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November obs and banter


Ian

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RN/IP mix in Clarksburg. 39.8F with a raw N wind of 11mph. .67" rain since midnight. Lost the obs from before then. I'd guess at least .40" from 9pm thru midnight. Anyone else in the area get a good number?

I ended up with 0.79" in the Ballenger Creek area of Frederick for the event. 40.1F was my lowest temp yet.

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Pulled from the SNE thread

Wow, Euro ensembles are cold for the end of November. Definitely their coldest run yet. Much more signal for a -NAO

Yeah look how that low later next week forces the -NAO. Pretty strong ridge out west too as the trough in AK slightly retros.

That and anything afterwards that reinforces the anomaly is exactly the kind of wave breaking needed for a -NAO to develop. This development combined with the Aleutian High will force the pattern in between to amplify.

Great model runs today.

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