WilkesboroDude Posted November 15, 2012 Author Share Posted November 15, 2012 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Well our forecast here is for rain with a low of 37 degrees. It is 30 degrees and cloudy. Mmmm we might have snow instead of rain tonight. Ground is cold to. With the high of only 45 and the low in the teens, anything that falls will stick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 15, 2012 Author Share Posted November 15, 2012 Well our forecast here is for rain with a low of 37 degrees. It is 30 degrees and cloudy. Mmmm we might have snow instead of rain tonight. Ground is cold to. With the high of only 45 and the low in the teens, anything that falls will stick. Blacksburg and Greenville both are saying areas that are 29-32 may see freezing drizzle...maybe we will see a short fuse freezing rain advisory in the morning if temps don't rise with increasing cloud cover...and if precip overcomes the dry air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted November 15, 2012 Author Share Posted November 15, 2012 Near term /through today/... as of 1100 PM Wednesday... Main concern overnight is chance for -fzra in the northwest NC mountains...mainly the higher elevations. There are several parameters that really do not appear to come together for any meaningful precipitation...hence much concern for winter weather problems. Temperatures are below freezing at elevations above 3000 feet...but extensive middle/high cloud cover in advance of the short wave lifting NE out of Georgia should put a damper on much additional cooling. Dewpoints are only a few degrees below temperatures...which is also a good sign. The bigger question...however...is whether or not any precipitation will even make it up into this region. GFS/European model (ecmwf) do spread some very light precipitation into northwest NC...but mostly after low- level thickness and surface temperatures rise above freezing precipitation concerns. Latest local WRF shows very little precipitation making it north of the SC/NC border until after 12z...then spreading mostly toward rdu and not into the rnk County Warning Area. Will leave ongoing weather/pop forecast as is with 20 probability of precipitation for -ra/-fzra northwest NC late tonight/early Thursday. No need for any west-southwest/Special Weather Statement at this point. As noted...confidence in anything occurring at all is low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Wow talk about a cold rain! 35 and it's pouring buckets outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Wow talk about a cold rain! 35 and it's pouring buckets outside. Wunderground LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Wow talk about a cold rain! 35 and it's pouring buckets outside. HA! We are expierncing our first NORMAL Carolina winter storm today: 33 degrees and Rain! Well actually mid 30's and rain, close enough I supose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 LOL. Been a while since this statement was made.. 42.3 in the back yard today with little under .25" in the bucket... HA! We are expierncing our first NORMAL Carolina winter storm today: 33 degrees and Rain! Well actually mid 30's and rain, close enough I supose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Wunderground LOL Look out for that construction debris today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Cool damp 38 this am , .64 over night Gville ,SC area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Woke up about 3:30am to the sound of thunder,heavy rain and the temp was 42. It's still sprinkling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Local Yokel Wx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Not a drip here in Cullowhee. Was expecting at least a tenth of an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Northern Foothills Snowman Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Down to 31 last night and another frost.I was watching Austin Caviness on WXII this mornig .He was giving forecast and was saying normal high now is 62 .We will be colder than that yet again today .I wondering what our average high and low are for this month so far ? Other than this past weekend It seems chilly over all for November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 The precip shield seems to be stretching farther north and west than it has in previous runs. The trend is our friend? Wait...that sounds like a winter saying... The trend on the 18Z runs wasn't quite good enough to bring the rain to north Hickory: Nothing in the rain bucket this morning, but nice and cool at 37. I didn't stay up to see the 00Z runs, but it doesn't really matter after the fact whatever they were projecting. I hope it will remain cool and cloudy today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Look out for that construction debris today! Indeed. Might be a vicious insulation storm in Carrboro this am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Indeed. Might be a vicious insulation storm in Carrboro this am. Nope they finished that part of the project. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Mackall Army Airfield is reporting Light rain and snow but I don't trust the accuracy of that. Trying to get the current analyzed partials which appear to be no good right now of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Nice win for the NAM today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Was cold enough here all night with a low of 27 degrees. Just could not get any precipitation in here. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Woke up about 3:30am to the sound of thunder,heavy rain and the temp was 42. It's still sprinkling Ok, then, I'm calling off the Moles. Got to keep them charged up for winter I got just less the 3/4's for the 2 days, which is way over what I was expecting! And now it's cloudy and cool...I love me a good cad! T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Ok, then, I'm calling off the Moles. Got to keep them charged up for winter I got just less the 3/4's for the 2 days, which is way over what I was expecting! And now it's cloudy and cool...I love me a good cad! T Thank you Tony CAE picked up a much needed 1.36 overnight and this morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Pleasantly surprised that our predicted few hundredths turned into .35"! that brings us up to the robust amount of .53" for the month!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted November 15, 2012 Share Posted November 15, 2012 Mackall Army Airfield is reporting Light rain and snow but I don't trust the accuracy of that. Trying to get the current analyzed partials which appear to be no good right now of course. Woke up at 4:30am this morning and saw some sleet pellets mixed with rain for about 20 minutes. Temps fell quickly from 37 degrees to 34 degrees. Just when I thought things were going to get interesting, it was over. Oh well, just a warm-up for winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Pleasantly surprised that our predicted few hundredths turned into .35"! that brings us up to the robust amount of .53" for the month!!! I found your hundredths, .06. .25 for the month so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Thank you Tony CAE picked up a much needed 1.36 overnight and this morning Wow! Way to go. I guess they got past the portal fear I'm down in the 30's again. I've got to say this hasn't been a bad Nov. for night time temps, so far. Looking forward to some good cold out in the way out T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Another cold morning. Low of 23 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 26.1 this morning now we cold! I'm loving my Davis Vantage Vue Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 25.5° in Weaverville this am. Looks like a decent warm up ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 Still have yet to break 32 at the house this year.. BUt was at 33.1 this morning with heavy heavy frost!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 16, 2012 Share Posted November 16, 2012 27.7 IMBY this morning. That's the coldest temp so far this season IMBY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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