Ian Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 I don't think anyone should. It'll keep coming west. Hug the euro but double the snowfall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 00Z NAM looks OTS again Watch it hook right back over the coast like Sandy did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 It'll keep coming west. Hug the euro but double the snowfall. Now we're talking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 NAM is colder for one thing, drops 850s even without precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 actually it looks a bit east. toss it. edit: it might get captured better tho--who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Can't say I've ever seen a bombing low just drift due east like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Honestly, I do think it will come west over time. Impressive system over all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 actually it looks a bit east. toss it. edit: it might get captured better tho--who knows. edit: nam sucks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Can't say I've ever seen a bombing low just drift due east like that Could the incoming ridge from the west be responsible for the eastward movement? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 NAM might be right looks like mainly northern new england that gets snow. Climo ftw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 It'll keep coming west. Hug the euro but double the snowfall. Exactly. Ten days ago it showed .75+ of snow for RIC for Sandy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 NAM is really the best solution for NY and NJ. Stays far enough east to spare them the worst. And if its not gonna snow here. Let that be the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 NAM is really the best solution for NY and NJ. Stays far enough east to spare them the worst. And if its not gonna snow here. Let that be the case. well put! The only thing is we might have to end up waiting until around the first week of December until our first snowfall with recent NAO trends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 I hope we don't have to pretend not to want to see big storms for too long. Seems a bit disingenuous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 well put! The only thing is we might have to end up waiting until around the first week of December until our first snowfall with recent NAO trends. Depends which model you look at. The Euro wants to tank the NAO again towards the end of Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 My forecast for sdandy to trend further northeast didn't pan out. However for this one, I am also forecasting it to verify further northeast. It's a noreaster, like 12/26/2010. These things usually don't wrap up as fast as expected. Don't worry Blizz is still getting rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Thank goodness for the end of daylight savings time to enable earlier GFS initializations! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 NAM is really the best solution for NY and NJ. Stays far enough east to spare them the worst. And if its not gonna snow here. Let that be the case. Screw that. I'm full weenie mode. I want this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Through 36 the GFS is similar to 18z, differences minuscule as the h5 closes/opens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Not even a sprinkle on the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RTutton Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Mostly a miss for the MA. Oh well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Spoke too soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 The 500mb setup almost went exactly to the euro. Probably still some gfs shifts to go. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Just stalls it there for 12 hrs? Ok goofus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 Gfs looks like some marginal snow verbatim. Nothing overly impressive? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 models, models, we need more models.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 by accident, I wanted to take a look at the coming possible event on satellite and stumbled onto this not bad sat movie of Sandy http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/us_comp/movie-large.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 UKMet is OTS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 its kind of old data now already but I saw the posts about the SREF earlier and the 21z when it did come in, went way west...is a pretty good hit with precip over our area. Didn't see anyone go back and correct that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted November 5, 2012 Share Posted November 5, 2012 UKMet is OTS What source are you using, it hasn't even initialized on my source? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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