Mr Torchey Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 2:34 PM, CoastalWx said: 60s? 50s probably for a good chunk and a little above like Hubba dubb dubb said. There isn't anything wrong with that. Life will go on. Exactly, 50s instead of highs in the low 40s and lows in the 20s for Tday. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 2:47 PM, HubbDave said: Your #1 fan lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 18, 2012 Author Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 2:47 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Exactly, 50s instead of highs in the low 40s and lows in the 20s for Tday. LOL I could see it 48/28 or something like that here. You will be in a thong and flip flops while basting the turkey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 7:26 AM, H2Otown_WX said: Go with the ensembles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 2:57 PM, weathafella said: Go with the ensembles That's not a particularly wonderful prog Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:00 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: That's not a particularly wonderful prog Looks like the dogs of winter are unleashed. Someone tell Kevin to give it a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:00 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like the dogs of winter are unleashed. Someone tell Kevin to give it a few days. I will go a step farther and say from the 25th onwards until at lest Dec 15 we don't see an AN day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:02 PM, CT Blizz said: I will go a step farther and say from the 25th onwards until at lest Dec 15 we don't see an AN day I'll take the bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:02 PM, CT Blizz said: I will go a step farther and say from the 25th onwards until at lest Dec 15 we don't see an AN day Well below normal on Nov 25 doesn't necessarily herald in winter when your normal high is 44F. That's different. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 I think at least the interior will have a shot of wintry precip for sure as we head into the first week of December, climo and the pattern both support it. A little more unsure here locally, but I would feel good if we got that -NAO as progged to stay as we continue to look at models into next week. A pattern like this very well may produce a good coastal Miller B deal. If I had to be picky, it would be less PAC flow, but that is where the -NAO is needed, or one hell of a Aleutian ridge folding over into Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Well below normal on Nov 25 doesn't necessarily herald in winter when your normal high is 44F. That's different. Bingo! A 3 day rain storm with 40/37 means highs below, lows above, averages above. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:07 PM, CoastalWx said: Well below normal on Nov 25 doesn't necessarily herald in winter when your normal high is 44F. That's different. Noone said that..but a pattern with highs in the 30's and low 40's with snow chances is wintry..Noone is saying teens and 20's for highs from Nov 25th on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:22 PM, CT Blizz said: Noone said that..but a pattern with highs in the 30's and low 40's with snow chances is wintry..Noone is saying teens and 20's for highs from Nov 25th on Well if you go by your threshold of winter locking in Nov 25...I think I would wait until whatever happens near the 28th. It's a completely stupid argument anyways...I think it will be more into December before the regime changes for the better with less of these warmer threats. But whatever makes you happy. The bottom line is, it's a change for the better and could deliver for a chunk of the area heading into the big D. I think Phil and I share a few issues, but part of it is our location and climo too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Meanwhile, back on planet earth its sunny and 47, another glorious day......okx going with sun and temps between 50-56 over the next 6 days, bliss continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:32 PM, CoastalWx said: Well if you go by your threshold of winter locking in Nov 25...I think I would wait until whatever happens near the 28th. It's a completely stupid argument anyways...I think it will be more into December before the regime changes for the better with less of these warmer threats. But whatever makes you happy. The bottom line is, it's a change for the better and could deliver for a chunk of the area heading into the big D. I think Phil and I share a few issues, but part of it is our location and climo too. Its crazy that almost two weeks ago we had an all frozen event here, it will damn hard to get a similiar event in here over the next 4-6 weeks that stays all frozen, just goes to show how special the son of sandy really was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 2:57 PM, weathafella said: Go with the ensembles Yeah, ensembles are the way to go past day 7, I just posted it because of how nuts it went with trough out west. It also seemed to turn the Aleutian ridge into a full-blown AK ridge which would increase our chances of a cold outbreak going forward I would think. Unfortunately, ensembles do not agree. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:36 PM, litchfieldlibations said: Its crazy that almost two weeks ago we had an all frozen event here, it will damn hard to get a similiar event in here over the next 4-6 weeks that stays all frozen, just goes to show how special the son of sandy really was. It will be hard for the coast to get a snow event by Jan 1? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:58 PM, CT Blizz said: It will be hard for the coast to get a snow event by Jan 1? All snow in December, yes climo favors a mix, you should study up on climo of sne............really upset your cloudy low 40s turkey day did not work out:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:00 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: That's not a particularly wonderful prog Weird...that image changed for me. Don't hot link images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 4:08 PM, litchfieldlibations said: All snow in December, yes climo favors a mix, you should study up on climo of sne............really upset your cloudy low 40s turkey day did not work out:( Hills will be in 40's AWT. Low 50's for you will still keep you in a turtleneck basting your bird Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 3:00 PM, CoastalWx said: Looks like the dogs of winter are unleashed. Someone tell Kevin to give it a few days. It's funny though now that I've refreshed Allan's page on my iPhone, I see a different image - it looks much better than what "Jerry" had originally posted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 Nice inversion today. Smog and smoke trapped in valleys. Can see it below from the hilltops Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 4:15 PM, CT Blizz said: Nice inversion today. Smog and smoke trapped in valleys. Can see row below from the hilltops Warmest day here since last Tuesday. Started out frosty but rocketed. However cbreeze has come in so I expect it won't move too much higher. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 4:14 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: It's funny though now that I've refreshed Allan's page on my iPhone, I see a different image - it looks much better than what "Jerry" had originally posted Yeah...I was wondering what you were seeing when I first saw your post. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 4:18 PM, dendrite said: Yeah...I was wondering what you were seeing when I first saw your post. lol Lol...what I originally saw was atrocious. I couldn't figure out why he had posted it. There were high heights all over the central and eastern part of the county and a big +NAO. I couldn't see what image it was just knew it looked like poo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 4:13 PM, CT Blizz said: Hills will be in 40's AWT. Low 50's for you will still keep you in a turtleneck basting your bird You two need to just break the sexual tension and get a room. Consummate your fantasy temp fetish relationship. This is where the board's ignore feature doesn't work well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 And remember folks, this is the earliest Thanksgiving can possibly be. Five days of climo this time of year means a lot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 4:25 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: You two need to just break the sexual tension and get a room. Consummate your fantasy temp fetish relationship. This is where the board's ignore feature doesn't work well. You are like Jekyll and Hyde, nice in person and nasty online Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 On 11/18/2012 at 4:28 PM, weathafella said: And remember folks, this is the earliest Thanksgiving can possibly be. Five days of climo this time of year means a lot. I like it...stretches out the holiday season. The weird years are the ones when the following Monday is like 12/3 or whatever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2012 Share Posted November 18, 2012 I think the idea of a short lived cold plunge 11/25-6 followed by warmup 11/27-8 and then a deeper and stronger cold push 11/29 is whqts most likely now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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