RTutton Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Hopefully the blocking trend over the past few months continues into the winter. If so, we'll get ours when climo becomes more favorable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach McGuirk Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Something big could happen. I wouldn't write it off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 The 500 pattern has totally gone to crap. We have several distinct vorts dancing around like an ugly gyre. Those trends don't fix themselves once they go bad. All that is left is for it to turn into a SNE blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Hopefully people will blast the Euro for a few days to get back for last week's overpraise. I mean even the GGEM and GFS showed decent hits at some points, so they all need to get blasted. NAM actually had it right the whole time. Shockingly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 All that is left is for it to turn into a SNE blizzard. Never a bad thing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 To be honest this was always like playing draw poker, holding an ace, and drawing 4 cards hoping for a solid hand. Today might have sealed the deal, but the hand was in trouble a couple of days ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I mean even the GGEM and GFS showed decent hits at some points, so they all need to get blasted. NAM actually had it right the whole time. Shockingly. Ill stand by the NAM not being good outside 24-48. Ppl point to 09-10 but every model showed snow then. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 To be honest this was always like playing draw poker, holding an ace, and drawing 4 cards hoping for a solid hand. Today might have sealed the deal, but the hand was in trouble a couple of days ago. It depends on what you were looking for. You were never getting 12", that's true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I mean even the GGEM and GFS showed decent hits at some points, so they all need to get blasted. NAM actually had it right the whole time. Shockingly. Depends on where you are. Neither ever had much of anything past 81 and that was a stretch. I wanted to believe the Euro too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 It depends on what you were looking for. You were never getting 12", that's true. Exactly. I was hoping for a couple of inches and that was a stretch. Ay, what the heck, it's only Nov 5. Our good winter will get going soon enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Something big could happen. I wouldn't write it off. Well I guess I would wait til the Euro tonight but it kind of looks like crap. Maybe a couple of inches up here but in general it just looks disjointed and the storm never really gets a mechanism to get going. The jackpot on this is probably going to be like 2" somewhere lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 worst storm ever. the euro sucks. never was excited about this. i can go to orlando in peace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 worst storm ever. the euro sucks. never was excited about this. i can go to orlando in peace You are a weird person. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 worst storm ever. the euro sucks. never was excited about this. i can go to orlando in peace are you ready to cancel winter is the real question Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Ill stand by the NAM not being good outside 24-48. Ppl point to 09-10 but every model showed snow then. Oh I know it usually sucks but, for this storm we were like oh it only east cause it sucks. Well I guess it kinda didn't this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 This is all because the TX severe weather failed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 This is all because the TX severe weather failed. Drove by your old house on the way to my granddads funeral the other day, must have been a nice spot for serious drifts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 I mean even the GGEM and GFS showed decent hits at some points, so they all need to get blasted. NAM actually had it right the whole time. Shockingly. NAM on a roll with the last 2 storms. It crushed the GFS on the snowy end of Sandy. Edit:Gotta give the NOGAPS some credit too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Drove by your old house on the way to my granddads funeral the other day, must have been a nice spot for serious drifts Yes, and high snow plowing bills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Yes, and high snow plowing bills. I'm sure you loved it, $ and all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Lulz, JB still won't throw in the towel.... Says he has never trusted the gfs on an east coast storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 are you ready to cancel winter is the real question no Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Lulz, JB still won't throw in the towel.... Says he has never trusted the gfs on an east coast storm Yeah, all those pictures of the 240 hr GFS snow maps he's posted over the years. Never happened. Just like climate change. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 EURO east again, track similar to GFS but still throws like .2" back to DC/Baltimore though I find that unlikely with the low being that far off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Just... 20... more.. miles.... Gahh!!.... Oh well, it's November......................... NEXT! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Riptide Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Just... 20... more.. miles.... Gahh!!.... Oh well, it's November......................... NEXT! Looks like a coastal NJ event, I will believe it when I see it though considering time of year and marginal boundary temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
showmethesnow Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 And now the 06Z GFS teases us and tries to suck as back in. Especially for those around the bay and east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Just when you thought it was over, the GFS & RGEM go boom. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 Based on the EURO, there can be 4 to 6 hours of light snow west of the Chesapeake Bay but no really chance for accumulation, rates not high enough and ground too warm. The GFS shows essentially the same, a total of 0.25 to 0.45 inch precip with 2 meter temperatures above freezing. Better than nothing but don't break out the snow shovel. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted November 6, 2012 Share Posted November 6, 2012 You guys realize some, if not most of the GFS ensembles give you a solid snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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