Voyager Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Serious question. How did the model runs go from looking halfway decent to flat out sucking so fast? What were they missing when they were showing decent chances at frozen precipitation up until this afternoon? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 fwiw, nam is pretty measily with the xmas wave.. mybe some flurries.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Serious question. How did the model runs go from looking halfway decent to flat out sucking so fast? What were they missing when they were showing decent chances at frozen precipitation up until this afternoon? they were showing better digging with the xmas wave, which brought in more cold air and leaving behind better confluence to keep the 2nd wave weaker, now, models don't dig the xmas wave to Kentucky to south of phl. like it was showing 48hrs ago, (the vort makes it Michigan instead of kentucky) less digging, weaker wave, less confluence for the 2nd wave.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Winter cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cary Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Winter cancel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 1. It's a joke 2. Loosen up a bit, you've been edgy lately 3. Happy Holidays Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boch23 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Not only did the models taunt me now history2 has modern marvels "snow" on right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 Giants Cancel! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parsley Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Giants Cancel! Yup. Today's the day. Luckily I'll be surrounded by plenty of alcohol the next few days Oh, Santa is getting me the Superbowl 46 DVD for Christmas, so I can atleast "live in the past". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I have noticed that many posters are now using the word confluence with storms. Is this the new go to word for a bust. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I have noticed that many posters are now using the word confluence with storms. Is this the new go to word for a bust. Got me, But this storm is screaming ice storm for E.PA and NE NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Got me, But this storm is screaming ice storm for E.PA and NE NJ I Don't see it this way, at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anthonyweather Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I Don't see it this way, at all. these models are still having a tough time pinning down tomorrow nights clipper, up until this morning all of PA was game for 1-3" of snow, now some snow but mainly freezing rain?! this is far from over IMO, tomorrows 00z should zero in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I have noticed that many posters are now using the word confluence with storms. Is this the new go to word for a bust. there's several, some more than one word -PNA MJO crapped out EPO bad QBO bad LA NADA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Eagles suck, no hockey, cold rain.... Is it spring yet?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 there's several, some more than one word -PNA MJO crapped out EPO bad QBO bad LA NADA Rex block! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 f the rex! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Rex block! Neg Nao ftw! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 f the rex! Wonder if we're shaping up for an old fashioned N & W winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Wonder if we're shaping up for an old fashioned N & W winter. And that's what I grew up to. All through my early years I can remember watching the Philly news channels saying "more north and west of the city". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted December 23, 2012 Author Share Posted December 23, 2012 And that's what I grew up to. All through my early years I can remember watching the Philly news channels saying "more north and west of the city". its about time, right steve? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 after the christmas wave, i think someone should start a dec 30th storm threat. Their is definitely some potential with that one. People do need to realize it could end up like the dec 28th storm with a primary going somewhere and 2ndry forming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Voyager Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 after the christmas wave, i think someone should start a dec 30th storm threat. Their is definitely some potential with that one. People do need to realize it could end up like the dec 28th storm with a primary going somewhere and 2ndry forming. If we can ship Ray back to Elko we may have a shot... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Porsche Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 after the christmas wave, i think someone should start a dec 30th storm threat. Their is definitely some potential with that one. People do need to realize it could end up like the dec 28th storm with a primary going somewhere and 2ndry forming. Not that anyone believe's the 18 GFS but it's a start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 Not that anyone believe's the 18 GFS but it's a start lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RowanBrandon Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I'm calling the 29th storm as a big storm for NJ since I will be in Pittsburgh that weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 And that's what I grew up to. All through my early years I can remember watching the Philly news channels saying "more north and west of the city". you got it! that was a regular part of the forecast untill i moved further north and west of the city five years ago instead of just 12 miles away. Now it's been mostly more for philly south and east with monmouth NJ as the jackpot lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tombo82685 Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 you got it! that was a regular part of the forecast untill i moved further north and west of the city five years ago instead of just 12 miles away. Now it's been mostly more for philly south and east with monmouth NJ as the jackpot lol I still don't care if they get the bigger storms. When push comes to shove the snow season up here is longer and we can get away with marginal events while down around the city and points south its a good bit harder. This year and last year have been north and west based. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 ^ I'd argue that last year was a no one based Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted December 23, 2012 Share Posted December 23, 2012 I still don't care if they get the bigger storms. When push comes to shove the snow season up here is longer and we can get away with marginal events while down around the city and points south its a good bit harder. This year and last year have been north and west based. well it did work out better both years in the fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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