usedtobe Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 lol- you're on me today! I'm just having some fun because the longwave pattern remains friendly as we get close to the end of the month. Heck, 12z euro @ 192 has h5 heights over GL so high that the glacier is getting compacted. I'll be happy if we can get the AO above 3 SD at the beginning of Dec. Then I'll at least be positive that we see an extended period with a negative AO this winter as even when it breaks, it should come back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 20, 2012 Share Posted November 20, 2012 I'll be happy if we can get the AO above 3 SD at the beginning of Dec. Then I'll at least be positive that we see an extended period with a negative AO this winter as even when it breaks, it should come back. After the data we poured over last year it really is a big deal in Dec. An anomalous AO can make or break Dec-Jan at the very least and even part of Feb. I've really been enjoying Coastalwx and Co's strat and polar vortex discussion. They picked up on early good signs a couple weeks ago and it looks like the call may validate. Odd certainly seem to favor splitting it and letting the AO tank. Time will tell of couse. Anything but a big +ao right? Neutral in Dec is far from a kiss of death. I have set proper expectations this year for sure. I'm not thinking we have a big winter at all. Just a winter that feels like "winter". No reason to think otherwise...yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 chilly morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 It has been bone dry this month...getting static shocks inside the house like it's mid winter. Yesterday the air was smokey from the woodland fires burning in the area. The air in the valleys is getting stagnant with not much air movement the past 9 days...just a slight puff from the east during the daytime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Frosty foggy morning. Currently sitting at 29. The sun is out in full now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 21, 2012 Author Share Posted November 21, 2012 I have a feeling at some point this winter it will be cold enough to snow but it all depends on a storm with moisture arriving into that cold. At another point it will be milder as well. I sure hope we get some snow during the cold point because during the mild time it might just be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 I have a feeling at some point this winter it will be cold enough to snow but it all depends on a storm with moisture arriving into that cold. At another point it will be milder as well. I sure hope we get some snow during the cold point because during the mild time it might just be rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 21, 2012 Author Share Posted November 21, 2012 im prolly gonna get banned this winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 I have a feeling at some point this winter it will be cold enough to snow but it all depends on a storm with moisture arriving into that cold. At another point it will be milder as well. I sure hope we get some snow during the cold point because during the mild time it might just be rain. lolz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 im prolly gonna get banned this winter Now that would be one good soap opera. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arlwx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 chilly morning I'm digging my flamethrower out of the closet to try to defend DCA Sunday morning, but I may need help from the river... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 21, 2012 Author Share Posted November 21, 2012 I'm digging my flamethrower out of the closet to try to defend DCA Sunday morning, but I may need help from the river... It's nice how even in a cold November DCA manages to get its first freeze later than normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 It's nice how even in a cold November DCA manages to get its first freeze later than normal. The angle of the cold played a role this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Still no DCA freeze? lol I love how 09-10, of all years, took until December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 im prolly gonna get banned this winter If your posts continue to suck, then you'll only have yourself to blame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Perfect Fall day today, nearly dead-on average. Not surprised about DCA's freeze failure. I've only made it once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Nice warm day in Greenland... Summit, GL (Airport) Updated: 1 hr 27 min 14 sec ago -63 °F Fog Humidity: 65% Dew Point: -66 °F Wind: 7 mph from the South Wind Gust: - Pressure: in (Rising) Next 5 days: Wednesday Partly cloudy. Fog early. High of -47F with a windchill as low as -85F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Wednesday Night Partly cloudy in the evening, then overcast. Fog overnight. Low of -62F with a windchill as low as -85F. Winds from the SSE at 5 to 15 mph. Thursday Overcast. Fog early. High of -38F with a windchill as low as -83F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20%. Thursday Night Overcast. Fog overnight. Low of -44F with a windchill as low as -83F. Breezy. Winds from the SE at 15 to 20 mph. Friday Overcast with a chance of snow and rain showers. Fog early. High of -29F with a windchill as low as -80F. Breezy. Winds from the SE at 15 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 50% with accumulations up to 1 in. possible. Friday Night Overcast. Fog overnight. Low of -42F with a windchill as low as -69F. Breezy. Winds from the SE at 10 to 20 mph. Saturday Overcast. Fog early. High of -31F with a windchill as low as -65F. Winds from the SE at 10 to 15 mph. Saturday Night Overcast. Fog overnight. Low of -49F with a windchill as low as -62F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. Sunday Overcast in the morning, then mostly cloudy. Fog early. High of -40F with a windchill as low as -74F. Winds from the South at 5 to 10 mph. http://icons-ak.wxug...ostlycloudy.gif Sunday Night Mostly cloudy. Fog overnight. Low of -38F with a windchill as low as -69F. Winds from the SSW at 5 to 10 mph. http://icons-ak.wxug.../c/a/cloudy.gif Monday Overcast. Fog early. High of -20F with a windchill as low as -63F. Breezy. Winds from the South at 10 to 20 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Nice warm day in Greenland... Summit, GL (Airport) Updated: 1 hr 27 min 14 sec ago -63 °F Fog Humidity: 65% Dew Point: -66 °F Wind: 7 mph from the South Wind Gust: - Pressure: in (Rising) Next 5 days: How is there a chance of rain on Friday when it's 30 below zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solo2 Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 Didn't even notice that. The site sits on top of 10,000' of ice. Me thinks whatever falls will be frozen... Hell it is 13 degrees colder there than at Vostok, Antarica (sits on 11,200' of ice), but it's late spring there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted November 21, 2012 Share Posted November 21, 2012 How is there a chance of rain on Friday when it's 30 below zero Proximity to DCA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
swimmatte Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.php?lat=39.186097&lon=-77.20027449999998&site=all&smap=1&searchresult=Montgomery%20Village%2C%20MD%2020886%2C%20USA Light snow? Huh? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I have a feeling at some point this winter it will be cold enough to snow but it all depends on a storm with moisture arriving into that cold. At another point it will be milder as well. I sure hope we get some snow during the cold point because during the mild time it might just be rain. Your logic is undeniable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Happy Thanksgiving Everyone! Hope everyone has a wonderful day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Frost was so thick this morning if you squinted you would think it snowed. So I squinted, recorded a trace, and got the skunk off my back yard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mrs.J Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Beautiful sunny frosty morning. Have warmed up from 29 to 31 so far. Happy Thanksgiving everyone! Enjoy today!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Turkey + Redskins + Cowboys = Incredible nap! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Had a frosty morning today with a low in the upper 20s Anyways, happy thanksgiving to all!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Thin layer of frost on the car this morning...what an awesome afternoon though! RG3 just had one of the best first half performances I've seen by a QB. Even after my 3rd glass of wine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 The -PNA is going to screw things up. I know it is the GFS but it seems to be the ever present feature on every run through 384. It never goes away. The -NAO seems like it will just serve to keep us from torching. I feel like December is not going to be all that great for us and we may look back at the deep -NAO/ -AO on the 31st and say "if only the Pacific would have cooperated" and this great pattern will have been wasted. But I know nothing so I put this in the banter post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted November 24, 2012 Share Posted November 24, 2012 Gusts to 45 at IAD. Cold air is lagging a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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