mattie g Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 People in Connecticut reporting thundersnow, for those interested in knowing. I can tell you that no one (except maybe some mets) is interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capitalweather Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 12z models were really weak. I'm thinking this underperforms up and down the coast, though someone in W C NJ might get some impressive snow. At CWG, we're downplaying snow in DCA-BWI corridor: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/prospect-of-snowflakes-have-declined-in-washington-dc-now-less-than-5050/2012/11/07/9b64467a-28f1-11e2-bab2-eda299503684_blog.html The precip rates and boundary layer temps aren't going to get it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 12z models were really weak. I'm thinking this underperforms up and down the coast, though someone in W C NJ might get some impressive snow. At CWG, we're downplaying snow in DCA-BWI corridor: http://www.washingto...03684_blog.html The precip rates and boundary layer temps aren't going to get it done. Sprinklestorm Athena? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Sprinklestorm Athena? just rename it the "Mitt" storm and be done with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I just want to see some flakes.. that's all not the best storm for one to pin hopes on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 In DC, still waiting for the "lowering and thickening clouds" part which generally needs to happen first. A fairly high overcast at the moment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Weird looking ne to se orientated skinny band on the delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 3-5 for SBos? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Just saying, some decent mod snow could get eastern Baltimore, some little bands popping on the Eastern Shore, still pushing west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 3-5 for SBos? Flakes yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Just saying, some decent mod snow could get eastern Baltimore, some little bands popping on the Eastern Shore, still pushing west. Not sure I buy the moderate part, but I had just said the below quote in the wrong thread. My expectations have always been for a slushy coating at best, so I won't be discouraged if nothing comes of it. However, the LWX radar is finally starting to show the rotating precip working its way across the northern bay towards the Havre de Grace area. Even a couple of hours of some light snow would be a bonus for early November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Not sure I buy the moderate part, but I had just said the below quote in the wrong thread. I'm right on the western shore, so I mean if anyone I'll get the heaviest. (Assuming its snow) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 The latest CWG thinking on the storm http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/post/prospect-of-snowflakes-have-declined-in-washington-dc-now-less-than-5050/2012/11/07/9b64467a-28f1-11e2-bab2-eda299503684_blog.html#pagebreak Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 New Euro doesn't give anyone in the area 1"+ except maybe extreme NE md. Jackpot 4-8 across NJ to NYC area and NE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quasievil Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 New Euro doesn't give anyone in the area 1"+ except maybe extreme NE md. Jackpot 4-8 across NJ to NYC area and NE CT. Take Sandy out of the equation (heck you could probably make a case for Sandy too) and the trends the past few months have been underperformance in this area. Seems that's still the case with this lame turd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 New Euro doesn't give anyone in the area 1"+ except maybe extreme NE md. Jackpot 4-8 across NJ to NYC area and NE CT. I'm not surprised, those looking for moderate precipitation are likely to be disappointed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I'm not surprised, those looking for moderate precipitation are likely to be disappointed. Its way past that time, its clear from radar and obs that any precip of significance is having a hard time even making it west of Philadelphia. I am doubtful even the western suburbs of Philly will see any real accumulations looking at the current situation. Still wondering what LWX is looking at. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Its way past that time, its clear from radar and obs that any precip of significance is having a hard time even making it west of Philadelphia. I am doubtful even the western suburbs of Philly will see any real accumulations looking at the current situation. Still wondering what LWX is looking at. PHL is rain at 1pm too, though I would think it changes if the models have any skill. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 PHL is rain at 1pm too, though I would think it changes if the models have any skill. Its rain in Philly because if you look at the radar returns heavy precip is having a hard time making it west of the delaware river valley. With only light precip its going to be hard to get it to snow in the urban heat island. Philly has been sitting on the western fringe of the real precip all day. Its obvious nothing is making a real westward push. Some of the light echoes are advancing west and there will be scattered "showery" type precip over our area, but its becoming obvious there will be no organized band of significant precip anywhere near the advisory area in northern MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Gray chilly day been holding at 42 for the past few hours. Although WxUnder shows a 70% of snow I really do not expect to see much out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Cloudy and 38. It does "smell" like snow outside. But I am too far west for any love. You guys up in Baltimore enjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 7, 2012 Author Share Posted November 7, 2012 APG finally reporting -RA. Still a lot of evap. cooling that would need to happen to see snow reach the surface. Don't think it's going to happen for us with this storm. I still hope I see a few flakes this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Herb@MAWS Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I think this is the last best chance for today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Its rain in Philly because if you look at the radar returns heavy precip is having a hard time making it west of the delaware river valley. With only light precip its going to be hard to get it to snow in the urban heat island. Philly has been sitting on the western fringe of the real precip all day. Its obvious nothing is making a real westward push. Some of the light echoes are advancing west and there will be scattered "showery" type precip over our area, but its becoming obvious there will be no organized band of significant precip anywhere near the advisory area in northern MD. I mentioned it in the banter thread, but my parents in South Jersey sent me an e-mail reporting moderate snow with the grass covered a couple hours ago. It's all about the rates. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 WWA cancelled for Baltimore City and southern Baltimore County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Weenie OBS of flakes in Fairfax and Mclean......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 next...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 The heavy precip has basically been sitting in the same area in South Jersey for 5 hours now. It is obvious its not advancing. Even in NE MD where I live we will be lucky to see much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Damn, if this was January 7th we'd be looking at an epic screw job. One for the ages. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I'd be happier if I were you guys than me here in Philly where 3-5 turns into probably nada. Like PSU mentioned in this thread the heaviest rates are just not making it into Philly. In a normal winter storm the echoes we have wouild be producing mod-hvy snow but its like a snow/rain mix. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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