ORH_wxman Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Powderfreak head-in-bullwheel/hanging-from-chairlift-cable index at a 8.8 out of 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Weenie blue in ORH ..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 GFS Buzzkill http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?page=Image&prevPage=Paramℑ=&fcast=033&model=GFS&area=NAMER&storm=&areaDesc=North+America+-+US+Canada+and+northern+Mexico&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&rname=SFC-LAYER+PARMS&pname=850_temp_mslp_precip&cycle=11%2F07%2F2012+00UTC&imageSize=M&currKey=model&scrollx=0&scrolly=0&prevArea=NAMER&prevImage=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 http://www.mattnoyes.net/new_england_weather/2012/11/election-night-update-wintry-precipitation-to-coat-much-of-new-england-wednesday-night.html Noyes' snowfall prediction Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I really don't know why I am still wasting time watching this evolve... congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 GFS looks scary dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 GFS is dry, but still cold. It has a pretty good band move through during late aftn, and then lighter stuff probably IP or ZR later at night for the interior. Still looks like a 1-3" deal for most on this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 1-3" looks like a safe bet for a lot of folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 subtropical? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 look at the temp gradient in E coastal Mass. some spots near the coast are just gonna torch the BLayer with those ENE/NE winds. Bos NE thru salem. low 40's just to the west mid 20's to upper 20's. i'm sitting 28.8 in wakefield ma at the moment. Watch the coastal front tommorrow, i wouldn't be shocked to see precip breakout and focus along this front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 From NYC thread sounds like EC is similar to 12z. 1-3" sounds good for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Euro still not a ton of QPF...but really cold. 1-3" is still my call for elevations...but even the valleys and CP might get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I still can't believe how much colder the Euro is than other guidance. When was the last time we had a situation like this in the short term? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 will does 128 corridor N of boston look to get slug of snow , per euro a sick CF may set up i would think Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 It's REALLY windy already down here. Cranking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
centralmass Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 7 AM EST THURSDAY. * LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE...WESTERN AND CENTRAL MASSACHUSETTS...NORTHERN CONNECTICUT AND FAR NORTHWEST RHODE ISLAND. * HAZARD TYPES...ACCUMULATING SNOW FOLLOWED BY THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME LIGHT FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES...ALONG WITH UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE. THE BEST CHANCE FOR THE HIGHER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN. * TIMING...SNOW WILL OVERSPREAD THE REGION FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. THIS WILL OCCUR BY MID AFTERNOON IN AREAS SOUTH OF THE MASSACHUSETTS TURNPIKE. THE SNOW WILL ARRIVE ACROSS INTERIOR NORTHERN MASSACHUSETTS AND SOUTHERN NEW HAMPSHIRE BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. THE SNOW WILL THEN CHANGE TO LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND PERHAPS EVENTUALLY PLAIN RAIN IN SOME LOCATIONS LATER TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Putting some plows on this morning.from a hurricane to Plowing in 10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 06 NAM continues to drop .75 plus across SNE. Really punches in the warmer air as it moves S-N, but after a good portion of the precip has come down. 06 GFS bumps qpf a bit. Manages to keep the h85 south and east of me the entire duration of precip. Time to lock in 2-3 I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 With many areas starting the day AOA freezing, looks like some places may struggle in the early going with respect to accumulating. Nothing decent rates won't overcome, but initially, I suspect many places will have some melting issues on paved surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST THURSDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. I didn't realize PHI's WSW snowfall criteria was this low. Regardless, nice to see the color on the map and congrats! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 GYX going with WWAs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 Looks pretty similar to the WWA down here. BOX hasn't put up a map as far as I can see, but one ofe the local channels (40) is presenting 2-3" in the hills and 1-2" in the valley. Pretty 'meh', but snow's snow and it is the first of the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 somwhere in philly metro area gonna see two to three inch hr rates and someone down there is gonna have a foot on the grassy surfaces...they are gonna get smoked!! sick lol just sick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 On 11/7/2012 at 10:44 AM, codfishsnowman said: somwhere in philly metro area gonna see two to three inch hr rates and someone down there is gonna have a foot on the grassy surfaces...they are gonna get smoked!! sick lol just sick! Hey man I live in NE Philly, don't mean to clog up your thread. It truly is amazing we're talking about a significant snowstorm on Nov 7th lol. If the 6z NAM verified some places would see a foot, but I think it's over done. It really depends where the best VVs set up. Good luck up there as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I think 2-4 inches is probably a decent forecast for many areas. Hopefully we can hold this off until closer to dark. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 On 11/7/2012 at 10:51 AM, CT Blizz said: I think 2-4 inches is probably a decent forecast for many areas. Hopefully we can hold this off until closer to dark. BOX is saying early afternoon for south of the Pike, so based on that, seems like holding off is not in the cards. Seeing the radar (probably virga) already approaching Philadelphia would also keep me from holding my breath on that one. I think this is going to just truck on through with the primary question of how much can fall prior to any phase change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 LWX says anywhere between 1-2 or 2-4 here under WWA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 On 11/7/2012 at 11:09 AM, sbos_wx said: LWX says anywhere between 1-2 or 2-4 here under WWA Are you colder than BWI? They're up to 38* now, hopefully that can wetbulb down for you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 On 11/7/2012 at 11:16 AM, moneypitmike said: Are you colder than BWI? They're up to 38* now, hopefully that can wetbulb down for you. Yeah, generally maybe 5F colder than BWI at times. My current temps about 35-36F. Where this band sets up will be key. I might see more snow than expected if it can pivot overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 On 11/7/2012 at 11:22 AM, sbos_wx said: Yeah, generally maybe 5F colder than BWI at times. My current temps about 35-36F. Where this band sets up will be key. I might see more snow than expected if it can pivot overhead. Good luck. I'd like to see some NAM type amounts, but that's pretty much an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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