icebreaker5221 Posted October 30, 2012 Share Posted October 30, 2012 With no precipitation occurring anywhere in the state, an RH of only 29% at this hour in Orlando, and a very dry 7-day forecast, I think it's safe to say that the dry season has begun. Let the riveting discussion begin! Looks like winter's off to a quick start down here (courtesy strong north-westerlies on the backside of Sandy). Only up to 72 so far in Miami and may not even reach 73. The record low high for the date is 75, so that record looks to be in the books! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Yay dry season! Finally! Hopefully the NAO stays negative all winter like two years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CandymanColumbusGA Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Only up to 72 so far in Miami and may not even reach 73. The record low high for the date is 75, so that record looks to be in the books! I didn't know it got THAT cold down there... Awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted November 13, 2012 Author Share Posted November 13, 2012 Looks like a week of seasonable to perhaps slightly coolish temps and no major weather systems. Perhaps a few streamer showers each day but that's about it. Let's see what this weekend's system can do. Best chance of seeing anything interesting out of it in the Jacksonville area where there is the potential for some light to moderate rain / wind / large waves, but most likely developing too far north to have any appreciable impacts to FL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormitecture Posted November 13, 2012 Share Posted November 13, 2012 Not sure what, if any true aspects weather geeks like about dry season....so I'll ask: is there really any reason to like the dry season over the wet season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted November 13, 2012 Author Share Posted November 13, 2012 Not sure what, if any true aspects weather geeks like about dry season....so I'll ask: is there really any reason to like the dry season over the wet season? Nope. I much prefer the wet season from a meteorological standpoint. Dry season is better for camping and biking, that's about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted November 13, 2012 Share Posted November 13, 2012 Not sure what, if any true aspects weather geeks like about dry season....so I'll ask: is there really any reason to like the dry season over the wet season? The weather is perfect now for outdoor activities!!! The heat and humidity is unbearable in the summer, especially for someone like me that has an apartment with old and unreliable window A/C units. This year was a little better with Isaac, Sandy, and a few decent thunderstorms, but 95% of the time the weather is boring in wet season also. In winter there is more interesting weather across the rest of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormitecture Posted November 14, 2012 Share Posted November 14, 2012 I love the wet season myself. All the storms to chase and film. I love the humidity too...much more pleasant on the skin and hair. I hate the dried out feeling. I can see the appeal of the dry season for an outdoor aspect (I'm sure I'll be doing a lot more of that this go around in FL). I remember I came once it was so dry my brothers (who grew up in Miami) took me out to the glades and we walked all over the exposed limestone because the wet season never really happened. I want to say that was 1998 to 2000, can't remember exactly. Certainly wasn't the case either time I lived in Miami (2001 and 2004/5). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted November 20, 2012 Author Share Posted November 20, 2012 Very Seattle-like down here in S FL today with morning fog, cool temps and low stratus throughout the day. Only 65 at 1pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted November 30, 2012 Author Share Posted November 30, 2012 Looks like we'll end the month of Nov -3.7 F below normal in Mia, with a cooler than normal month state-wide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted December 12, 2012 Author Share Posted December 12, 2012 1.8" TPW on last night's sounding, along with training cells. No wonder there was flooding in Jupiter. Pretty unusual for Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ground Scouring Posted December 31, 2012 Share Posted December 31, 2012 Finally, the upcoming pattern may present some interesting conditions here. See more in my post: http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/38593-sudden-stratospheric-warming-begins-significant-cold-ahead-for-january-februarycross-polar-flow/#entry1974611 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted February 27, 2013 Author Share Posted February 27, 2013 Anyone from FL besides me still on this forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 27, 2013 Share Posted February 27, 2013 I think pcbjr is in your neck of the woods. Well, he's about 300+ miles north of you, but in Florida, nonetheless. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Quite a few reports of flurries/sleet/graupel from along the West Central Florida coast overnight and this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Quite a few reports of flurries/sleet/graupel from along the West Central Florida coast overnight and this morning. Wow really? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Akeem the African Dream Posted March 3, 2013 Share Posted March 3, 2013 Wow really? Dunedin from overnight of what may have been graupel and around 4am in Seminole with what may have been flurries. This certainly wasn't out of the question. Tampa NWS however has their doubts. From Tampa NWS: Hearing of a few reports of snow in the area this morning. Also saw one "snow" video which appeared more likely to be light rain given the fall rates of the precipitation. Morning upper air observations in Tampa show the cloud temperature is -1 C (base) to -5 C (top), however these temps need to be closer to -10 C to get ice crystals in the cloud. Further south there is some indication of a dee...per cloud layers with the top of the cloud reaching the required -10 C (evident on the Miami upper air observation). However, in these areas the above freezing layer is 4000-6000 ft deep making it extremely unlikely any snow would reach the ground. That said, we shall see if any more conclusive pics or video surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 7, 2013 Author Share Posted March 7, 2013 What an increadibly cold start to the month for the Southeastern US, especially FL. That -NAO / -AO / +PNA combo really did the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 23, 2013 Author Share Posted March 23, 2013 The 00Z TBW sounding indicated a respectable 64 kt of 0-6 km shear. Looks like a couple of smaller cells making landfall in the Punta Gorda area are trying to capitalize on that shear, maintaining organization (perhaps slow weakening) despite the loss of surface heating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 30, 2013 Share Posted March 30, 2013 I still occasionally check this forum from Miami, although I'm moving soon. Looks like a chance for some thunderstorm activity next Thursday-Friday in South Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 30, 2013 Author Share Posted March 30, 2013 I still occasionally check this forum from Miami, although I'm moving soon. Looks like a chance for some thunderstorm activity next Thursday-Friday in South Florida. Sorry to hear that you're moving, this forum needs to keep as many members as it can! That late-week threat potentially looks very interesting. Could be a good setup for a high shear / low CAPE squall line type setup with embedded mesos, especially if the GFS verifies, but still much too far out to get into those details. CMC and Euro not ~quite~ as impressive. I'll definitely be keeping an eye on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 31, 2013 Author Share Posted March 31, 2013 Smoke plume associated with wildfire east of Naples appears to be growing based on radar trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted March 31, 2013 Share Posted March 31, 2013 Thats a thick ass smoke plume. Reminds me of the 2011 fire season here where there was smoke here everyday. One day the radar here looked jus t like that and it looked as if it was just a very cloudy day with a red color to the sky and raining ashes all day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flweathernerd Posted April 1, 2013 Share Posted April 1, 2013 We're under a slight risk today! We might see rain and maybe even hear thunder for the first time in months! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flweathernerd Posted April 4, 2013 Share Posted April 4, 2013 Decent looking Tornado warned cell in Brevard tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted April 4, 2013 Author Share Posted April 4, 2013 Looks like a good chance for some severe storms today. Perfect timing for me to be offline and flying back to Miami this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hypatia Posted April 4, 2013 Share Posted April 4, 2013 I'm excited. It's been a while. BY MID DAY SIGNIFICANT BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING SHOULD ENHANCE THE PROSPECT FOR MORE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS ACROSS CNTRL FL...POSSIBLY AIDED BY LOCAL SEA BREEZES...LATEST FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS WILL BE ROOTED IN SBCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1700 J/KG WITH POTENTIALLY STEEP SFC-2KM LAPSE RATES. THIS ACTIVITY COULD PRODUCE HAIL THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS GIVEN THE EXPECTED INSTABILITY. ISOLATED TORNADOES MAY ALSO BE NOTED WITH ANY SUPERCELLS GIVEN THE MOISTURE/SHEAR PROFILES. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flweathernerd Posted April 5, 2013 Share Posted April 5, 2013 Well that severe threat didn't really amount to anything but we got some nice rain totals out of it. There's a rain mass over South Florida right now and i'm sure it's helping to douse many of the brush fires in the area. I'll soak it in now because it looks like chamber of commerce weather through the 7 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted April 5, 2013 Author Share Posted April 5, 2013 Well that severe threat didn't really amount to anything but we got some nice rain totals out of it. There's a rain mass over South Florida right now and i'm sure it's helping to douse many of the brush fires in the area. I'll soak it in now because it looks like chamber of commerce weather through the 7 day. Yeah, the severe aspect completely underperformed, but the rain overperformed. The lightning was pretty good too if you were awake (or awoken) last night from 3-4 am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
flweathernerd Posted April 6, 2013 Share Posted April 6, 2013 Yeah, the severe aspect completely underperformed, but the rain overperformed. The lightning was pretty good too if you were awake (or awoken) last night from 3-4 am. I was by my cat running atop me with his claws out when a bolt hit across the street. This radar loop from last night is very impressive. Kind of sad I slept through most of it though. http://andrew.rsmas.miami.edu/bmcnoldy/radar/kamx/tmp/MiamiRadar_5Apr2013.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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