weathafella Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Edit: I think we torch plenty but not sure of staying power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Started a thread for next week's mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Certainly potential for some snow in the next system...but it will need to track in a fairly narrow swath. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 How do the euro ensembles look past d10? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2012 Author Share Posted November 3, 2012 How do the euro ensembles look past d10? Like a curved weenie over YYZ. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 Like a curved weenie over YYZ. Honestly. C'mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2012 Author Share Posted November 3, 2012 EC ensembles have a big Aleutian ridge and a -PNA. However, they were a little cooler looking. Coldest air is still in western Canada as you would expect. I would keep expectations in check for now if you want mid winter conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 EC ensembles have a big Aleutian ridge and a -PNA. However, they were a little cooler looking. Coldest air is still in western Canada as you would expect. I would keep expectations in check for now if you want mid winter conditions. Certainly to early for mid winter conditions but at least they look colder. Torch next week looks short-lived Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 3, 2012 Author Share Posted November 3, 2012 Certainly to early for mid winter conditions but at least they look colder. Torch next week looks short-lived Well with a -PNA, you risk being on the warmer side of storms. I could see that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 If this is an elevation thing you need to come out to this area and experience it. Albany has high terrain (the Helderbergs) only about 15 miles car ride west and southwest and I can tell you where to go. I'd be kinda surprised if the immediate Albany area (at sea level to 250 feet) got much so early unless this thing is really dynamic. ill be in albany newyork monday morning threw friday night I would guess more interesting there then here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 While most of us hit freezing weeks ago, Logan has not. Normal first freeze in the 1971-00 database was 11/7. MAV has 11/6 this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 No freeze or frost yet in my burb expect it mon or tues am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 3, 2012 Share Posted November 3, 2012 So nice out there right now... winter chill, high winds, snow heavy at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Looks like a 1-2 day torch next week and then we rip in more cold air day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 God it's freezing out...i had to pull out my winter jacket last night, earliest i think I've done that in 8 years. Going to be a long one hour walk to the mall in this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 It's still an above normal height pattern with a strong -PNA. The good news is that the cold is in Canada, and a month or two from now....we would probably cash in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 It's still an above normal height pattern with a strong -PNA. The good news is that the cold is in Canada, and a month or two from now....we would probably cash in. How warm is it going to be during the torch? Hopefully the cold pattern retruns before Tgiving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 How warm is it going to be during the torch? Hopefully the cold pattern retruns before Tgiving Could be real mild as winds go SW. We cool off, but you can tell the cold is having trouble coming east because of the trough out west. We may waffle back and forth as storms track through our area or just NW of the area. Very Nina-like pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 Well what isn't dead around here soon will be. Cold nights ahead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Still moths and bugs out. 33.4F for my low. A light frost Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 had to stop last night for 5 bears to cross the road lol...I thought I was seeing things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 First 10 days of November will be below, the middle 10 days above, last 10 days? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 4, 2012 Author Share Posted November 4, 2012 First 10 days of November will be below, the middle 10 days above, last 10 days? Begins 11/10 and completes 11/25? I like how models are bringing MJO into the COD, and what may be another emergence into more favorable phases. The caveat though is that it is dangerous to predict MJO, but that's how models look anyways. The pattern on the Euro ensembles probably would be ok in December. Very Nina-like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Begins 11/10 and completes 11/25? I like how models are bringing MJO into the COD, and what may be another emergence into more favorable phases. The caveat though is that it is dangerous to predict MJO, but that's how models look anyways. The pattern on the Euro ensembles probably would be ok in December. Very Nina-like. 11 months late. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 32F -SNSH Flakes flying today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Some epic meltdowns en route as this torch settles in later next week:) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChrisM Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I'm pretty disappointed with some members of the board especially after reaching out to help them lately, ill be around... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Long long ways to go here, National Guard still patrolling the beach, residents only. Tree damage around Greenfield Hill and up by the Merrit are unbelievable, did not know how bad it is. Tons of work left to do and thousands still without power crews are doing a stellar job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 I'm pretty disappointed with some members of the board especially after reaching out to help them lately, ill be around... What do you mean? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 4, 2012 Share Posted November 4, 2012 Begins 11/10 and completes 11/25? I like how models are bringing MJO into the COD, and what may be another emergence into more favorable phases. The caveat though is that it is dangerous to predict MJO, but that's how models look anyways. The pattern on the Euro ensembles probably would be ok in December. Very Nina-like. Yeah this upcoming pattern is absolutely frigid out west and in the N plains. We'll have to be on the warm side for now, but no vortex in the dreaded areas these days. So that is nice to see and gives some legit reasons to think this Aleutian ridge can have plenty of room to build poleward and we set up a nice La Nina pattern by late November. We havent had the AK vortex since September...perhaps finally we have flushed it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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