dendrite Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 10:51 AM, CT Blizz said: Well they can take down the ridiculous HWW now..There might not be any wind at all lol. Calm conditions It still looks windy for the coast, cape, and islands. Atleast PF can make snow with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 6z RGEM came west as well...wth?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 The BOX forecast (haven't read the AFD) isn't buying a particularly cold/east solution as they maintain precip in GC including rain. Imagine that trends warmer in their progs to the east. I'll reserve excitement until 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Even on the 06z it's a disorganized mess. But, the ensembles are pretty close. This is highly unusual to see such a disorganized mess with a low that close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:05 AM, CoastalWx said: Even on the 06z it's a disorganized mess. But, the ensembles are pretty close. This is highly unusual to see such a disorganized mess with a low that close. Yup--looks cruddy. BOX AFD is far from enthusiastic. One thing it mentions is 'foliated trees'. Does anyone have leaves still??????T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 6, 2012 Author Share Posted November 6, 2012 Meh... forky said the snow is the least interesting aspect of this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 The problem with this storm, is that it will have a band of good precip with it and it may end up somewhere in central MA give or take. However, it is impossible to figure out where. So while it may not come in like an organized CCB, I think it is possible a narrow area could do "fairly" well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Meanwhile Phil and the coast get blasted with winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 6, 2012 Author Share Posted November 6, 2012 BOX mentioned trowal ish feature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:27 AM, CoastalWx said: Meanwhile Phil and the coast get blasted with winds. Winds look like a total non issue..Not even advisory.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:21 AM, CoastalWx said: The problem with this storm, is that it will have a band of good precip with it and it may end up somewhere in central MA give or take. However, it is impossible to figure out where. So while it may not come in like an organized CCB, I think it is possible a narrow area could do "fairly" well. When does the snow break out tomorrow? Afternoon or evening rush? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:29 AM, CT Blizz said: Winds look like a total non issue..Not even advisory.. For you it's a non issue, yes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:05 AM, CoastalWx said: Even on the 06z it's a disorganized mess. But, the ensembles are pretty close. This is highly unusual to see such a disorganized mess with a low that close. Ahhh, there it is. I've been waiting since last march to hear that term, just wasn't sure if it would be you or Ryan that used it first. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:30 AM, CT Blizz said: When does the snow break out tomorrow? Afternoon or evening rush? Probably by nightfall or so. Hopefully we can get more specific today, these s/w's are causing a modeling disaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 so Scooter, you thinking the "jackpot" gets 2"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:35 AM, ChrisM said: so Scooter, you thinking the "jackpot" gets 2"? I think 1-3 should cover it for now. Maybe most get 1-2. This just smells like it has a few tricks up its sleeve. I could see a narrow area that gets more..maybe in central or wrn MA/CT. Obviously a shift east or west in the 12z guidance will shift this snow area west or east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Max amounts are 3-6.. Probably hill towns . Just not sure if that is NW Ct or ORH area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:57 AM, CT Blizz said: Max amounts are 3-6.. Probably hill towns . Just not sure if that is NW Ct or ORH area Wishcasting > forecasting? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 There may be an area greater than 3" as we stated, but that will probably be in a narrow area. Gonna have to wait and see if there is anything to the 06z GFS, come 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:58 AM, CoastalWx said: Wishcasting > forecasting? Meteorology, not modelology Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:27 AM, CoastalWx said: Meanwhile Phil and the coast get blasted with winds. yeah i was satisfied with how it looked yesterday...but today's even better with the low further east. as the LLJ wraps around the system, this area stays under like 18 hours of >45 knot wind just off the deck...with good mixing throughout. some of the soundings suggest 60 to 70 mph gusts at times. we'll see how modeling evolves today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Maybe in NJ. On 11/6/2012 at 12:00 PM, CoastalWx said: There may be an area greater than 3" as we stated, but that will probably be in a narrow area. Gonna have to wait and see if there is anything to the 06z GFS, come 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Nice model runs overnight snow for???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 11:58 AM, CoastalWx said: Wishcasting > forecasting? As we told Ryan..it's meteorology not modelology..he got burned by it..don't let it happen to you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 12:07 PM, CT Blizz said: As we told Ryan..it's meteorology not modelology..he got burned by it..don't let it happen to you What? You are crazy...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 GFS totally screws central CT and MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Ride the 0z RGEM.............. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 PHL/NJ FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 12:14 PM, Cold Front said: Ride the 0z RGEM.............. I was on the Crazy Uncle train. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 On 11/6/2012 at 12:13 PM, CoastalWx said: GFS totally screws central CT and MA. The 06z???? I thought it was my saving grace here in MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.