Isotherm Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Yet another sub freezing night here, 30F right now in Monmouth (under forecast again I might add). At 10 for the month. Radiational cooling FTW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Yet another sub freezing night here, 30F right now in Monmouth (under forecast again I might add). At 10 for the month. Radiational cooling FTW. Interestingly my parents Davis has been running below freezing most of the night (30.6 right now) while TTN, less than 2 miles away and 84 feet higher, has been staying above (currently reading 36). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dark Energy Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Interestingly my parents Davis has been running below freezing most of the night (30.6 right now) while TTN, less than 2 miles away and 84 feet higher, has been staying above (currently reading 36). micro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 10Z Temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 micro? Some sort... here's the wunderground map temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Temps didn't drop to low this morning, already up to 46 at KHWV (Shirley). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 22, 2012 Author Share Posted November 22, 2012 Dropped down to 26 this morning. Lots of frost everwhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 still just 33 degrees here now in NW Monmouth County. Dropped below freezing well before midnight last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Central Park had lows around 40 yesterday and today...Where I live it was in the low and mid 30's with frost...The heat island strikes again...If it was 1880 Central park might have recorded minimums in the mid 30's also... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Central Park had lows around 40 yesterday and today...Where I live it was in the low and mid 30's with frost...The heat island strikes again...If it was 1880 Central park might have recorded minimums in the mid 30's also... I think it was Monday or Tuesday morning where I had heavy frost in the morning just 3 miles east of LGA and the airport only got down to about 40. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 AO is about to freefall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Happy Thanksgiving y'all. Hope you all have a safe and happy holiday and a great day. Today we can be somewhat thankful for the GEFS taking a Greenland block and strengthening/retrograding it towards the Davis Straight in the long range. Although the Pacific remains uncertain on ensembles in that range -- its always a great sign to see some significant help coming from the Atlantic side. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ENSHGTAVGNH_6z/ensloopmref.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 ^ I have pretty good feeling that the MJO will help with the Pacific sometime just after the first couple of days of December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 There seems to be some disconnect on the models between the developing -NAO pattern and MJO influence on the Pacific. But this a huge positive 500mb height anomaly in the North Atlantic on the 12z GEFS today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I had a low of 35.7F last night, didn't make it to freezing here in Westchester. It's currently 52.6/44 and sunny. Central Park is -4.3F on the month so far. I think they should finish around -5 as I don't see temperatures on Sunday getting out of the 30s with -10C 850s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmagan Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 18Z Temperatures Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 We can also all be thankful for that Euro run....barely misses giving us a snowstorm at 144 hrs and then brings in tons of cold air thereafter with plenty of good looking things to talk about in the high latitudes as well as the Atlantic/Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Euro has trended colder with the 28th storm..All we need is more amplification Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zelocita Weather Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 We can also all be thankful for that Euro run....barely misses giving us a snowstorm at 144 hrs and then brings in tons of cold air thereafter with plenty of good looking things to talk about in the high latitudes as well as the Atlantic/Pacific. Euro has it missing us to the south? Where does the low pressure exit the cost? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Euro has it missing us to the south? Where does the low pressure exit the cost? Low rides the coastal water NNE and misses us east. Not much needed to bring a nice storm for our area. A little more tilt and amplification and euro would've been a nice storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 We can also all be thankful for that Euro run....barely misses giving us a snowstorm at 144 hrs and then brings in tons of cold air thereafter with plenty of good looking things to talk about in the high latitudes as well as the Atlantic/Pacific. Brutally cold on the Euro...-20C 850s into New England at 192 hours. Highs in the 20s for the entire area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Ag3, totally agree. Been saying it all week but the 500mb pattern is very similar to Nov 28-29 1995. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Ag3, totally agree. Been saying it all week but the 500mb pattern is very similar to Nov 28-29 1995. Is that the storm NYC received 2.9"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Is that the storm NYC received 2.9"? http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1996/29-Nov-95-500MillibarMaps.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 22, 2012 Author Share Posted November 22, 2012 There seems to be some disconnect on the models between the developing -NAO pattern and MJO influence on the Pacific. But this a huge positive 500mb height anomaly in the North Atlantic on the 12z GEFS today: The GEFS retrograde the positive anomalies associated with the -NAO from Greenland to the Davis Straight, making it more west based. Huge signal for a -NAO for a smoothed out mean being so far out in the forecast timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 The 12z Euro appears to be hinting at somewhat of partial PV phase with next week's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I would rather sacrifice next week's storm for a great pattern after that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I would rather sacrifice next week's storm for a great pattern after that. Very true. It'll all be worth while if we have a Cutter with next week's storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 I would rather sacrifice next week's storm for a great pattern after that. Unfortunately you can't do that, but fortunately both have a chance of happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 22, 2012 Share Posted November 22, 2012 Euro ensemble mean matches the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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