some aren't afraid to throw it out there and lay the weenie on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 36/29 I think the 23 forecasted is a bit of a stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Oh momma! 8inches in the bank, bring it my good Reverend! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Oh momma! 8inches in my fanny, give it to me my good Reverend! Dear Lord Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 I've been smashing ballz into wallz for this winter for about a month now. We're locking in an early and long winter starting next week. We've had days and days in a row of 30's and 40's for highs and 20's for lows..with 3-5 more at least before it kicks in around the 25th. No 50's to be found anywhere. While some tiptoe thru tulips and caution, some aren't afraid to throw it out there and lay the weenie on the table. You do that for every winter. I can remember quotes about pattern change and Bastardi tweets you posted last year, but you finally saw the light in February. It's the same with your heatwaves that never make it. How's Wednesday's snow event looking? This December looks to start off nicely, I don't disagree and said that we could see some sort of wintry deal as we head into the first week of December. It's gonna get chilly on the 25th, but it probably sets in more notable heading into the end of the month and especially December. We'll probably deal with a messy event or even a cutter near the 27th or 28th that will promote groans I'm sure. With any luck it may trend colder, but it has the look of a transitional cutter or low that flips the NAO negative. My only issue is that I'd like to see the Pacific calm down a bit because that may keep the true cold at bay in Canada, but the -NAO will also help push some of that south. I think it looks good overall...in fact almost dam good. I just want to see this inside day10, because that is usually the point of no return. If I hear weenies complain about anything pushed back or some sort of mixed or messy event in the beginning of December...that is their fault. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 You do that for every winter. I can remember quotes about pattern change and Bastardi tweets you posted last year, but you finally saw the light in February. It's the same with your heatwaves that never make it. How's Wednesday's snow event looking? This December looks to start off nicely, I don't disagree and said that we could see some sort of wintry deal as we head into the first week of December. It's gonna get chilly on the 25th, but it probably sets in more notable heading into the end of the month and especially December. We'll probably deal with a messy event or even a cutter near the 27th or 28th that will promote groans I'm sure. With any luck it may trend colder, but it has the look of a transitional cutter or low that flips the NAO negative. My only issue is that I'd like to see the Pacific calm down a bit because that may keep the true cold at bay in Canada, but the -NAO will also help push some of that south. I think it looks good overall...in fact almost dam good. I just want to see this inside day10, because that is usually the point of no return. If I hear weenies complain about anything pushed back or some sort of mixed or messy event in the beginning of December...that is their fault. There are going to be people who flip out over this but before we probably transition to a much more favorable pattern we may have to deal with something like a cutter or a storm track that screws many of us...but it would be a system like this that helps to change the pattern. The one thing I like right now is of all the signals being thrown at us nothing is like what we were seeing going into last winter and with what we are seeing I do think this winter will be good...but with that we still have to be patient b/c it could take time to get there but it is only mid-November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 You do that for every winter. I can remember quotes about pattern change and Bastardi tweets you posted last year, but you finally saw the light in February. It's the same with your heatwaves that never make it. How's Wednesday's snow event looking? This December looks to start off nicely, I don't disagree and said that we could see some sort of wintry deal as we head into the first week of December. It's gonna get chilly on the 25th, but it probably sets in more notable heading into the end of the month and especially December. We'll probably deal with a messy event or even a cutter near the 27th or 28th that will promote groans I'm sure. With any luck it may trend colder, but it has the look of a transitional cutter or low that flips the NAO negative. My only issue is that I'd like to see the Pacific calm down a bit because that may keep the true cold at bay in Canada, but the -NAO will also help push some of that south. I think it looks good overall...in fact almost dam good. I just want to see this inside day10, because that is usually the point of no return. If I hear weenies complain about anything pushed back or some sort of mixed or messy event in the beginning of December...that is their fault. I was never really gung ho about last winter. Go back and look at my snowfall predictions for big 4. And Nov 25th is inside of day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 I was never really gung ho about last winter. Go back and look at my snowfall predictions for big 4. And Nov 25th is inside of day 10 You were big into last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 There are going to be people who flip out over this but before we probably transition to a much more favorable pattern we may have to deal with something like a cutter or a storm track that screws many of us...but it would be a system like this that helps to change the pattern. The one thing I like right now is of all the signals being thrown at us nothing is like what we were seeing going into last winter and with what we are seeing I do think this winter will be good...but with that we still have to be patient b/c it could take time to get there but it is only mid-November. Absolutely, at least through mid month or so. There are a few signs it may relax after mid month, but lets face it...that is far out and doesn't mean a reversal or anything. I'd like to see the ENSO areas warm up a bit more to help promote the MJO propagation and overall forcing of a ridge near Aleutians/AK. I'm also not sure how the stratosphere will behave. If it doesn't get severely disrupted..then it's going to want to keep the vortex in tact. If it splits and gets disrupted, it would help warm it up and break it down allowing for better blocking potential. It's seems like things are almost 50/50 on that, but it is early too. We may have a better idea in a couple of weeks. In the mean time, December could be a very interesting month and things are night and day from last year. I only bring up that 27th or 28th deal because it is possibly based on the guidance and overall pattern. It very well may be something cooler...but just don't be shocked that's all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 17, 2012 Author Share Posted November 17, 2012 36/29 I think the 23 forecasted is a bit of a stretch 30/23 here attm. BOX has me getting to 25F, which I would not doubt... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 I was never really gung ho about last winter. Go back and look at my snowfall predictions for big 4. And Nov 25th is inside of day 10 And you came right back with every phantom threat. I'll give you props that you told everyone to Morch on in February. Nov 25 isn't what I'm referring too. The pattern still sucks then when looking at the northern hemi. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Chris temps are droppping like a rock, so low 20s within reach in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Have not even opened the trailer yet here, That may be next weekends duty Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 I've been smashing ballz into wallz for this winter for about a month now. We're locking in an early and long winter starting next week. We've had days and days in a row of 30's and 40's for highs and 20's for lows..with 3-5 more at least before it kicks in around the 25th. No 50's to be found anywhere. While some tiptoe thru tulips and caution, some aren't afraid to throw it out there and lay the weenie on the table. waltz away with your fantasies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 waltz away with your fantasies Well he could be right in a good winter for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 If you sort of extrapolate, the models do hint at something probably late first week December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 cinco de nieve Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 the blocking on the 18z GFS is bonkers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 cinco de nieve British glamour models are the best... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Well he could be right in a good winter for sure. i'm sure his opinion is backed by careful research and migitation of his own biases Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 waltz away with your fantasies Taste it When he does 1-5 countdown..just let it out and rock it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Another tasty song by a phenomenal band Forky..rip back a few brews to this..when they jam twds the middle of the song..just listen to the rhythm guitar,,and feel the energy overtake your soul Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 18, 2012 Author Share Posted November 18, 2012 Awesome moon tonight. Go howl nude Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Salivating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Awesome moon tonight. Go howl nude http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FdzHXBMcZdc&feature=related Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Another tasty song by a phenomenal band Forky..rip back a few brews to this..when they jam twds the middle of the song..just listen to the rhythm guitar,,and feel the energy overtake your soul Wolfmother is a rip-off band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Gonna fire up the snow gun soon, would anyone be interested in a live feed or waste of time to set up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 18, 2012 Author Share Posted November 18, 2012 Gonna fire up the snow gun soon, would anyone be interested in a live feed or waste of time to set up? Interested in this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Interested in this? Youd be the first person to look at it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 18, 2012 Author Share Posted November 18, 2012 Youd be the first person to look at it Were you given the green light to ski? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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