SchaumburgStormer Posted December 30, 2012 Share Posted December 30, 2012 I think this polygon, pretty much represents areas that have missed out on a 3" or greater snowfall this season (in our subforum). Roughly... some spots downwind of Lake MI have picked up 3" or more of lake effect at one time. Any input to areas that have or have not seen a 3" snowfall yet - I'm welcome to more info, so I can update this. Looks pretty close to me. Great map, just need a well placed storm and that will disappear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Lansing got hit with a 6-10 inch storm on Nov 29th-30th last year that highly inflated their seasonal total to this point. Lansing is one of only a few locations running behind last year. Most areas along and west/nw of I69 are running behind last winter at this point. Not by much but that is not saying much either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 I think this polygon, pretty much represents areas that have missed out on a 3" or greater snowfall this season (in our subforum). Roughly... some spots downwind of Lake MI have picked up 3" or more of lake effect at one time. For example: Just north of Alek. Any input to areas that have or have not seen a 3" snowfall yet - I'm welcome to more info, so I can update this. See this.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 See this.. Thanks. Must be really frustrating in Battle Creek from what I can see from that map! Did some adjustments. Took a closer look at the 3" cut off line from the winter solstice blizzard and I included that little area in NE Cook Co. that had over 3". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Thanks. Must be really frustrating in Battle Creek from what I can see from that map! Did some adjustments. Took a closer look at the 3" cut off line from the winter solstice blizzard and I included that little area in NE Cook Co. that had over 3". Looks like a ghost. Coincidence? I think not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Thanks. Must be really frustrating in Battle Creek from what I can see from that map! Did some adjustments. Took a closer look at the 3" cut off line from the winter solstice blizzard and I included that little area in NE Cook Co. that had over 3". More like boring me to death. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Looks like a ghost. Coincidence? I think not. Lol! It does! As we get more 3"+ snow systems, I can cut the polygon down and see what other shapes turn up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 31, 2012 Author Share Posted December 31, 2012 2012-13 season snowfall totals and departures from normal to date. Updated through December 30, 2012. ILLINOIS Chicago ORD: 0.9" -8.4" Lincoln ILX: 1.2" -5.4" Moline MLI: 5.3" -4.9" Peoria PIA: 2.2" -5.8" Rockford RFD: 2.1" -10.6" Springfield SPI: 3.0" -3.0" INDIANA Evansville EVV: 10.7" +7.3" Fort Wayne FWA: 8.6" -1.7" Indianapolis IND: 14.2" +6.5" South Bend SBN: 9.1" -12.7" IOWA Davenport DVN: 5.6" NA Des Moines DSM: 15.5" +3.9" Dubuque DBQ: 19.2" +5.0" Mason City MCW: 10.6" -3.1" Waterloo ALO: 11.3" -1.7" KENTUCKY Bowling Green BWG: T -1.1" Jackson JKL: 2.9" -2.4" Lexington LEX: 3.4" +0.7" Louisville SDF: 2.7" 0.0" Paducah PAH: 5.7" +3.5" MICHIGAN Alpena APN: 13.6" -13.0" Detroit DTW: 11.0" +0.2" Flint FNT: 11.1" -3.1" Grand Rapids GRR: 7.5" -20.9" Houghton Lake HTL: 12.5" -4.8" Lansing LAN: 4.5" -11.8" Marquette MQT: 49.0" -22.9" Muskegon MKG: 8.2" -25.9" Sault Ste Marie ANJ: 51.0" +1.9" MINNESOTA Duluth DLH: 24.5" -8.7" International Falls INL: 25.3" -5.2" Minneapolis MSP: 15.8" -5.6" Rochester RST: 14.5" -4.5" St. Cloud STC: 18.0" -0.3" MISSOURI Columbia COU: 1.4" -3.7" Kansas City MCI: 2.5" -3.7" St. Louis STL: 0.9" -4.0" Springfield SGF: 0.1" NA OHIO Akron/Canton CAK: 12.9" -0.3" Cincinnati CVG: 7.4" +2.0" Cleveland CLE: 14.0" -4.0" Columbus CMH: 14.0" +8.1" Dayton DAY: 11.6" +6.3" Mansfield MFD: 11.9" -0.9" Toledo TOL: 6.5" -2.7" Youngstown YNG: 24.5" +6.5" ONTARIO Hamilton YHM: 10.8" NA (some missing data) London YXU: 9.9" NA Ottawa YOW: 19.6" NA (some missing data) Toronto Downtown: NA (missing data) Windsor YQG: 2.7" NA (thru 12/25) WISCONSIN Eau Claire EAU: 21.8" +6.3" Green Bay GRB: 24.3" +7.4" La Crosse LSE: 18.4" +3.1" Madison MSN: 23.5" +6.3" Milwaukee MKE: 6.9" -6.0" Rhinelander RHI: 17.6" NA Wausau AUW: 24.1" +2.4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota are the big losers here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Good work as always tim. They accidentally had DTW at a T of snow yesterday and corrected it to 0.3". So seasonto date is 11.0". A brief + departure . Amazingly DTW finishes December snow at +1.0" after not seeing a flake the first 20 days of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted January 1, 2013 Author Share Posted January 1, 2013 December 2012 snowfall totals and departures. Akron/Canton OH: 13.8" +3.6" Alpena MI: 11.5" -7.7" Chicago IL: 0.9" -7.3" Cincinnati OH: 7.6" +2.8" Cleveland OH: 15.2" +1.1" Columbia MO: 3.7" -0.7" Columbus OH: 14.9" +9.9" Davenport IA: 5.6" NA Dayton OH: 10.9" +6.4" Des Moines IA: 15.5" +6.5" Detroit MI: 10.6" +1.0" Dubuque IA: 18.8" +7.0" Duluth MN: 13.2" -4.5" Eau Claire WI: 20.9" +11.4" Evansville IN: 10.7" +7.5" Flint MI: 8.9" -2.9" Fort Wayne IN: 9.0" +0.5" Grand Rapids MI: 7.2" -14.7" Green Bay WI: 22.8" +9.7" Houghton Lake MI: 13.3" -2.6" Indianapolis IN: 14.8" +7.9" International Falls MN: 14.4" -0.6" Jackson KY: 1.8" -3.1" Kansas City MO: 4.6" -0.2" La Crosse WI: 18.3" +7.0" Lansing MI: 4.0" -9.0" Lexington KY: 3.4" +0.9" Lincoln IL: 2.5" -3.7" London ON: 9.1" -11.0" Louisville KY: 2.7" +0.1" Madison WI: 23.4" +9.9" Mansfield OH: 10.2" -0.3" Marquette MI: 28.3" -14.5" Mason City IA: 10.6" +1.3" Milwaukee WI: 6.9" -3.7" Minneapolis MN: 15.0" +3.1" Moline IL: 5.3" -4.0" Muskegon MI: 7.4" -21.5" Ottawa ON: 14.8" -7.7" (missing data) Paducah KY: 5.7" +3.5" Peoria IL: 3.2" -3.9" Rhinelander WI: 12.2" NA Rochester MN: 14.4" +1.9" Rockford IL: 2.1" -9.2" St. Cloud MN: 15.0" +5.6" St. Louis MO: 2.1" -2.3" Sault Ste Marie MI: 29.0" -4.5" Sioux City IA: 9.9" +2.1" South Bend IN: 9.1" -8.2" Springfield IL: 4.6" -1.0" Springfield MO: 1.3" -3.6" Toledo OH: 7.0" -0.4" Toronto ON: 6.5" -5.0" Waterloo IA: 11.3" +1.4" Wausau WI: 21.8" +7.9" Windsor ON: 12.4" +0.5" Youngstown OH: 24.3" +9.3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAFF Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 Add another T to the Windsor area. Awoke to some more beautiful mood flakes. Fluffy, fat and dancing around most of the morning. From the numbers there is a real snow shortage in this region. Not a good start of the winter season to replenish the low lake levels. Lets all hope the rest of the season is a different story. Although there are some signs to differ in the long term models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 1, 2013 Share Posted January 1, 2013 Illinois, Michigan, and Minnesota are the big losers here. Those stats help to show why I have hated this winter just as much as last year's We are at about 20% of our normal snowfall for this time of year! Boring, boring, boring! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 3, 2013 Share Posted January 3, 2013 Given there was no 3" amounts in west Michigan last night and factoring in the snowfall a couple days ago across central IL. I updated where there has not been a 3" snowfall this season. Should start calling it the futility club map! lol Looked a couple other maps for N IN and S MI from the post Chrismtas system and was able to trim away a little extra territory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 This link says it all........argh. http://fox17online.com/2013/01/03/snow-drought-continues-in-michigan/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 This link says it all........argh. http://fox17online.com/2013/01/03/snow-drought-continues-in-michigan/ It looks like things MAY improve for you when the cold comes in after mid-month. Early indications are this could be a good pattern for clippers and more importantly for you, LES. Whats interesting in that article....and I know its easy to look at your snowfall totals in recent years and say "why complain?", but I think its easy to forget just how much snow Muskegan ACTUALLY averages. They should be at 38" to date, just 5" less than the ENTIRE seasonal average for Detroit (and we are in only early January) and yet Detroit has more than Muskegan and Grand Rapids (not to mention better snowcover). Also....the city in MI probably MOST prone to snow drought (based on local standards) in recent winters is Sault St. Marie, and they are doing about average...which shows things can and will turn around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 This link says it all........argh. http://fox17online.com/2013/01/03/snow-drought-continues-in-michigan/ It looks like things MAY improve for you when the cold comes in after mid-month. Early indications are this could be a good pattern for clippers and more importantly for you, LES. Whats interesting in that article....and I know its easy to look at your snowfall totals in recent years and say "why complain?", but I think its easy to forget just how much snow Muskegan ACTUALLY averages. They should be at 38" to date, just 5" less than the ENTIRE seasonal average for Detroit (and we are in only early January) and yet Detroit has more than Muskegan and Grand Rapids (not to mention better snowcover). Also....the city in MI probably MOST prone to snow drought (based on local standards) in recent winters is Sault St. Marie, and they are doing about average...which shows things can and will turn around. Once the Arctic air is cut loose later next week, I suspect western MI will be hit hard with LES for at least 2-3 days. Who knows Blackrock, by the end of the month you may have a couple feet on the ground! I figure by the time we get to January 20th, the rest of the areas that haven't seen a 3" snowfall will have disappeared off my map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestMichigan Posted January 4, 2013 Share Posted January 4, 2013 Once the Arctic air is cut loose later next week, I suspect western MI will be hit hard with LES for at least 2-3 days. Who knows Blackrock, by the end of the month you may have a couple feet on the ground! I figure by the time we get to January 20th, the rest of the areas that haven't seen a 3" snowfall will have disappeared off my map. I sure hope you are right... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Accuweather really rubbing in the snow drought in Chicago. Several cities in the south have seen more snow than Chicago so far! http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/chicagos-snow-lagging-behind-m/3583264 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Central Illinois Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Thanks. Must be really frustrating in Battle Creek from what I can see from that map! Did some adjustments. Took a closer look at the 3" cut off line from the winter solstice blizzard and I included that little area in NE Cook Co. that had over 3". looks pretty close to me good job Sent from my iPhone 5 using Tapatalk! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 You're map is off a bit in SW IL. I have had 3" snow back in December. Many area's right around me to the SE have as well that are included. Not that I care that it's a bit off. Thought I'd give you a heads up on that. We had a system that gave many of us right around 3-4", pending on when measurements were taken compaction would play a big role in that one. I had 2.5" but others in my city reported 3-4". And I know two cities 7-10 MIles S and SE of here had 3-4" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The_Global_Warmer Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 That should help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 It looks like things MAY improve for you when the cold comes in after mid-month. Early indications are this could be a good pattern for clippers and more importantly for you, LES. Whats interesting in that article....and I know its easy to look at your snowfall totals in recent years and say "why complain?", but I think its easy to forget just how much snow Muskegan ACTUALLY averages. They should be at 38" to date, just 5" less than the ENTIRE seasonal average for Detroit (and we are in only early January) and yet Detroit has more than Muskegan and Grand Rapids (not to mention better snowcover). Also....the city in MI probably MOST prone to snow drought (based on local standards) in recent winters is Sault St. Marie, and they are doing about average...which shows things can and will turn around. Once the Arctic air is cut loose later next week, I suspect western MI will be hit hard with LES for at least 2-3 days. Who knows Blackrock, by the end of the month you may have a couple feet on the ground! I figure by the time we get to January 20th, the rest of the areas that haven't seen a 3" snowfall will have disappeared off my map. Thanks for the encouragement, guys. I think I am starting to understand the climate here more. Muskegon seems to have more extremes based off of lake influence. If the pattern doesn't favor much lake effect, the year's snowfall total ends up being in the 50 to 70 inch range. If the lake is involved, the year's total is pretty much doubled and ends up somewhere in the 120 to 150 inch range. Those are pretty big differences, but I think shows how we get an average in the 100 inch range. A winter of 50 inches seems REALLY dull compared to one with 150 inches. Unfortunately, most of the winters I have lived here have been on the much less snowy side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 That should help. Wow, that's a pretty big difference from the south side of St. Louis to the north side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 You're map is off a bit in SW IL. I have had 3" snow back in December. Many area's right around me to the SE have as well that are included. Not that I care that it's a bit off. Thought I'd give you a heads up on that. We had a system that gave many of us right around 3-4", pending on when measurements were taken compaction would play a big role in that one. I had 2.5" but others in my city reported 3-4". And I know two cities 7-10 MIles S and SE of here had 3-4" Ok. I gotta bring my line up towards the city more. I know the northern side of the St. Louis metro has not had a 3" snow yet. Thanks for the info. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 Thanks for the encouragement, guys. I think I am starting to understand the climate here more. Muskegon seems to have more extremes based off of lake influence. If the pattern doesn't favor much lake effect, the year's snowfall total ends up being in the 50 to 70 inch range. If the lake is involved, the year's total is pretty much doubled and ends up somewhere in the 120 to 150 inch range. Those are pretty big differences, but I think shows how we get an average in the 100 inch range. A winter of 50 inches seems REALLY dull compared to one with 150 inches. Unfortunately, most of the winters I have lived here have been on the much less snowy side. I think one issue for Muskegon is when it comes to storms cutting up from the SW that are supposed to give the area snow is that the system pulls too much mild air from the southern part of the lake. You get an extra warm tongue up your way near the lake. It seems western Lakes cutters seem to go up the lake a lot of times before cutting across in your area. What's the best wind direction for you for LES? WNW I'm guessing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 I think one issue for Muskegon is when it comes to storms cutting up from the SW that are supposed to give the area snow is that the system pulls too much mild air from the southern part of the lake. You get an extra warm tongue up your way near the lake. It seems western Lakes cutters seem to go up the lake a lot of times before cutting across in your area. What's the best wind direction for you for LES? WNW I'm guessing. If we're affected by a warm tongue of air, it's usually in November/early december. However, with it being so mild, that has been lasting longer. I have noticed the best wind directions for lake effect snow around here are southwest (great for enhancement too), westerly (where there is no strong wind...otherwise it can get blown over us to GR), and actually North northwest. I have grown quite fond of north northwest lake bands because they go along a long stretch of lake michigan, are usually ushered in with cold air, and hug the coast. They can really DUMP on us. Sometimes where there is too much westerly component, the bands get too narrow and jump over many areas. Of course, since moving here, I have not experienced many good lake effect events the past couple winters. Each winter we have managed to get a nice convergence band that dumps 8 to 12 inches, but that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 If we're affected by a warm tongue of air, it's usually in November/early december. However, with it being so mild, that has been lasting longer. I have noticed the best wind directions for lake effect snow around here are southwest (great for enhancement too), westerly (where there is no strong wind...otherwise it can get blown over us to GR), and actually North northwest. I have grown quite fond of north northwest lake bands because they go along a long stretch of lake michigan, are usually ushered in with cold air, and hug the coast. They can really DUMP on us. Sometimes where there is too much westerly component, the bands get too narrow and jump over many areas. Of course, since moving here, I have not experienced many good lake effect events the past couple winters. Each winter we have managed to get a nice convergence band that dumps 8 to 12 inches, but that's about it. With the NNW events, a Lake Superior connection is usually involved in addition to the long Lake Michigan fetch, which can lead to nasty accumulations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted January 5, 2013 Share Posted January 5, 2013 With the NNW events, a Lake Superior connection is usually involved in addition to the long Lake Michigan fetch, which can lead to nasty accumulations. Very true...I LOVE those events. I wouldn't if I lived on the eastern side of my county. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harry Posted January 6, 2013 Share Posted January 6, 2013 I think one issue for Muskegon is when it comes to storms cutting up from the SW that are supposed to give the area snow is that the system pulls too much mild air from the southern part of the lake. You get an extra warm tongue up your way near the lake. It seems western Lakes cutters seem to go up the lake a lot of times before cutting across in your area. What's the best wind direction for you for LES? WNW I'm guessing. Muskegon basically sits on the same storm track as MKE. That is under most normal circumstances. Storms going almost due north are the exception as well as systems headed ese/se ( clipper type lows ) are the exception too. We had one but ala it was a warmer system. For Muskegon wnw/west and especially wsw works best for there. If we're affected by a warm tongue of air, it's usually in November/early december. However, with it being so mild, that has been lasting longer. I have noticed the best wind directions for lake effect snow around here are southwest (great for enhancement too), westerly (where there is no strong wind...otherwise it can get blown over us to GR), and actually North northwest. I have grown quite fond of north northwest lake bands because they go along a long stretch of lake michigan, are usually ushered in with cold air, and hug the coast. They can really DUMP on us. Sometimes where there is too much westerly component, the bands get too narrow and jump over many areas. Of course, since moving here, I have not experienced many good lake effect events the past couple winters. Each winter we have managed to get a nice convergence band that dumps 8 to 12 inches, but that's about it. Believe me 9 out of 10 times a nnw flow does jack for you as usually ( not always ) the band ends up JUST offshore. Usually clips the points ( to your north ) and comes in near Berrien County ( sometimes on Indiana side and completely misses MI ) in the far sw corner of the state. We have had many of these going back to 06-07.. Problem for you and most others in W.MI ( Except Berrien ) is the severely lacking wnw/west and to some degree wsw flow events. EVERYTHING has either been NNW/N/NNE, or NE flow events for a few years now. We need decent cold and a good source for moisture to combine with our desired flow. Usually a closed off system hanging up near Superior/N.MI and a decent supply of cold will do the trick. With the NNW events, a Lake Superior connection is usually involved in addition to the long Lake Michigan fetch, which can lead to nasty accumulations. Outside of Berrien County hardly anywhere else in this state cashes in from such events. But yeah they are epic producers down that way across N.IN.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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