Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 'Miser, you lovable troll - haha NAM's FRH data has .4 is all wet snow at Logan, then another rough quarter in wet sleet suggested... then 1/3 in cold rain. Out around 495? No - that's a snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Still a rather saturated sounding despite the cruddy lift. Would probably be some decent bands embedded in that overall mediocre depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 No Bueno. Bed for me. Visions of euro comma heads dancing in my brain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Congrats me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Let us not discount that we are only half the intensity on this thing as 2 days ago... Data assimilation ftl - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Didn't see this map posted yet...18z NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Mid Atl thread has self destructed. I'm cooked if Euro sucks. Time to root for some SNE soon maybe for everyone except CT hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Mid Atl thread has self destructed. I'm cooked if Euro sucks. Time to root for some SNE soon maybe for everyone except CT hills. Yeah, especially because people are calling for a certain moonbat poster to be a mod. Why the hate on the CT hills? Jelly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 4-8 per GFS for me. Still riding the Euro though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Damn GFS is cold but it's sort of meh to be honest. I wouldn't expect much out of that regardless of what weenie snow maps shows. We have the cold... we just need to tug this west and get it a bit more dynamic up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 4-8 per GFS for me. Still riding the Euro though I think we're good for at least some accumulation dude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 4-8 per GFS for me. Still riding the Euro though If the synoptics of the GFS verified I wouldn't expect more than 1-3" anywhere and even that would be in the hills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I'll take any snow I can get in November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 If the synoptics of the GFS verified I wouldn't expect more than 1-3" anywhere and even that would be in the hills. I agree. We'd probably see flakes for almost everyone, but it would be light snow and not stick well without elevation. We def want to see some bigger VVs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Yeah, especially because people are calling for a certain moonbat poster to be a mod. ? Why the hate on the CT hills? Jelly? Just for kev lololol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I agree. We'd probably see flakes for almost everyone, but it would be light snow and not stick well without elevation. We def want to see some bigger VVs. Yeah it's really cold but it's just an ugly mess. The whole thing needs to bomb later and move northwest toward us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 we probably have a better shot of that subtropical/hybrid storm on the latter panels hooking directly w into SNE, than a major winter storm this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Euro will be the judge, tonite on this storm or at least , the trend of this thing having mercy on the east coast. last 12 hours talk about a big nor'easter weakening trend on globals, after 4 days of consistent modeling of a strong LP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 The Euro is definitely not out to sea, as it still brings some moderate precip into the area, but it's nothing remotely close to the 12z or earlier runs. Pretty remarkable trends over the last 24 hours and even the Euro fell victim to it. Imagine the mayhem if this was a month from now. Yikes. as earthlight also stated ......it's further SE ....occludes and very little precip for SNE per euro printouts although it is still COLD and i wouldn't write this off by any means. the phase aspect is looking later and weaker. CMC looks pretty good for EMA areas cold and probably advisory snows . i think at this point those in EMA have a shot at snow but need a CMC type run out of 12z euro but wait for mets to chime in regarding this last comment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Meh my 10 minutes of happy is over...I got so pumped with the NAM but everything else is meh...that's what happens when you don't have a lot of time to look over everything closely and go crazy over one model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Huge fail for the Euro here as it keeps shifting it further and further out to sea. I mean so much for it's prowess beyond day three. Pretty soon we'll be talking about a few flurries on ACK. LOL Meh my 10 minutes of happy is over...I got so pumped with the NAM but everything else is meh...that's what happens when you don't have a lot of time to look over everything closely and go crazy over one model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 when so many things can go wrong, a few will...mentioned this a few days ago ;P SNOW...THE FASTER ARRIVAL OF THE RAIN SHIELD ALLOWS TIME FOR TEMPERATURES TO MODERATE DURING WEDNESDAY MORNING. EVEN SO...THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF THE PCPN STARTING AS SNOW ACROSS PARTS OF WESTERN MA AND SOUTHWEST NH. BEST CHANCE WOULD BE ACROSS THE HILLS. THIS SUITE OF GUIDANCE CAME IN A LITTLE BIT WARMER THAN THE 00Z GUIDANCE...WITH MORE PRECIPITATION DURING THE DAY. THIS WOULD CUT DOWN ON THE AMOUNT OF SNOW AND INTRODUCE MORE OF A WINTRY MIX. DID BACK OFF ON SNOW ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL SLIGHTLY...BUT NOT BY TOO MUCH IN CASE THE 05/12Z NAM SOLUTION VERIFIES. THAT SOLUTION IS SUFFICIENTLY COLD ENOUGH FOR MORE SNOW IF WE CAN COOL OFF THE BOUNDARY LAYER ENOUGH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 According to the 6z NAM this still has a shot from NYC to ORH.... Let's see if we can get some early season snow there at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 LOL, euro barely got any QPF to ORH. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 But now the 06z GFS came west, but again..cruddy lift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 My fears from yesterday came true..OTS..And everyone told me that wouldn't/couldn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Now the GFS decides to have a good hit again...even has me back in it. My fears from yesterday came true..OTS..And everyone told me that wouldn't/couldn't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 lol...awesome. Disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Well they can take down the ridiculous HWW now..There might not be any wind at all lol. Calm conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 My one bright light in this is the 06 gfs. I guess it's make or break time with the 12z runs. Perhaps well split the difference, keep GC more or less dry, a moderate snow to sleet in central MA and NW CT and sloppy to rain East and South of that. Nah--let's ride the 06 GFS. Chilly morning if nothing else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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