ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I think those 1000-1500 ft foothills from about Norway to Belgrade Lakes could see some serious ice. A few of those northeast facing slopes will see warning criteria I think. Yeah, I noticed that as well. They hold low level cold like nobody's business in these SWFE setups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Just peeked at HPC WWD grids, they've got 0.50" to 0.75" ice for basically KIZG to KLEW tonight/tomorrow, with a 70% chance of 0.25" or greater in that same area. That's using a 12z NAM thermal field and model consensus QPF. Sounds pretty reasonable other than I would shift that area east 25 to 50 miles. May have to pull the generator out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 May have to pull the generator out I'm thinking just to your NW could get it pretty good, like Streaked Mt. area. Also, 21z SREF just dumped out to 30 hrs. Increase in both area and magnitude of ZR probs. Still think their resolution is forcing the probs too far N, but overall I agree with the trend. Conversely, the 00z NAM is a degree or two warmer at 2 m for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I'm thinking just to your NW could get it pretty good, like Streaked Mt. area. Also, 21z SREF just dumped out to 30 hrs. Increase in both area and magnitude of ZR probs. Still think their resolution is forcing the probs too far N, but overall I agree with the trend. Conversely, the 00z NAM is a degree or two warmer at 2 m for tomorrow. Turner/Buckfield definitely, A little elevation goes a long way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Seems like 2m temps are 1-2F warmer than guidance had for this time. Currently 28F and was progged for ~26F earlier. KRUT is still 36F. They may see no frozen except for a few flakes at the onset haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 LCI has gone from 28 at 7:30pm to 36 now. I was hoping for a nice little glaze of freezing rain but that seems like wishful thinking now. Air can be so frustrating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Up 2F here from 28.8F to 30.8F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Up to 32.4F, Hopefully we cool some once the precip move in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 We are leveling out at 28.2F here at Lyndon State. Dewpoint 24.5F so we will be able to start off snow. However, I wouldn't doubt a perlong period of Freezing Rain especially after 3 am. I could see 0.1-0.2" of Ice North of St. Johnsbury. I noticed they closed East Burke Town School for Freezing Rain. Interesting call I must say! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 10:45 P.M. – I just looked outside and we’ve got light snow falling here in Waterbury. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 We are leveling out at 28.2F here at Lyndon State. Dewpoint 24.5F so we will be able to start off snow. However, I wouldn't doubt a perlong period of Freezing Rain especially after 3 am. I could see 0.1-0.2" of Ice North of St. Johnsbury. I noticed they closed East Burke Town School for Freezing Rain. Interesting call I must say! Yeah snow may be limited to 1" then a prolonged period of ZR. We may flip earlier to plain rain with slightly warmer temps. Hopefully we wet bulb to 27ish when precip begins. But 0.10-0.25" of ice is very possible, especially around lyndonville up through island pond, and from like 800ft to 1,500ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Winter Storm Warnings just extended to Androscoggin and Kennebec Counties in Maine. NWS GYX calling for 1-2 inches of Snow and 0.25-0.5" of Ice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Winter Storm Warnings just extended to Androscoggin and Kennebec Counties in Maine. NWS GYX calling for 1-2 inches of Snow and 0.25-0.5" of Ice. I didn't see much of a reason to hold off any longer. Whether AUG and WVL specifically see those conditions is still unsure, but the NW parts of the counties will surely see significant impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I didn't see much of a reason to hold off any longer. Whether AUG and WVL specifically see those conditions is still unsure, but the NW parts of the counties will surely see significant impacts. Better to be bullish in this situation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 I didn't see much of a reason to hold off any longer. Whether AUG and WVL specifically see those conditions is still unsure, but the NW parts of the counties will surely see significant impacts. Yeah good call! I would expect the same for Interior areas of those counties... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Snowing in Plymouth now 31F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CardinalWinds Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Coming down pretty good on the Montpelier/Middlesex town line at 900'...ground already white. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 34F and rain on 91 in Newbury, VT (mile marker 110) according to the mesowest station. That's not good. All liquid the whole storm. Busted badly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 28F over 25F and Flurries here at Lyndon State Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 You can see the leading edge of the CC melting ring getting beaten back to the south (in York County, ME) as wet bulb cooling flips things to snow initially. However, a little more concentrated push of warm air aloft seems to be working in from Strafford County, NH. That should be where the changeover really takes place. Now how far NE that makes it is the question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Looks like .2-.3" down and steady snow, but not sticking to the roads very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 Grass looked pretty well covered at 2am and still sloppy wet snow on the ground. Need to go measure. Looks like an inch or 1.5" but that's just a guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Spent the night in Gorham, ME ... looked to be about a 1/4" or so of snow and/or sleet with rain falling. 33F there, 43F in Portland. Good luck to folks up north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 All rain at 32.7F. A few sleet pellets still mixing in but the writing is on the wall. Going to go with .3" as the total. Good luck to everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Couple of tenths here and then RAPL. Looks like all rain now...33. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 I was way off on my visual out the window in the dark estimation.... actual at home was 0.6" of super saturated snow. No sign of any icing and 34F. Up at 1,550ft I've got 1.2" with a mix of sleet and rain falling. Pretty good thick sub-freezing layer over head though based on our current Mansfield readings: 3,600ft...27F 2,635ft...29F 2,400ft...31F 1,550ft...33F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Event totals: 0.6” Snow/0.17” L.E. Snow had started up last night by 10:45 P.M., and I measured 0.6” of accumulation on the snowboard before I headed off to bed by midnight or so. I heard some ticks of sleet in the 2 to 3 A.M. range as that started to mix in, and this morning the precipitation had changed over to rain. I pulled 0.14” of liquid coring the slush on the snowboard, and the rain gauge contained 0.17” of liquid, so most of the precipitation from this event was still on the board. The next round of snow is supposed to come in this evening with the back side of the system, and the NWS point forecast is calling for 1-3” here. Some details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations are below: New Snow: 0.6 inches New Liquid: 0.14 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 4.3 Snow Density: 23.3% H2O Temperature: 36.5 F Sky: Rain Snow at the stake: 0.5 inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Rain. 33. Second storm I've been here that the cold has been scoured out quicker than forecast. Looks like maybe an inch of snow.::just a guess though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 10, 2012 Share Posted December 10, 2012 Rain. 33. Second storm I've been here that the cold has been scoured out quicker than forecast. Looks like maybe an inch of snow.::just a guess though Looks to be about the same in Barre, maybe a little less. Pretty crappy day in general. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 10, 2012 Author Share Posted December 10, 2012 Rain. 33. Second storm I've been here that the cold has been scoured out quicker than forecast. Looks like maybe an inch of snow.::just a guess though It just wasn't all that cold to begin with... most sites went above freezing in the partly sunny skies yesterday afternoon, then it cooled off some, but it wasn't like we were sitting upper teens at the sfc as this moved in. What's interesting is the air is taking its sweet time getting scoured out at 2-4k feet. Still sitting 29F at 3,600ft and 30F at 2,600ft with fairly significant glazing in progress right now in that 3000-4000ft range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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