WhiteoutWX Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Many of the GFS ensembles spread atleast some snow back towards the coast and even back to I-95. Huge shift west from 0z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Im telling you now you cant totally sleep on this storm, Im not saying its going to hit, but to call it done isn't wise...The trend of last winters and looks like this one again is for storms to trend NW inside 84 hours...The GFS Seems to try to phase it a touch faster, and if 00Z is another touch faster then your looking at least at some snow DC-NYC I agree with this 100%. Another thing that me and my roommate were discussing earlier is that fact it seems as if its going up the the eastern edge of the gulf stream now. That is something (at least from what I have seen and read in various HPC discussions) that doesn't happen very often....more often than not, its the Western edge that gets the track. Not saying this will happen for this event, but something to keep in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Inudaw Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Models playing follow the leader. Euro shows storm. Others follow a few later. Euro goes ots; others follow later. Euro shows storm again (all be it.. not exactly the same.. ;x); etc... Emotions henge on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 24 hrs 12z euro sw energy is stronger...pv starting to move out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Models playing follow the leader. Euro shows storm. Others follow a few later. Euro goes ots; others follow later. Euro shows storm again (all be it.. not exactly the same.. ;x); etc... Emotions henge on the Euro? yeah I agree.... 12z ggem and gfs are big snows for se VA up to RIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 At hr 48 the pv is further nw and hgts rises along the east coast.....seems slower in the overall eveloution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 54 broad area of low prssure over the pandhandel of FL... getting mor amplified and hgts along the east coat are higher Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 60 low in se GA...way more amplified....its going to come closer to the coast this run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 12Z EURO MUCH FURTHER WEST WITH SURFACE LOW AT 60 HRS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 yeah I agree.... 12z ggem and gfs are big snows for se VA up to RIC I have noticed for a couple years now that many times the other globals play follow the leader with the euro. Certainly last year with the Dec and Feb 6th storm that was the case, Euro had it first then lost it...others picked it up then lost it...euro brought it back, others did 12 hours later. Just proves what we already know that euro is king and the other models have serious catching up to do. Richmond looks really good for this event IMO, DC/Balt/Philly need the low to phase and start to bomb about 6 hours sooner to get in the game...of course that would screw NYC and Boston so either way someone will be unhappy unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 66 light snow up to DC...low pressure just south of HSE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 the euro increased the qpf for IAD to .21 for the storm we are having now. 3 inches might be a good bet. DCA .20. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 66 light snow up to DC...low pressure just south of HSE sounds even more west than last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 66 has a sub 1000 low bout 75 miles east of myrtle beach mod precip up to central va, dc snowing, this looks to be huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 72 HR EURO SLAMMS EASTERN VA 0.50"+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Euro 66 hr brings moderate snow into DC/Baltimore at daybreak. Of course further west also means more warm air and no or little snow for Eastern NC and SE Virgina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 72 low pressure 100mb just east of hse snowing central VA -DC-Baltimore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 ugh..just when i though I was out, they pull me back in. This may be due to better data sampling...could it get even better tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Euro hits DC. Nothing major, but a decent snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted December 16, 2010 Author Share Posted December 16, 2010 This may be due to better data sampling...could it get even better tonight? IF it is due to better sampling, then yes. The s/w was still offshore at 12z this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 78 996 100 miles east of the delmarva...mod snow from DC-nyc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 ugh..just when i though I was out, they pull me back in. This may be due to better data sampling...could it get even better tonight? Possible for sure...interesting trends we have seen today. Are you going to fire up the bus soon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 78 sub 988 75 miles from mouth of ches dc to phl gettitng burried nyc getting in on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ezweather Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Radio Show tonight ??? Gonna be a close call.. Definitely worth watching. ugh..just when i though I was out, they pull me back in. This may be due to better data sampling...could it get even better tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 DCA .25 inches at 12z Sunday! IAD .20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 84 992 100 miles east of the NJ shore...phl-nyc getting a good hit.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 90 988 off the east tip of LI...nyc and sne getting crushed.......cape is prob rain now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest someguy Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 long island gets lot more snow ...on 12z euro than NYC se NJ more than PHL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 Major Storm for DCA(.53 with temps at -6) 6-8 for December would qualify as a major snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 16, 2010 Share Posted December 16, 2010 hr 102 it has stalled off the tip of LI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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