TUweathermanDD Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 I find it a little odd that the Euro has the cold surface despite a warm low-level bias and the GFS is warm despite a low-level cold bias. Models are upgraded... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 12Z GFS comes back west but swings kinda more east then hooks back in. Thing is each run for it at upper levels changes so it still is not found its solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 And...... the GFS is still east.......... gonna be a battle It is actually a big hit, just swings out then hooks back in. Seems less likely but it is getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 It's getting there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Sort of a weird evolution but the GFS still shows a hit. Close enough to the Euro it would seem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 GFS stall alert at 66 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
needbiggerboat Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 GFS stall alert at 66 That would be a sustained onshore fetch for the places that don't really need it...Certainly a less impressive solution for points west of DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 That would be a sustained onshore fetch for the places that don't really need it...Certainly a less impressive solution for points west of DC. Its actually a much better solution than previous GFS runs have shown, follow the trend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 GFS is coming aboard. #bookit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 I get cold and clouds. Maybe a flurry if I'm lucky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 I get cold and clouds. Maybe a flurry if I'm lucky. It'll change. It has only like 16 times already in the past 4 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 GFS is coming aboard. #bookit Total QPF around .2 to .3 DC proper? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Total QPF around .2 to .3 DC proper? Looks like .3-.4" which is .3-.4" more than last run. haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 It'll change. It has only like 16 times already in the past 4 days. It really needs to come west to get anything substantial here in SWVA, but I'll be watching it for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 He should not be honored, the only reason you are letting him drive the bus is because you will be to drunk after Obama's win tomorrow night. I wish. I'll be in the office counting PEB's with tens of thousands of votes on them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Up here in Baltimore, that's a pretty nice hit. 6 inches (#clownmapsdisclaimer) from a model that was basically wide right a couple runs ago - ya gotta like the trend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 idk- I think the gfs is a big step towards the euro. I have no idea if it will go as extreme as the euro but it sure moved towards it. Best bet is still the blend of the euro-gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 GFS is coming aboard. #bookit I might have to scan my smart trip card and get on your bus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 It really needs to come west to get anything substantial here in SWVA, but I'll be watching it for sure. RGEM/EURO/JMA so solid hits for you. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 I might have to scan my smart trip card and get on your bus. +1 We may need a second bus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Wes better be working on that CWG article. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 idk- I think the gfs is a big step towards the euro. I have no idea if it will go as extreme as the euro but it sure moved towards it. Best bet is still the blend of the euro-gfs. Seems like this run of the gfs is a blend of previous gfs runs and the euro....still room to come West???? Maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Talk about a Son of Sandy. Fakes right, left hook, and then just sits off Jersey while it becomes vertically stacked and fills. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Talk about a Son of Sandy. Fakes right, left hook, and then just sits off Jersey while it becomes vertically stacked and fills. The upper levels look prime for our area. Look out for a deform as it becomes vertically stacked. Could be ultimate occluded screw job for SNE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 I might have to scan my smart trip card and get on your bus. I've named it after you and stocked it with mint julips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Seems like this run of the gfs is a blend of previous gfs runs and the euro....still room to come West???? Maybe I just did side by side h5's @ hr 45 & 51 and compared with hr 51/57 with 6z. It's a huge step. I think I'm caving on this one. I've tried to fight the urge because it's so damn time consuming picking apart every run but the GFS just pushed me over the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Can we make this the psuhoffman storm 2? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Can we make this the psuhoffman storm 2? Nah, he had his moment of glory. No sense overwriting the fond memories of mashed potatoes, gridlock, power outages, and my house getting down to 38. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 I've named it after you and stocked it with mint julips. Sometimes I think you really like me. Pray for me tomorrow night and hope I'm not on the news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 The upper levels look prime for our area. Look out for a deform as it becomes vertically stacked. Could be ultimate occluded screw job for SNE. LOL and then we you are up here, you'll be saying that about the MA. This will be a strong storm everywhere. Certainly DC burbs into ERN PA are under the gun for a 6-10hr pasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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