Boreal Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 And as I say that, NWS/KDIX has extended the advisory to Carbon county.... O_o Looks like Warren and Morris in NJ as well. Still, I've seen no reports of precip. reaching the ground yet in PA. But it's early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Well, only 224hrs before our next SNOW* ice threat per the 0z euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blinkers88 Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Well, only 224hrs before our next SNOW* ice threat per the 0z euro. How much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phlwx Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 it's five days too late lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 it's five days too late lol Adam meltdown incoming....!!!! haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 I really, REALLY weenie wish the GFS depiction happens..... Just beautiful Believable? Who knows... Guidance has been waffling in the long range... However, if you've been fortunate to follow HM's and some other red taggers up in the NE discussion on the bottoms up strat event, it has some credence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Well, only 224hrs before our next SNOW* ice threat per the 0z euro. I know for us in delco you meant rain but its nice of you to think of everyone else! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 looks like it was the coldest NOV since 1996 at both PHL & TTN, 7-8 degrees colder than last NOV pretty impressive #'s at Trenton - only 3 above ave days for the whole month, 14 days of 32 or below & an ave low for the month of 32.7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Harbourton Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Just to add a little tropical slant. Boy this looks ugly for the Philippines. Pretty sure it will make news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 looks like it was the coldest NOV since 1996 at both PHL & TTN, 7-8 degrees colder than last NOV pretty impressive #'s at Trenton - only 3 above ave days for the whole month, 14 days of 32 or below & an ave low for the month of 32.7 Yes, on the one hand you have a bad analog from the average temp departure, since 1996-1997 was not a great, or even average, winter. Then on the other you have the number of sub-freezing days at TTN is the same as in 2002, which of course led to a great winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BucksCO_PA Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Yes, on the one hand you have a bad analog from the average temp departure, since 1996-1997 was not a great, or even average, winter. Then on the other you have the number of sub-freezing days at TTN is the same as in 2002, which of course led to a great winter. tiebreaker is snowfall, measurable snow both 2002 & 2012 also 2012 was the snowiest NOV at TTN since 1989, 2nd snowiest in the past 45 yrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Holding at 39F, chillier than expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 tiebreaker is snowfall, measurable snow both 2002 & 2012 also 2012 was the snowiest NOV at TTN since 1989, 2nd snowiest in the past 45 yrs 1989 is not a good analog (at least, not one you want if you want snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 Holding at 39F, chillier than expected High of 37° today, lower than forecast. It was chilly putting up those Christmas lights! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 High of 37° today, lower than forecast. It was chilly putting up those Christmas lights! wouldn't have it any other way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 wouldn't have it any other way Ha, true! I usually pick the coldest day to do that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 already tired of all the pessimism and negativity wrt to winter potential. let's just let it develop and see what happens. we're just getting started! (literally day 1 of met winter)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 already tired of all the pessimism and negativity wrt to winter potential. let's just let it develop and see what happens. we're just getting started! (literally day 1 of met winter)... i dont know how its pessimistic and negativity. It always can't be cold cold cold, snow snow snow...you discuss what things show if its for the good or bad it is what it is. If things show a bad pattern you say that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 1, 2012 Share Posted December 1, 2012 i dont know how its pessimistic and negativity. It always can't be cold cold cold, snow snow snow...you discuss what things show if its for the good or bad it is what it is. If things show a bad pattern you say that. Some people come here just to hear about potential threats, not that winter might suck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eastonwx Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 i dont know how its pessimistic and negativity. It always can't be cold cold cold, snow snow snow...you discuss what things show if its for the good or bad it is what it is. If things show a bad pattern you say that. Amen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 Some people come here just to hear about potential threats, not that winter might suck ray, your thoughts Late Afternoon Isolated showers. Cloudy, with a high near 57. Southwest wind around 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%. Tonight Showers likely, mainly after 4am. Cloudy, with a low around 37. South southwest wind 5 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Showers. High near 56. Windy, with a south southwest wind 23 to 31 mph, with gusts as high as 48 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Sunday Night Scattered showers before 4am, then isolated sprinkles after 4am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. West southwest wind 7 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Monday Isolated sprinkles before 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 50. Southwest wind 3 to 6 mph. Monday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Tuesday Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Tuesday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Wednesday A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 53. Wednesday Night A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Thursday Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 21. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. Friday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 22. Saturday Mostly sunny, with a high near 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 ray, your thoughts About? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 About? thats elko's 7 day...do you like how the word snow is vacant and replaced with rain showerS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 thats elko's 7 day...do you like how the word snow is vacant and replaced with rain showerS? After the wreck of last winter, I am used to it. At least it will rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 After the wreck of last winter, I am used to it. At least it will rain. what did u get last winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 what did u get last winter? Last December we had nothing... literally nothing... except for a few snowflakes and rain drops. Literally a trace of precipitation the entire month. Awful. It improved somewhat the rest of the winter...and we did finally get a foot of snow in March... but of course those aren't much different here than there; gone in a few days. Even though we did have a foot, greatest snow depth was only 6 inches. Here were are snowfalls of more than 1" last winter: 1 12.1 3/17-18/2012 2 4.5 2/15/2012 3 4.5 1/22-23/2012 4 2.6 2/29-3/ 1/2012 5 1.4 11/18/2011 Mind you, we average 41.3" a winter. Total last winter was 29.0"... 3.9" came in increments of less than 1". Yeah I know, you had a worse winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslotted Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 Some people come here just to hear about potential threats, not that winter might suck Thanks for making a generalization about me, but that wasn't what my comment was referring to. Tom has had some solid analysis, and it's based in fact, which of course I respect and appreciate. Across the board though, I picked up on a pessismistic and negative vibe about this winter, so I posted about it in our banter thread. So what? You just have to stoke the fire, don't you? (wink smileys make it ok, right? ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 Thanks for making a generalization about me, but that wasn't what my comment was referring to. Tom has had some solid analysis, and it's based in fact, which of course I respect and appreciate. Across the board though, I picked up on a pessismistic and negative vibe about this winter, so I posted about it in our banter thread. So what? You just have to stoke the fire, don't you? (wink smileys make it ok, right? ) i agree with that. Some people do that where they just say its over and never give any analysis. That does upset me. Its like what that easternsnowman did to HM in one of our threads. Basically through him under the bus by saying he was wrong about early december. Well i dont see him putting himself out their and making forecasts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 Thanks for making a generalization about me, but that wasn't what my comment was referring to. Tom has had some solid analysis, and it's based in fact, which of course I respect and appreciate. Across the board though, I picked up on a pessismistic and negative vibe about this winter, so I posted about it in our banter thread. So what? You just have to stoke the fire, don't you? (wink smileys make it ok, right? ) I'm not surprised at all that it seems a bit pessimistic on the board right now. For over a month, various persons have been calling for a turn to a cold, snow pattern either late in November or early in December. Now that's been pushed back, at the least. All the talk of a good pattern got people excited, and now they're deflating. All that having been said, anyone who already got some snow should have no cause to be depressed. But emotion rarely listens to reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wederwarrior Posted December 2, 2012 Share Posted December 2, 2012 Feels like March Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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