CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Not according to Wills post He said it starts as snow and goes over to rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I like BOX's approach now of an AFD that speaks of the possibility for terrain in WMA and Monads, with official forecasts that present rain/snow. No sense in going beyond that at this point for a storm still several days out. Be great to see that play out though. By the way--I drove through Tolland yesterday bringing my daughter for a tour of UConn. Nice looking town, Kevin--lots of lawns without any leaves. Were you only on route 195? That main rd is super busy as you probably took a right off the ramp, and never got to see the nice, rural part if town Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 That's way too warm. I wonder if we can pull off a trade with MRGland for snownh. We may have to throw another player in...maybe noreaster27? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 He said it starts as snow and goes over to rain. and razor close to an isothermal snow bomb which means it trended colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I wonder if we can pull off a trade with MRGland for snownh. We may have to throw another player in...maybe noreaster27? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 and razor close to an isothermal snow bomb which means it trended colder He meant far interior looking at the euro. It would start as snow, but 850s torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 The low should be farther east if you want a true snowbomb. It could happen if it went further east. The euro probably would be rain to snow to rain in the interior, especially ORH Hills and most especially the Berks where they are closer to a paste bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 But if you consider it a win to see some snow...then perhaps you want this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Interior is interior..I'm not expecting a massive snowstorm..just some accumulating snow..even if that means a slushy inch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Were you only on route 195? That main rd is super busy as you probably took a right off the ramp, and never got to see the nice, rural part if town While there's so much time to go, seems reasonable to expect the appearance of flakes for a portion of the storm, but it's going to be tough to get anything of wintry significance methinks without a true cold sources and the warmer air wrapping in. It's certainly close enough to merit some close attention (as if the strength of the system doesn't warrant that anyway). Yes--we did stay on 195, figured I wasn't in the smack of the masstif. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Cold morning with the windchill. 32.1 and there's actually some frost on the rooftops..but not ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Interior is interior..I'm not expecting a massive snowstorm..just some accumulating snow..even if that means a slushy inch Well that is different then a paste bomb. In that case, yes it seemed like you would get that. But if I were you, hope for a trend east. Interior means a lot. It could be 495 to the Berks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Well that is different then a paste bomb. In that case, yes it seemed like you would get that. But if I were you, hope for a trend east. Interior means a lot. It could be 495 to the Berks. We haven't a Novie snowstorm in years now. We used to get one just about every year..sort of like we used to get one every March. Hopefully things trend east again today,but the Euro ens being so warm is disconcerting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 We haven't a Novie snowstorm in years now. We used to get one just about every year..sort of like we used to get one every March. Hopefully things trend east again today,but the Euro ens being so warm is disconcerting LOL, that's not entirely true, but it has been a while. The euro ensembles actually were closer to a paste bomb as they were further east than the op, but they did move a little west from yesterday. The ensemble track would probably give the interior a little more snow. The bottom line is that given how marginal the atmosphere is, I want to see a strong low intensifying SE of the 00z euro track. I think the Berks into NH at the very least should stay interested. If it goes a little more SE, than weenies up for the interior. As of now it probably would give the interior some snow to start anyways, but again..it's a little too marginal imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 GEFS were also close to a paste bomb for the Berks into NH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Not the most riveting AFD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Not the most riveting AFD. Well look who wrote it lol..Mr Excitement AFD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Well certainly an interesting storm with the potential for some interior snow and heavy rain/strong winds at the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Lol do now a paste bomb is a slushy inch? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 GEFS were also close to a paste bomb for the Berks into NH. Quite a few members were just eastern scrapers and one didn't even form a low...so that is probably making the mean look better than it really is. Are your 'rents staying in Center Harbor at all this winter or is it strictly warm season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Lol do now a paste bomb is a slushy inch? Tomorrow morning it will mean just flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 wind looks pretty serious along the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 GEFS members are all over the place with track and thermal profile. I think it will be hard to get accumulating snow east of Litchfield Hills/Berkshires barring a miracle but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Quite a few members were just eastern scrapers and one didn't even form a low...so that is probably making the mean look better than it really is. Are your 'rents staying in Center Harbor at all this winter or is it strictly warm season? Yeah they are up there now because someone said they lost power during Sandy. We have a sump pump so no power means 2' of water in the basement, but luckily they did not lose it. They will probably only go up a few times this winter. I'll try to go up a few times as well...just to get away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 GEFS members are all over the place with track and thermal profile. I think it will be hard to get accumulating snow east of Litchfield Hills/Berkshires barring a miracle but we'll see. It looks borderline in those areas, agreed. I didn't see the GEFS members until now. I also want to see like 0.5" or greater in 6 hrs in those areas...I didn't see that on the euro either. Hopefully for those that want snow, it tracks a little further east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I like the GFS QPF dryslot for Ryan. Very Dec 2010-esque. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I like the GFS QPF dryslot for Ryan. Very Dec 2010-esque. I don't mind dryslotting during rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I don't mind dryslotting during rain lol Yeah it was funny to see..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Yeah it was funny to see..lol. That's why you never want a storm to bomb too early. While people like Ginx with a barometer fetish love it... I'd rather be near the storm when it first starts bombing not when it's done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 looks like the r/s line will orient more w-e than n-s. depending on track either the catskills/pocono's/dacks/ C-N greens or NW CT/ tactonics/berks/ S-C greens get plowable IMO i don't see much shot of this traveling SE of BM as it bombs...so i think the tolland to orh corridor over to 495 is SOL...but still bears some watching of course. Big winds on NJ coast either way and E ma nice long fetch as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.