andyhb Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Every run of the longer range models (especially the operationals) is going to change that graph, there's no sense in getting stressed out and/or over-confident about any given run unless there is a trend/general ensemble support. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 We needed this storm for a rockin december. Blows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 All I know is it is cold and windy. Stark contrast to last November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 What a bunch of weenies. The models hinted at the chance of a mild break before December. Better off waiting until then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 What a bunch of weenies. The models hinted at the chance of a mild break before December. Better off waiting until then. Rope, Chair, Hose, Toaster, Bridge, Bath Tub and Black Hole, Got it covered...lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Eh' sunny and seasonable is just fine in November. Beats cold rain. The firewood can dry in preparation for an epic DJF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 All we need is socks to come in with a d10 H5 post and then the nail to the coffin is set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 All we need is socks to come in with a d10 H5 post and then the nail to the coffin is set. Yeah but i thought it always looks great at H5............... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 All we need is socks to come in with a d10 H5 post and then the nail to the coffin is set. hopefully Ryan gets to do some liveshots outdoors showing folks basking in the warmth on Turkey Day...or maybe he gets to talk with shoppers going out on Black Friday wearing shorts and talking about the mild conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 hopefully Ryan gets to do some liveshots outdoors showing folks basking in the warmth on Turkey Day...or maybe he gets to talk with shoppers going out on Black Friday wearing shorts and talking about the mild conditions. It will be nice when Kevin can play lawn jarts with the family. Good, family, fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Not sure what all the fuss is about... So we lose a couple of chances...big deal. Look long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 What a bunch of weenies. The models hinted at the chance of a mild break before December. Better off waiting until then. It isn't even that mild anyway...maybe a day or two where its like 50F. I think the 11/7-8 snow really spoiled some of us..esp since how cold it was too. We cannot realistically expect highs in the 30s every day after mid November...that is simply just too early for climo. In fact, some days have their record low maximum temperatures not much below 30F at 1,000 foot ORH airport...here's the list of record low maximums over the next week starting this weekend: 11/18: 28F (1959) 11/19: 29F (2008) 11/20: 23F (1951) 11/21: 28F (1987) 11/22: 24F (2008) 11/23: 22F (1989) 11/24: 26F (2000) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 I wonder if there be any days normal thru end of NOv or do we run a string of 15+ days below? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 It will be nice when Kevin can play lawn jarts with the family. Good, family, fun. yeah morning family soccer game...Macy's Parade with Al Roker talking about the unseasonable warmth....can't even put the beers out on the deck to keep 'em cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 It isn't even that mild anyway...maybe a day or two where its like 50F. I think the 11/7-8 snow really spoiled some of us..esp since how cold it was too. We cannot realistically expect highs in the 30s every day after mid November...that is simply just too early for climo. In fact, some days have their record low maximum temperatures not much below 30F at 1,000 foot ORH airport...here's the list of record low maximums over the next week starting this weekend: 11/18: 28F (1959) 11/19: 29F (2008) 11/20: 23F (1951) 11/21: 28F (1987) 11/22: 24F (2008) 11/23: 22F (1989) 11/24: 26F (2000) That's the thing, it's like 20s are expected. LOL at 1989. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Red tagger piggy pile on Blizz while nude... someday he will quit the board and never return. Is that what you all want... (seriously, don't answer that) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 It probably will still come in some shape or form. That's still a pretty good looking omega shaped ridge over the Aleutians in the long range. Maybe it waxes and wanes as we see many times in December...but the overall signature is still there. Instead of people getting antsy, why not just wait until we get inside day 10. Models can show whatever they want now, but lets get this inside hr 240. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 That's the thing, it's like 20s are expected. LOL at 1989. Yeah that airmass was the beginning of the obscenity that was to follow the next month...who knew at the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Nice look to blocking coming up Tday on, that is the time frame I have been keying on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Yeah that airmass was the beginning of the obscenity that was to follow the next month...who knew at the time. And who knew the disaster waiting after December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Red tagger piggy pile on Blizz while nude... someday he will quit the board and never return. Is that what you all want... he loves warm sunny weather. this is like march when the coast and BOS and ORH stay in the low/mid 40s and BDL hits like 47 or 48. he lives for that stuff. perfect pattern for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Yeah that airmass was the beginning of the obscenity that was to follow the next month...who knew at the time. that was an amazing run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 he loves warm sunny weather. this is like march when the coast and BOS and ORH stay in the low/mid 40s and BDL hits like 47 or 48. he lives for that stuff. perfect pattern for him. With the new truck, he can go to Home Depot and pick out plants for his mulch bed and maybe a few yards of loam to spread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 All we need is socks to come in with a d10 H5 post and then the nail to the coffin is set. laughing hard, while looking back at Kevin's socks with sandals comments over the past few days, including the map interpretation comments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 that was an amazing run. I hated it, besides the Dec 15th storm, which screwed coastal areas after negative numbers that week,it was brutal Arctic cold, dry and as windy as all hell. Still I believe coldest Dec country wide ever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 With the new truck, he can go to Home Depot and pick out plants for his mulch bed and maybe a few yards of loam to spread. Rule #1 - Change the Diaper Genie daily... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 I hated it, besides the Dec 15th storm, which screwed coastal areas after negative numbers that week,it was brutal Arctic cold, dry and as windy as all hell. Still I believe coldest Dec country wide ever. i loved it. not knowing it was going to flip to a godawful second half, i thought it was the start of a coming ice age or something. we were ice skating by early Dec. it was unrelenting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 It probably will still come in some shape or form. That's still a pretty good looking omega shaped ridge over the Aleutians in the long range. Maybe it waxes and wanes as we see many times in December...but the overall signature is still there. Instead of people getting antsy, why not just wait until we get inside day 10. Models can show whatever they want now, but lets get this inside hr 240. Yeah it reminds me of 2010 when everyone was trying to bring the cold and snow in by T-day, but we kept saying wait until December...we ended up getting a This looks pretty similar actually. People might recall we had a lakes cutter on 12/1/10. It finally got cold after that and we missed out on a chance or two before another lakes cutter on 12/13/10...then it settled into cold and faovrable pattern for the next 2 weeks...we got that storm that backed into the Cape on 12/22 and then of course Boxing Day. I doubt we end up with a mega-NAO block again liek that December, but we don't need one to have chances or be seasonably cold. That block just allowed the far SE US to be cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 i loved it. not knowing it was going to flip to a godawful second half, i thought it was the start of a coming ice age or something. we were ice skating by early Dec. it was unrelenting. I was working outside near the Thames river in NL while you were chasing skirts on ice. Brutal, a smidgen of icy ground cover and wind chills near 0 for days and days. I know the interior had a decent storm on the 15th with 6-12 but we pretty much sat under the vortex of death. When the pattern flipped right after Christmas it was agonizing, probably the first time I used the term wasted cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 Excellent@ BigJoeBastardi: ECMWF has major cold pattern developing by end of the month, while US based ensembles twiddle thumbs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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