mattie g Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Yeah, it's funny. It's November - the pattern has to be more perfect than usual for it to snow in our area. People seem to forget that most of our snow comes in January and February. Even in December, it can be a struggle. After last winter, I have very modest expectations. I'm OK if we don't see anything in November, and don't see much of anything in December. I don't think anyone forgets that we get most of our snow in January and February, and I think folks realize that November snow will only happen if the setup is absolutely perfect. It's just something to talk about during a month when the trees go bare, vegetations starts to die, and crows start to rule the roost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 I don't think anyone forgets that we get most of our snow in January and February, and I think folks realize that November snow will only happen if the setup is absolutely perfect. It's just something to talk about during a month when the trees go bare, vegetations starts to die, and crows start to rule the roost. I hope so otherwise every coastal with a hint of blocking will make people think it will be Sandy part deux. People can be very easily convinced that Sandt storms will happen all the time as opposed to once in a 100 years Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 I hope so otherwise every coastal with a hint of blocking will make people think it will be Sandy part deux. People can be very easily convinced that Sandt storms will happen all the time as opposed to once in a 100 years I wouldn't be surprised if the initial public reaction to potential coastals will result in some comparison to Sandy, much like "derecho" became a buzz word this summer. But I think that, overall, people on here know better. At least I hope they do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrinceFrederickWx Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Anybody know what the final temp anom for Oct was at the major airports? I know BWI finished +2.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FrederickWX Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 I hope so otherwise every coastal with a hint of blocking will make people think it will be Sandy part deux. People can be very easily convinced that Sandt storms will happen all the time as opposed to once in a 100 years Exactly. Most people here are smart enough to understand this, but there are still a handful who don't. And in the general public, I truly believe that the majority don't understand this. I read DT's Facebook posts leading up to, and during the storm. Most of the responses were pathetic, in that people couldn't figure out where they were on his maps, didn't understand what he was saying, and were generally being idiots. He showed great restraint, but I wanted to slam a number of people for being so damn stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 12z GFS has our low...... very similar to Euro....... a bit too far east to get us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 12z GFS has our low...... very similar to Euro....... a bit too far east to get us We won't have the temps. Nothing is pointing towards that. It's next to impossible to get surface temps where we need them in early Nov anyway. Even if the 850's actually did cooperate (not likely) it would be a cold rain at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 12z GFS has our low...... very similar to Euro....... a bit too far east to get us right where we want it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 The low is simply too weak to pull down the cold air necessary, as they say not supported by climo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 The two separate vorts makes it a bit tricky. Not sure that's how it will end up. Often you'll get those to combine or further separate moving closer into range. 500 pattern is very suggestive a storm though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 And of course JB is already honking on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asdfk Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 I could see the same areas that saw snow with Sandy get some from this...south of the Mason Dixon in early November you need either a freak-event or elevation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Big storm coming together at 144 on the GGEM... right over HAT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonWeather Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Big storm coming together at 144 on the GGEM... right over HAT GGEM says it's go time. Lock it in ;-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 GGEM says it's go time. Lock it in ;-) GGEM is the new Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Even if this storm would come to fruition, it most likely would be nothing more then a cold rain. So wouldn't get excited about a "storm" 6 days away that the GGEM shows none the less. SNE maybe but MID ATLANTIC no way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Euro looks like the GGEM thus far, much west of 0z at h5, the set-up for a storm is there regardless of temps/actual outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Even if this storm would come to fruition, it most likely would be nothing more then a cold rain. So wouldn't get excited about a "storm" 6 days away that the GGEM shows none the less. SNE maybe but MID ATLANTIC no way I think we all know this........... its just getting back to tracking coastal storms..... pretty exciting...... this is like preseason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 y'all need help. After model watching all last week I'm burned out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 idk- we would need to see the models screaming snow now so they can slowly move back towards reality. Thinking we can back into something here is precarious at best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 I think we all know this........... its just getting back to tracking coastal storms..... pretty exciting...... this is like preseason Exactly. People are too ready to piss on someone's Corn Flakes, even if they're already frosted in urine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Pretty perfect track on the Euro if it were late December or January........ boundary is like Satan's kitchen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 I just remembered that Sunday is the end of daylight savings. Getting rid of an hour of sunlight may help with surface temps next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 I just remembered that Sunday is the end of daylight savings. Getting rid of an hour of sunlight may help with surface temps next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 woo https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/264085978560471041/photo/1/large Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Exactly. People are too ready to piss on someone's Corn Flakes, even if they're already frosted in urine. Don't worry - they are just as excited as you. It's called reverse psychology. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 woo https://twitter.com/...1/photo/1/large Hmmm..... I'm not sure which one is most likely to be right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wonderdog Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Hmmm..... I'm not sure which one is most likely to be right. That's quite the clown face anyway. Is he sticking his tougue out at us? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 Say what you want, but that HPC headline gets your attention. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 1, 2012 Share Posted November 1, 2012 idk- we would need to see the models screaming snow now so they can slowly move back towards reality. Thinking we can back into something here is precarious at best. Isn't thinking it may snow here 6 days in advance always precarious? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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