Teleskier_vt Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Underhill, VT. Still snowin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 3.75" here at 1050ft. Buddy called from 1300ft and they are up to 5.25". Wow this is over performing here. Still moderate snow. This seems the to be the theme of our few snow events of the season so far. Each time we have been forecasted to get a few flurries there seems to be a dusting - 1". I may be just thinking wishfully but hey, whatever gets me through the night! Anyway, this may be overperforming in terms of accumulation but the timing was forecasted dead on. For the last several days, Roger Hil (WXHeights, red tag here) has been saying it would start at the evening commute in the Barre-Montpelier area and it started dumping right when I was leaving work in Montpelier at 4:30. Up to 3" and still coming down lightly. 22F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Underhill, VT. Still snowin'. Awesome, not bad for a 30 second snow with the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Teleskier_vt Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Awesome, not bad for a 30 second snow with the front. Yeah, I saw that in the forecast discussion. It made me smile as I felt pretty certain we would do better than that. (But not this well...) Not sure we fully need that brand of sarcasm in a forecast discussion, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Yeah, I saw that in the forecast discussion. It made me smile as I felt pretty certain we would do better than that. (But not this well...) Not sure we fully need that brand of sarcasm in a forecast discussion, though. How much you got down? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 What an awful wx disco comment that was at btv. West side of greens looks like 6-12 inches. Once again the greens win. I'd like to see what wildcat area gets they were prog'd .50 qpf and ratios are huge so let's see, if it verifys. Mt wash had like a .78 on the btv wrf modeled, so that would be like 2 feet w these ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 What an awful wx disco comment that was at btv. West side of greens looks like 6-12 inches 000 FXUS61 KBTV 292048 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 348 PM EST THU NOV 29 2012 .SYNOPSIS... AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILLMOVE THROUGH THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS EVENING. SNOW SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW SNOW SQUALLS WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONT, RESULTING IN LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS. FRIDAY WILL BE COLD, THOUGH DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE REGION. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FOR THE WEEKEND, BRINGING A WARMING TREND ALONG WITH LOTS OF CLOUDS AND LIGHT PRECIPITATION. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM FRIDAY MORNING/... AS OF 340 PM EST THURSDAY...THE FRONT IS JUST CROSSING THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER AS I TYPE. GOT TO BE HONEST, IT DOESN`T HAVE TOO MUCH WITH IT. PERHAPS 30 SECONDS WORTH OF SNOW. STILL WILL LIKELY SEE ENHANCEMENT OF THE SNOW SHOWERS WITH THE FRONT AS IT PUSHES SOUTH AND COMES INTO A REGION WITH SLIGHTLY MORE MOISTURE (THAT WOULD BE THE NORTHERN THIRD OF THE VERMONT -- WHERE WE`VE HAD SOME LIGHT SNOW THE PAST FEW HOURS). WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, WINDS WILL QUICKLY FLIP TO NORTHWEST AND GUST 20-25 KNOTS AND TEMPERATURES WILL DROP SEVERAL DEGREES. SO WE WILL VERY WELL STILL SEE A FEW SLICK SPOTS DEVELOP AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. CONTINUE TO RELY ON 4KM LOCAL WRF RUN FOR THE SCENARIO, THOUGH IT SEEMS TO BE 1 TO 2 HOURS SLOW AND HAVE ACCOUNTED FOR THAT IN THE GRIDS. FRONT SHOULD BE THROUGH THE BURLINGTON `METRO` AREA BETWEEN 5P AND 6P. SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL DIMISH AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH, SO SOUTHERN VERMONT WONT SEE ALL THAT MUCH. BEEN ADJUSTING THE QPF DOWN, SO NOW IT LOOKS LIKE NOTHING MORE THAN 0.05" MELTED AT MOST. RUNNING THAT THROUGH A ROUGHLY 20:1 RATIO WHICH IS EXPECTED IN THESE SITUATIONS GIVES ABOUT 1". EXPECT SOME OROGRAPHIC ENHANCEMENT, SO HIGHER ELEVATIONS MAY SEE UPWARDS OF 2 TO 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
j24vt Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 3.6" since this morning and still snowing lightly. 4.1" for the day so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 4" on the nose. Lightening up now though. Great night. Down to 19F. 0.09" LWE per LSC station. Might be a little higher than that though. Snow depth: 5.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Steve that disco is lol worthy. What is ur take on the whites, bretton woods/wildcat area, I bet northern coos get 4-6+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 What an awful wx disco comment that was at btv. West side of greens looks like 6-12 inches. Once again the greens win. I'd like to see what wildcat area gets they were prog'd .50 qpf and ratios are huge so let's see, if it verifys. Mt wash had like a .78 on the btv wrf modeled, so that would be like 2 feet w these ratios Even here in the NEK we have 3" at 700ft, 4" at 1,050ft, 6" at 1300ft, and 7" at 1800ft at Burke mountain. Probably 8-9" at the top. Crazy over performer. Strong cross barrier flow and ample lower level moisture combined with the upward motion generated by the front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 6.5" reported from Montgomery (western slope of Jay Peak). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Ctsnowstorm awesome snow for you there, impressed by the degree that elevation helpd. I'm on my cell but anyone have the latest obs at mt. Washington I envision a blizzard from hell at the summit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Ctsnowstorm awesome snow for you there, impressed by the degree that elevation helpd. I'm on my cell but anyone have the latest obs at mt. Washington I envision a blizzard from hell at the summit. 2F SN BLSN gusts to 63. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nittany88 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Steve that disco is lol worthy. What is ur take on the whites, bretton woods/wildcat area, I bet northern coos get 4-6+ Their earlier forecasts were at least more on target though (from their facebook): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hitman Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Hard to tell on the webcam but it looks like its still dumping at lincoln peak. Cant wait to see the totals tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 They were snowing all day already lol. Who wrote that disco, Forky? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Thanks for mt.wash obs update. Frigid up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 You guys have a great thread that is quite fun to keep up with! I actually need Vermont snowfall totals for work, so this thread is such a great help. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adk Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 what is with this "over performing" junk...this front looked juicy as heck all week. The high res models looked great. Anything in the 4-6 range was super predictable... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 9.0" at MWN with a peak wind of 83mph. 4' snow drifts. Just at dusting at mi casa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Coldest morning of the season...temp and "feel". Down to 19.7F with a gusty wind after a few tenths of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 3F at the house this morning with 4.25" of snow from the event (uncleared snow board) and a snow depth of 6.0". Clear skies and fresh powder has allowed the temp to plummet. Had no idea we would be near 0F this morning... MVL at 3/0 right now. 6F at 1,500ft with 7.2" wind packed snow on the snow board at the base of the mountain. Groomers report up to 12" at the summit. Calling it 7-11" for now. Looks beautiful out there... full on after snowstorm full moon look with sparkling white everywhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allenson Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 3F at the house this morning with 4.25" of snow from the event (uncleared snow board) and a snow depth of 6.0". Clear skies and fresh powder has allowed the temp to plummet. Had no idea we would be near 0F this morning... MVL at 3/0 right now. 6F at 1,500ft with 7.2" wind packed snow on the snow board at the base of the mountain. Groomers report up to 12" at the summit. Calling it 7-11" for now. Looks beautiful out there... full on after snowstorm full moon look with sparkling white everywhere. Damn dude--3F? Cold! Down to 9F here--our first single digits of the season. 3" of snow last evening...even here, east of the spine, gasp! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Damn dude--3F? Cold! MVL is now down to 1/-2!! I wonder if the ASOS can kiss 0F for the first time this season out in the valley. Perfect combo of fluffy snow in the evening, then clear/calm conditions after midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Damn dude--3F? Cold! Down to 9F here--our first single digits of the season. 3" of snow last evening...even here, east of the spine, gasp! MVL is now down to 1/-2!! I wonder if the ASOS can kiss 0F for the first time this season out in the valley. Perfect combo of fluffy snow in the evening, then clear/calm conditions after midnight. 6.1° at my house and a final total of 3". Of course because it snowed right when I was coming home, all the melting snow on my car froze up. It was quite a chore chipping it open this morning. I need a garage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Chilly morning, 15.3F breezy with 0.3" of snow on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 Even here in the NEK we have 3" at 700ft, 4" at 1,050ft, 6" at 1300ft, and 7" at 1800ft at Burke mountain. Probably 8-9" at the top. Crazy over performer. Strong cross barrier flow and ample lower level moisture combined with the upward motion generated by the front. I think we had elements of three types of forcing to help maximize this event. You had the WAA ahead of the wave aloft that would have generated some light mood snows regardless. Then you had the WINDEX like enhancement along the Arctic boundary. Finally, you had the upslope component that lingered well after Arctic fropa. I have to say the local WRFs, although a bit bullish on QPF, were definitely the closest to reality in the end. I think if I had taken our local WRF QPF verbatim two days ago, it would have given me around a foot of snow on the rock pile. Not bad for the far end of its forecast range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 MVL is now down to 1/-2!! I wonder if the ASOS can kiss 0F for the first time this season out in the valley. Perfect combo of fluffy snow in the evening, then clear/calm conditions after midnight. currently zero SLK, 6 inches of snow at whiteface last night. low was -2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted November 30, 2012 Share Posted November 30, 2012 what is with this "over performing" junk...this front looked juicy as heck all week. The high res models looked great. Anything in the 4-6 range was super predictable... 4" at 1000ft? Definitely not expected. 7.5" at 1800ft? Definitely over performed. Guidance called for 2-3" tops below 1500ft with 3-5" above that. 9" at the top of Burke was also over the projected 5ish". Oh yeah, and it was 3F last night lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.