weathafella Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 I would be happy with avg, We could use a good one after a couple stinkers over the last few years Same here... with 2 of the last 3 winters being the two worst in at least the last 20 years, even average would feel phenomenal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Which might manifest as a single event, too - I am toying around the idea of an icestorm if this PNA continues to remain less then 0.0 SD - although troughing NE of HA is more typical a +PNA construct so ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Over performing cold. I honestly can't remember how long ago or when we last had wx like this Nov when Nov meant winter and days modeled in the 40's didn't end up in the 50's or 60's. We are 8 short data from winter locking in. Even Debbie Hanrahan is on board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 KFS has a progressive and cold bias. We cool down the 25th or so, then low pressure approaches with maybe a rain or mix to rain and then cooler wx. Maybe even another repeat a few days later. I do think early Deember offers a decent chance of a winter event for some. It's natural to have ups and downs as we cool down and shift regimes. If we somehow play our cards right the storm post 11/25 will be more wintry here, but that may be tough. Unfortunately the KFS snow event on Wednesday is replaced by sunshine and temps upper 40s to near 50. We'll give it another chance next week. Obviously your pattern may not be what I describe here. SFS with another win here for temps when local folks had 50s this weekend. Rip and read FTL. Yeah I agree fully... this is always a step-down process which is why I don't buy the after X-Date its automatically full winter. I think we'll be dealing with a couple rain events after the 25th before we get to snow/wintery events... with each shot behind being colder than the last. I do feel decently about early/mid December though...just not sure if the end of Novie will be all that wintery as far as precipitation goes. Could be one of those weeks where it averages quite chilly, but the two times it precipitates it warms up like 6-12 hours ahead of the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Which might manifest as a single event, too - LOL.... when I just saw that image, I thought to myself that there's a good chance Tip will post something or start a thread about a signal for a massive, historic winter storm for east coast environs around that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Yeah I agree fully... this is always a step-down process which is why I don't buy the after X-Date its automatically full winter. I think we'll be dealing with a couple rain events after the 25th before we get to snow/wintery events... with each shot behind being colder than the last. I do feel decently about early/mid December though...just not sure if the end of Novie will be all that wintery as far as precipitation goes. Could be one of those weeks where it averages quite chilly, but the two times it precipitates it warms up like 6-12 hours ahead of the system. Probably will have to endure a cutter or two before we lock a pattern in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 There's not going to be any cutters with the -nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Probably will have to endure a cutter or two before we lock a pattern in last cutter? Sandy? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 low 50s and sunshine here all day, just another beauty in a string of what seems like forever bliss. Many more sunny mild days ahead before old man winter comes back. This weather is fantastic for any and all outside activities, time for a little xmas music and a hearty bock. In two or three weeks we can all look forward to some possible dendritical deliciousness. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 There's not going to be any cutters with the -nao Not in place there yet skippy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 last cutter? Sandy? LOL Yeah of tropical nature, Don't think it qualifys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Yeah of tropical nature, Don't think it qualifys but it does show what too much of a block can do. I would take a son of Sandy mid winter any day. I am sure Phil would too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 but it does show what too much of a block can do. I would take a son of Sandy mid winter any day. I am sure Phil would too. I agree it does show, Good for you guys down there and almost noose worthy here, But i would rather it be a west based block, Just not on steroids Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 There's not going to be any cutters with the -nao Doesn't have to be a cutter. Might be a mixed mess, but the point is the pattern improves and the cold penetrates deeper after the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 High of 44.3 . Great early winter day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Kind of surprised to see 23* for my forecast low tonight, it's still like 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Euro ensembles d10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Incoming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Snuggle up close folks. We're in for a winter to remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Incoming! Nice cold pool dropping down from the pole into central Canada to the Upper Mid West Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Wow on that mean! I think this is going to be a more typical winter than we have had recently, with the cold and snow spread out nicely over most of the winter vs. the ups and downs of the last 3. We haven't had a full on serious cold snap that I remember in the last 3 years. We hit about -20 in the 08-09 winter but haven't gotten too close to that since. I expect a winter more like 08-09 this year. The tendency toward blocking will get the cold down here and I think the minor El Nino will give us moisture to bring above average snow. The pattern is already bringing coastals. I've been on a brutal travel schedule, out of the US a lot and fortunately have missed some of the mid fall agonizing that is inevitable here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 I've been on a brutal travel schedule, out of the US a lot and fortunately have missed some of the mid fall agonizing that is inevitable here. You also missed the little snowstorm at your relatives house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Prepping the snowmobiles today.... Just got done tuning it to make sure all is right for the anticipated pattern change. Jon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Prepping the snowmobiles today.... Just got done tuning it to make sure all is right for the anticipated pattern change. Jon Have not even opened the trailer yet here, That may be next weekends duty Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Kevin jinxed winter. If it fails, I know where he lives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Little sausage and peppers tonight, nice cool evening the holidays are here. Now, lets get some snow en route! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Xmas vacation.... Elf.... ???leaning Xmas vacation. Clear43/33 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 Little sausage and peppers tonight, nice cool evening the holidays are here. Now, lets get some snow en route! At the Gold club? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 17, 2012 Share Posted November 17, 2012 At the Gold club? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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