dryslot Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Nice advisory event on the 12z GFS for Monday. Good thing your at school, You end up on the right side of that gradient....lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eekuasepinniW Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 emotionally devastating torch failure in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 emotionally stabilizing torch failure in progress. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 emotionally devastating torch failure in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Record high at Massena already at 67F. Most areas west of the Greens are in the 50's to 60's, but east of them, socked in with low clouds temps in the 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Record high at Massena already at 67F. Most areas west of the Greens are in the 50's to 60's, but east of them, socked in with low clouds temps in the 40's. Mostly 30s out this way away from the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 Record high at Massena already at 67F. Most areas west of the Greens are in the 50's to 60's, but east of them, socked in with low clouds temps in the 40's. Been warm at the summit all day (mid 40s) but stuck in the 30s at the 1500ft base. I just drove down into town and my car said 43F in the center of the village. 530am found only 1" left at the stake (generally 0-2" depending on melt patterns) at 1550ft. Still holding onto decent natural snow cover up on the mountain at east and north aspects...only like 2-6" depending on elevation but it's durable thanks to yesterday's freeze-up on CAA prior to the WAA last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Lakes Region CAD in full effect again today...even without any snowcover. Only up to 37F so far. There's been light showers and DZ most of the day. I thought we looked prime for a bust this morning when we were socked into the FG/OVC with U20s with decent WAA aloft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Glad to hear nne and parts of cne have muted this "torch period". Hope tonite doesn't bring the snow eating fog ,although stowe will prob see a nice dose of snow late tonite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Glad to hear nne and parts of cne have muted this "torch period". Hope tonite doesn't bring the snow eating fog ,although stowe will prob see a nice dose of snow late tonite The coldest spots unfortunately don't have much, if any, snow. The mountains and NW of them are relatively warm right now with high dews. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxeyeNH Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 Lakes Region CAD in full effect again today...even without any snowcover. Only up to 37F so far. There's been light showers and DZ most of the day. I thought we looked prime for a bust this morning when we were socked into the FG/OVC with U20s with decent WAA aloft. So true about the cold air damning. The Bridgewater/Plymouth area seems to never warm up till after a fropa. Its 4pm and Im up to 36.3F. Even though I face SW and have a 45 mile view in that direction there is a valley that runs NE just east of me. The cold air seems to follow the Pemi River down through Plymouth right to me. I have learned in snow to rain situations that I seem to take forever to get to freezing. Anyhow its 36F and about 1/8 in thick fog for me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 It never torches here lol. Wow. Still 36F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 It never torches here lol. Wow. Still 36F. Yeah it is very impressive all the time in that area on warm-ups... if you have snow, you'll hold it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 Zone forecast is calling for 1-3 inches tomorrow afternoon and evening... hopefully we can whiten things up with CAA snow showers. Wednesday: A chance of rain in the morning...then snow showers likely or a chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Snow accumulation a dusting to 2 inches. Highs in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Wednesday Night: Cloudy with snow showers likely until midnight... Then partly cloudy after midnight. Total snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible. Lows around 17. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph until midnight. Chance of snow 70 percent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 4, 2012 Share Posted December 4, 2012 You never have to wait long in stowe for the dentrites to dance to the tune of orographic lift. Pfreak..do u think most of the natural snow will be gone tomm am only to be refresh'd? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 You never have to wait long in stowe for the dentrites to dance to the tune of orographic lift. Pfreak..do u think most of the natural snow will be gone tomm am only to be refresh'd? Well I had 1" this morning at 1,550ft and the Co-Op had 5" at 4pm up top... most of the natural will be gone except for north facing slopes where its piled up over a few events and was skied in by poachers. I'm sure there'll still be something up there, but it'll be negligible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 4, 2012 Author Share Posted December 4, 2012 For all the times I moan about the Mansfield Co-Op snowfall being way under-reported... I've got a puzzler today: DAILY HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DATA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 538 PM EST TUE DEC 4 2012 STATION PRECIP TEMPERATURE PRESENT SNOW 24 HRS MAX MIN CUR WEATHER NEW TOTAL SWE ...VERMONT... MOUNT MANSFIELD T 46 28 45 CLOUDY T 5 Trace of precipitation and a trace of new snowfall... hmmm. I certainly didn't see it snow today with temps in the 40s. And I was up top when the showers moved through with the warm front and it was definitely pouring all rain. Curious as to when they saw their trace in the last 24 hours, haha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Perhaps they mean there is only a "t" of snow left today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2012 Author Share Posted December 5, 2012 Some of this is rain... but a lot of it is not... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 You betcha PF. Time/height shows sustained RH and low level lift thru at least 00z 12/6. That, along with temps dropping to -12c at 850 really spells some decent upslope snow. Well within reason to think mansfield/jay/central spine picks up 2-5 inches of new snow by tomorrow am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
borderwx Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 all the natural is toast up here, few N/NE facing patches left. pretty heavy draining and gurgling from the mountain, Jay brook was running very spring like. rain to snow to sunshine. pretty unusual to wake up to 44F ski for 2 hours and drive home at 38F looking forward to a return to a bit of winter touch of snow can still be seen above 2800' guess whats man made? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 47F this morning. Torch is here, briefly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Current thinking: Rain changing to snow showers in the spine in early afternoon as temps aloft literally crash (-4C at 925, -9C at 850 by 18z)...snow showers possible mainly above 1,000feet this evening and overnight elsewhere. Accumulations: 3-6" in the spine above 2k. 1-3" below that. Also, 1-2" in favorable spots in the NEK above 1,500feet with maybe a dusting above 1,000ft. 12z hi-res NAM really isn't feeling this event though(1-2" directly on the spine, thats it) and usually its over done, so I'm kinda going with my gut here. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Current thinking: Rain changing to snow showers in the spine in early afternoon as temps aloft literally crash (-4C at 925, -9C at 850 by 18z)...snow showers possible mainly above 1,000feet this evening and overnight elsewhere. Accumulations: 3-6" in the spine above 2k. 1-3" below that. Also, 1-2" in favorable spots in the NEK above 1,500feet with maybe a dusting above 1,000ft. Sounds about right to me. I said 2-5 spine, 1-2 base areas... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Sounds about right to me. I said 2-5 spine, 1-2 base areas... Good call, yeah just saw that. Finally looking at some guidance...been so busy with school lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 KCDA in lyndonville: KCDA 051515Z AUTO 31016G21KT 2SM -SN BKN014 OVC021 04/02 A2991 RMK AO2 T00390017 5 Dec 2012 15:22 Go figure. lol 31F at 2,200 ft in Walden now...37F here at 1,050ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxjim207 Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Forecasting NEK and Capital District today for Vermont AOT.... rain going to snow showers. Going at it very soon after class. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2012 Author Share Posted December 5, 2012 Freezing level has hit the parking lots at 1,500ft... snowmaking control showing 32.0F right now. Getting some incredible gusts funneling out of the Notch and ripping through the base area. The transfer gondola between Mansfield and Spruce Peak in the base area is down due to wind (towers gusting 40-50mph at 30-40ft agl). The wind just seems to accelerate out of the notch sometimes on these CAA patterns and when you've got acres and acres of open parking lot with no friction... feels like your car door is going to get ripped sometimes in these events. Summit is gusting 60-70mph right now. Keeping up-to-date from home today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 5, 2012 Author Share Posted December 5, 2012 -SN in Stowe village at 35F Very tiny flakes. Need temps to drop aloft to get better snow growth temps into the summit levels. Edit: I should say that's --SN with vis still way up over 7sm but its flakes and not rain. Hopefully that's the end of any liquid... until the next cutter, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 5, 2012 Share Posted December 5, 2012 Temp dropping now. Hit a high of 50F (49.6) at 11am but the drop has begun and the temp is now 48.4F with the dew down to 34F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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