Quakertown needs snow Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 let's hope the next one will be an easier forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted November 8, 2012 Share Posted November 8, 2012 let's hope the next one will be an easier forecast Can't get much harder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 12, 2012 Share Posted November 12, 2012 Those bands near the main band over NJ likely are CSI. That is a strong frontogenesis band in NJ and by definition, would create a favorable environment for CSI. Further east, those bands might actually be more closer to upright convection due to CI or convective instability. The dry slot will act to destabilize that band over the water south of LI, pulling into NJ. Hmm... according to this graphic, from http://www.crh.noaa.gov/eax/science/WinterWxWkshp/CSI.ppt , CSI is most likely just ahead of the dry slot, about where I had identified it in the radar image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 12, 2012 Share Posted November 12, 2012 Yeah, this was a tough one. I would say one take home comment would be to pay more attention to the mesoscale features and radar trends. This was tending to show where the more focused banding was setting up. Interesting temperature obs this morning, as one can see where the snow accumulation occurred. Where little to no snow occurred, temperatures either held steady last night or even increased in many locations. Yeah if the radar's not in accordance w/ model data then you know something's up. It seemed apparent by mid afternoon that the stronger vv's would be aligned over NJ/NYC as those folks were already accumulating while SE PA/EPA was struggling. Precip hit a brick wall west of the DE river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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