mdsnowlover Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Can you be more specific? ---as we have people from many areas of the Mid-atlantic here, I need to see if "Holy smokes" is good for me. (lol). I live near 95, in columbia and yes its a good hit. Surprisingly so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 link to CMC for those who don't have it http://www.canadianweather.org/models/rgem12.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 link to CMC for those who don't have it http://www.canadianw...dels/rgem12.php thats the RGEM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 thats the RGEM You can click to the other models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 The feel is a lot better than at 12z yesterday. The evil euro lurks around the corner. GGEM?UKIE? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 link to CMC for those who don't have it http://www.canadianw...dels/rgem12.php CMC link, precip type. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 thats the RGEM Oh, my bad... oh wait, the CMC is still there. http://www.canadianweather.org/models/gem12.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 CMC link, precip type. http://collaboration...pe_gem_reg.html Thanks! I was just trying to help limit the "can someone post the CMC" questions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You can click to the other models my bad, me no good with computa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Meh. If the gfs/nam was in, I'd feel good. I can't get overly excited about the ggem Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Meh. If the gfs/nam was in, I'd feel good. I can't get overly excited about the ggem You've got to like the trend.... NAM came about 200 miles west in one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Lol CMC is a real weenie run for interior nj and sne let me tell ya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 GGEM h7 maps show moisture over the area at 48, but its very light Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Meh. If the gfs/nam was in, I'd feel good. I can't get overly excited about the ggem Normally I'm with you on that. For the most part I don't even look at anything other than gfs/euro/nam/sref. The only takeaway here is that it shows how close it is. And we know what "can" happen with systems like this. They can surprise once in a while. But it's easy to be pessimistic given the last couple winters and unfortunately a pessimistic forecast has the highest chance at being right. Not out of the game though. That's good enough to stay interested. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capitalweather Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You've got to like the trend.... NAM came about 200 miles west in one run nam gives dca 0.38", canadian at least 0.4" it would appear. temps are an issue though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 nam gives dca 0.38", canadian at least 0.4" it would appear. temps are an issue though. Agree.. but I would take 1-2 inches of sloppy wet snow and run with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I'm tempted to wildly vacillate with each model run at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Euro will tell us if the trend is real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Euro will tell us if the trend is real. Agree..... if Euro comes west, I think this will keep trending Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Agree.. but I would take 1-2 inches of sloppy wet snow and run with it If temps are an issue then you probably wouldn't even get that much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 nam gives dca 0.38", canadian at least 0.4" it would appear. temps are an issue though. The temps have always been and issue. Couldn't tell from the GGEM what the surface temps would be. I think it tends to run a little warm. You can't say that about the NAM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Heres the NAM banding page. It's really good at depicting banding if .. well.. the nam is right. http://moe.met.fsu.edu/banding/ CSI and fronto isn't really overly impressive anywhere. 30-36 is when the best dynamics seem to be over our head. The best banding is well offshore and to our south and never really reaches our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Oh and NAM seems to suggest best banding might be over the delmarva Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 36 color from the GGEM might make it a bit easier to read -- http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/data/model_forecast/colour_images/12_054_G1_north@america@zoomout_I_4PAN_CLASSIC@012_036.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 UKIE says nothing really for us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 UKIE says nothing really for us Who gives a crap about the UKMET? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 UKIE says nothing really for us Meh. I'm over the ukie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 For those out west all of our eggs are in the GEM basket. Thats not a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You've got to like the trend.... NAM came about 200 miles west in one run One run doesnt make it a trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 One run doesnt make it a trend RGEM and GGEM came west too. GFS held. We'll see what Euro does shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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