Ian Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 gotta love when the euro folds.. what's interesting is the weeklies sorta nailed this at the beginning of the mo should it happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 If this West trend continues for a few more runs...DC could be looking at 6-10 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Per the Euro DC and SNE look great on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Preciep hr 108 DCA-.50+ BWI-.50+ PHL-.1.25 NYC 1.50+ BOS 1.50+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Per the Euro DC and SNE look great on this run. Everyone along I95 wins on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Major Storm for DCA(.53 with temps at -6) 6-8 for December would qualify as a major snow you got ecmwf Mos for RIC and ORF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Per the Euro DC and SNE look great on this run. DC ? no... DC looks GOOD Not anywhere near great Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JamieOber Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 DC ? no... DC looks GOOD Not anywhere near great How far west does measurable precip make in PA/MD? I-81? Further? Thanks, Someguy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 i-81 maybe that far west.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SabreAce33 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Euro MOS is by subscription only I take it? Looking for SBY. GFS BUFKIT says about 8 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 you got ecmwf Mos for RIC and ORF? RIC: .97(All snow) ORF: 1.14 surface temps hit 32-33 for a while but 850 well below zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 DC ? no... DC looks GOOD Not anywhere near great But it makes rosenstein's medium range forecast from yesterday look pretty good despite some of the criticism he got from some quarters. It also makes my CWG piece look stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Not to be an IMBY kind of guy, but I gots to ask the question: how does northern ct look? 1.00+ of liquid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 This thread is for model analysis, not IMBY posts. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Preciep hr 108 DCA-.50+ BWI-.50+ PHL-.1.25 NYC 1.50+ BOS 1.50+ Are these numbers from the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
whiteout Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 How much further west could this come. I guess this all ties to the slower evolution of the storm allowing heights to rise at the coast. Could it get any farther west or would something prevent that from happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Are these numbers from the Euro? yes.....quick esitimate Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Typically QPF increases on the models as we get closer to the event as well. So needless to say, things are getting quite interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Jma is also west but not as west as euro. Crucified NE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 ok heres the map, from greatest to least dark blue 2.5-3 pink 2-2.5 purple 1.75-2 yellow 1.5-1.75 whitish yellow 1.25-1.5 light purple 1-1.25 dark gray .75-1 lime green .5-.75 green .25-.5 red .1-.25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yankeex777 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Jma is also west but not as west as euro. Crucified NE Its not a party unless the JMA joins. But yes its west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Can someone describe where the western fringe of the precip shield ends? Thanks. Edit: Nevermind. Thanks for the map Tombo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 question is, is there a trend with the EURO or is this just ONE RUN. i know last nites 0z had a SLIGHT NW shift but some Mets claimed it wasnt really a shift at all. so yea, the EURO looks amazing for coastal big cities, but is it a hiccup or the beginning of a trend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 This is the second run that has gone back to a coastal. This one was just further west than even last nights. O-o; Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sn0w Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 question is, is there a trend with the EURO or is this just ONE RUN. i know last nites 0z had a SLIGHT NW shift but some Mets claimed it wasnt really a shift at all. so yea, the EURO looks amazing for coastal big cities, but is it a hiccup or the beginning of a trend? Considering pretty much every model's latest run shifted west, I would say that adds some hope that it is a trend and not just a hiccup *fingers crossed* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-X Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 question is, is there a trend with the EURO or is this just ONE RUN. i know last nites 0z had a SLIGHT NW shift but some Mets claimed it wasnt really a shift at all. so yea, the EURO looks amazing for coastal big cities, but is it a hiccup or the beginning of a trend? Last night's euro was an amazing shift west from the previous run which had it out by Bermuda lol. I would think the SW coming onshore in a better sampled area is the reason this is happening and 0z tonight should be the clincher as we get the current storm to get out of the way to make things more clear. With the way its going now, another shift west by 50 miles is entirely possible and would bring mixing issues close to the coast-- let's hope that doesnt happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 this type of flip-flopping is exactly why looking beyond 168 hours so often leads to disappointment here, heck the models can flip inside 72 hours too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I'd say .75 to 1 is GREAT for DC. That is, if tombo's map is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sauss06 Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 I'd say .75 to 1 is GREAT for DC. That is, if tombo's map is right I was wondering that as well. I didn't expect those qbf numbers to be that high that far west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 How about if the GFS paints those nice dark purple colors over DC northeast to New England.. That be nice I'd say .75 to 1 is GREAT for DC. That is, if tombo's map is right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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