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Election week coastal storm threat


Midlo Snow Maker

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Euro is showing snow in DC at 99 hours then a nice deform zone just West of there at 102-108....it's definitely East of previous runs as far as snow zones go but as Matt said still a nice hit for the area all things considered. BL temps still warm and 850's are ok but not frigid...gonna guess if it does snow it will basically be white rain but still pretty exciting to see this type of solution...meaning a low forming at that point and riding the coast... at any point in the year but especially as we head towards the winter months. Keep em coming Mr. Euro

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  On 11/4/2012 at 4:59 AM, EasternUSWX said:

Agree if it looks similar to 12z I am going with that. That would be like 7 runs of the same solution.

It's not 7 runs of the same solution. Each one is ticking slightly east of its previous. Two days ago, it had me in a foot of snow. There's also several models with the storm pretty far out to sea for some of us. You can LOL me all you want, but I suspect that your primary reason for going with the Euro is that it still gives you some snow, but I'll stick with what I said, you have to lean more east. For some in our region, the Mid-Atlantic, that's a good thing. For some of us, it's not. For your region, Pennsylvania, I have no clue because I'm not interested.

I hope that you end up correct. I'd like to see it snow myself. But I think I'll hold off on putting that snowplow blade on my mower. I sure would like to see some other models throw some precip back my way. I keep waiting, but it's not happening. At least not yet.

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The Euro Ensemble mean (which probably matter more than the Operationals at this point) came in further WEST on the 00z run compared to yesterday's 12z run (which actually increased our precip but kept the 850 0C line in the same spot).

06z GFS Ensemble mean is about where the 12z Euro Ensemble was.

Ensembles FTW.

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  On 11/4/2012 at 1:11 PM, H2O said:

Like most know BL temps will be an issue. Euro is best shot if it is right

Honestly for us i think most reasonable expectation would be to see flakes falling mixing with rain but enough snow to tell it is snowing...accumulations if any would be of course for the nose bleed seats

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