FPizz Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 23 here last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 March and April 2001 23 on 3/27/2001 33 on 4/19/2001 Thanks. Was the last October to November back to back in 76? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Thanks. Was the last October to November back to back in 76? Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 One thing for sure, warm up (Indian Summer) coming next week as a deep long wave trough really pumps up an east coast ridge and we get a strong SW flow. 850mb temps should be well above 10c. 60's and 70's possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Temps today busted badly. Highs were forecasted to be near 50 and today's revision was 46. I think LGA only made it to 42. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Temps today busted badly. Highs were forecasted to be near 50 and today's revision was 46. I think LGA only made it to 42. 43, but yeah. Probably part of why it suddenly looks a lot snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 43, but yeah. Probably part of why it suddenly looks a lot snowier. Yup. Also impressive is the fact that most of the day was full sunshine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Central Park down to 38 degrees at 5pm. Impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 34/16 outside right now.. Is it Jan. 6? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I'm not ready for snow...it's bad luck when it comes this early...it's not what we need now in the hard hit areas and places with no power... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I'm not ready for snow...it's bad luck when it comes this early...it's not what we need now in the hard hit areas and places with no power... Yeah really, just imagine certain areas like SI where it can snow and flood again... good grief. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 KISP had its coldest temperature reading ever this early in the season coming in at 26F. The years are only 1984-2012. Pretty interesting though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I made it to 41.9F in Dobbs Ferry today after a low of 28.7F. Definitely chilly for early November though I had to go to school so I was inside most of the day. Thank god the students weren't there though, was a bit more relaxing than usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 I made it to 41.9F in Dobbs Ferry today after a low of 28.7F. Definitely chilly for early November though I had to go to school so I was inside most of the day. Thank god the students weren't there though, was a bit more relaxing than usual. Dropped to 18.7* IMBY last night... Cant remember it this cold this early.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 7, 2012 Share Posted November 7, 2012 27.7/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 8, 2012 Author Share Posted November 8, 2012 Looks like a warm up for veterans day weekend coinciding with a +NAO regime. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 8, 2012 Author Share Posted November 8, 2012 Looking ahead with the 00z GEFS, there are signs that the current +NAO regime is probably temporary, as there are higher than normal heights that start building back into Greenland and the Davis Straight towards the end of the run on the mean. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 While we have a warm up coming, this will be the coldest start to the month of November that we have seen in some time. Central Park is running -8.9 through the first 8 days of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Edge Weather Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 I see signs of a potent Nor'easter in our area focused around Tuesday, November 20. I have been watching this potential for several days already and the signals keep getting stronger each day. This may also be a slow moving storm that could last at least two days. I believe a peice of energy will drop down from Canada and combine with a peice of energy coming out of the Caribbean, forming a low off of about Cape Hatteras that will then move to offshore New Jersey and stall out, much as the previous two big storms did. I am focused on November 20, give or take a day or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 While we have a warm up coming, this will be the coldest start to the month of November that we have seen in some time. Central Park is running -8.9 through the first 8 days of the month. Yeah, looks like KNYC recorded 3 consecutive double digit negative days. When was the last time that happened? I'd have to think this is the coldest opening to November since 2002 or 2000. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 Yeah, looks like KNYC recorded 3 consecutive double digit negative days. When was the last time that happened? I'd have to think this is the coldest opening to November since 2002 or 2000. May 2010. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 Yeah, looks like KNYC recorded 3 consecutive double digit negative days. When was the last time that happened? I'd have to think this is the coldest opening to November since 2002 or 2000. The first 8 day period of November is the coldest since 1879 at Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 Could we actually see a negative departure month? The fact that we're starting so low will definitely help with the upcoming warm spell. Today should be seasonable and tomorrow maybe a bit above. Sun-Tues is the big warm up with highs approaching 70F, very warm lows as well, then more seasonable by Wednesday-Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 The Day 10 Euro just has another basic event around here with tropical moisture phasing with a Central US trough, getting caught under blocking to the north and forming a big ULL over the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 The Day 10 Euro just has another basic event around here with tropical moisture phasing with a Central US trough, getting caught under blocking to the north and forming a big ULL over the Northeast. The new normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 The Day 10 Euro just has another basic event around here with tropical moisture phasing with a Central US trough, getting caught under blocking to the north and forming a big ULL over the Northeast. Since when has the Euro nailed an event this far out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 Since when has the Euro nailed an event this far out... Two weeks ago with Hurricane Sandy. I was actually just going over a piece I wrote on the hurricane 10 days prior to it occurring. Pretty cool because the models performed very well with a high impact system at a very long lead time. What catches the long range forecasters eye around Day 5-7 is the forecast development of a tropical system in the Caribbean, which could drift north into the Southeast Atlantic by Day 7. Such a development doesn’t seem overly concerning at first — but the mid and upper air pattern rings some serious alarms for long range forecasters almost immediately. Although variance at this range is a major factor — forecast models don’t usually get a good grip on the pattern for several more cycles — the blocking adds an extra level of intrigue to the pattern development. Should the tropical system head north and not east (also a big question mark) it could be drawn into a phase with the large upper level trough and aforementioned cold front over the Eastern US. We saw some very dramatic model solutions today, including the GFS/Canadian/Euro indicating large surface lows with potential significant impact to the Northeast US.All in all, much of that remains fantasy (hence the term “fantasy land” for this time frame on forecast models) given the degree of uncertainty in the pattern. That being said, the high amplitude pattern suggests that with the right timing, the event could become a high impact one for our forecast area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 Two weeks ago with Hurricane Sandy. I was actually just going over a piece I wrote on the hurricane 10 days prior to it occurring. Pretty cool because the models performed very well with a high impact system at a very long lead time. I know i was being sarcastic. The Euro was incredible with Sandy. Funny that im still five posted 4 months later, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 I know i was being sarcastic. The Euro was incredible with Sandy. I think it was the GGEM that actually had the first signal ... although I may be mistaken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kaner587 Posted November 9, 2012 Share Posted November 9, 2012 I like this tendency for coastal storms showing up along with blocking aiding in the storm track Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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