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November obs and banter


Ian

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I hope this is not like last winter where the cold air was always two weeks out but never materialized.

Like zwyts already said, very different this year. We had virtually no blocking in Dec last year. It was about as bad as it can get. The tendency for blocking to assert itself around GL and the poles is very evident this year. It looks like Dec will have some good flexing and relaxing of the flow. Definitely not boring. We'll see about snow.

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We all know the drill...

Dec Excitement builds and quickly vanishes as the "pattern change" is pushed back 3-4 more weeks.

Jan Depression builds as the holidays passed with no snow and you embrace your credit card bills coming in the mail

Feb Terms like "Feb will be rockin" give you a sense of hope, only to see the snow fall to your East, South, North, and West

Mar Comes in like a lamb and winter is over. Then a sharp cold front ruins your outdoor plans in late March.

Enjoy your Mid-Atlantic winter :santa:

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We all know the drill...

Dec Excitement builds and quickly vanishes as the "pattern change" is pushed back 3-4 more weeks.

Jan Depression builds as the holidays passed with no snow and you embrace your credit card bills coming in the mail

Feb Terms like "Feb will be rockin" give you a sense of hope, only to see the snow fall to your East, South, North, and West

Mar Comes in like a lamb and winter is over. Then a sharp cold front ruins your outdoor plans in late March.

Enjoy your Mid-Atlantic winter :santa:

If this prediction is anything like your predictions last year, I'd say it's time to .....................

...............tune up the snow shovels and plows. We're gonna need em.

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39.96 N,76.73 W here

Now everyone on the board knows your precise address and can troll you in person. Good news is that you make the MA forum cutoff! Next snowstorm where the rain snowline sets up near the Mason Dixon line, 500 of your closest weenie friends you never knew you had from the south will be camped on your King street porch seeking safe harbor.

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I think there's a 51% chance we'll see more snow than last year. Remember 51% chance means 51% chance, I would never promise 2" in a season for DCA.

Pattern Is still shuffling. Blocking north of Siberia may teleconnect better with a troff over North America during the second half of winter making DC more likely to get their 2 hours of snow then. Siberian Blocking may also have moved the second half of winter, seems like there always a pattern change near Feb 1st.

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CRAZYBLIZZARD

Yesterday, 02:23 PM

Yorkpa25, on 28 November 2012 - 11:44 AM, said:

39.96 N,76.73 W here

Now everyone on the board knows your precise address and can troll you in person. Good news is that you make the MA forum cutoff! Next snowstorm where the rain snowline sets up near the Mason Dixon line, 500 of your closest weenie friends you never knew you had from the south will be camped on your King street porch seeking safe harbor.

Sorry if this reply is screwed up, doing it from my iPhone. Just wanted to say I don't think anybody should camp on my porch in this part of town.lol now switching to weather. Hopefully get a storm in here around the second week of December, enough to just finally coat the ground would be fantastic.

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