2012/13 Florida dry season

[icebreaker5221]

Storm threat appears to be developing for Broward, Miami-Dade, perhaps Key Largo. Quite a bit of cloud-to-ground lightning coming out of these anvils ahead of the precip, could take some people off guard..

SPC:

...FLORIDA...
LOW AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL TROUGHING IS CURRENTLY SHIFTING ACROSS THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA...AND SUPPORTING INCREASING STORM DEVELOPMENT
ALONG A WEAK PRE-FRONTAL SURFACE TROUGH/WIND SHIFT ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHERN PENINSULA. THE BULK OF THE STRONGER MID-LEVEL FORCING FOR
UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION APPEARS TO BE SHIFTING OFFSHORE...BUT A
TRAILING AREA OF LIFT APPEARS TO BE SUPPORTING THE SMALL STORM
CLUSTER NOW PROGRESSING INTO MIAMI-DADE COUNTY. WITH THE SEA-BREEZE
PERHAPS ENHANCING LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE NEAR COASTAL AREAS THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON...ADDITIONAL STORMS AND UPSCALE GROWTH APPEAR
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MIAMI METROPOLITAN AREA. IN THE PRESENCE OF
RELATIVELY HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER AND MODERATELY LARGE CAPE...DEEP
LAYER SHEAR APPEARS MARGINALLY SUFFICIENT FOR UPDRAFT
ROTATION...WHICH COULD ENHANCE THE RISK FOR LOCALIZED STRONG WIND
GUSTS...PERHAPS SOME SEVERE HAIL THROUGH AT LEAST THE 18-19Z TIME
FRAME.