dryslot Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 No they don't....,unless you consider north of you the snow/rain line. Lock it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Mid November torch on track and on time, funny how the cold is always delayed on models but true warmth is right on schedule. Anyhow, a chilly few days coming will feel Autumnal, but thankfully clouds last night provided some warmth for those without power or a means to heat there home. Question is, when does the cold come after a potential toasty torchvember, hopefully in time for Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Lock it up! 6-12" for coastal SNE and a driving rainstorm for the interior! AWT. Congrats everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Sssh don't tell Jerry. He's too busy being grumpy and nasty twds me But I love you like a good son especially now that I've had my coffee. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 congrats Logan Rick. Euro shifting back west. GFS winds at the Cape/Emass would be as strong as Sandy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Didn't they say they are taking the long term AFD and forecasts out of the local office hands and having HPC do long term? I'd be willing to bet this is the beginning of that and they just aren't saying it BOX is still issuing their own discussions (including the long term section). This morning's 7:08 AM discussion had all the usual sections. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cycloneslurry Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Mid November torch on track and on time, funny how the cold is always delayed on models but true warmth is right on schedule. Anyhow, a chilly few days coming will feel Autumnal, but thankfully clouds last night provided some warmth for those without power or a means to heat there home. Question is, when does the cold come after a potential toasty torchvember, hopefully in time for Thanksgiving. Yeah unfortunately for those who love cold and snowy weather...this is the new regime. One can argue all they want about the reasons for the warmth, but this is just one month after another of +2 +3 even +5 and +7 last winter. The cold shots that are advertised seem to always come in modified and last shorter than people thought. 7 days out it seems models and forecasts always bust on the warmner side. Even for next week I can se that happening already...What is it now 18 of the last 20 months have been well above normal here. What are the statistical odds that that is just chance. +3.8 for October in the bank now...and now after a few days of slightly below temps (which everyone is making a big deal over because it just does not happen that much anymore) and then we are looking down the barrel of an anomalously warm November as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Ugly Not boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2012 Author Share Posted November 2, 2012 But I love you like a good son especially now that I've had my coffee. Sorry. LOL, this made me laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 42 happy Friday all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Ugly Damaging inland and shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Weeklies look Nina-like. Aleutian ridge and -PNA signal. Very cold in western Canada. How do they look for the Great lakes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2012 Author Share Posted November 2, 2012 How do they look for the Great lakes? Same as here pretty much. Maybe it gets cooler there later in month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Not boring. Like last year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Lock it up! 6-12" for coastal SNE and a driving rainstorm for the interior! AWT. Congrats everyone. Practicing your comedy club routine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Practicing your comedy club routine? Nope, it's my new in house model I run off my Tablet. This storm has the coast pegged for a good early season snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Nope, it's my new in house model I run off my Tablet. This storm has the coast pegged for a good early season snow. You and kevin must be running the same software, Its very region specific Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 You and kevin must be running the same software, Its very region specific Go with what you know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 WOTY birthday? Happy Birthday Rev! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 the big 40th!! Happy Birthday to the good Reverend!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Happy birthday, Kevin. We'll give you a belated gift of model runs an hour earlier beginning on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Lol weenies. Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Lol weenies. Thanks Enjoy, It just gets better after 40... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 2, 2012 Author Share Posted November 2, 2012 Happy Birthday Kev. May you be able to run more miles than years of age. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Ugly Noob question, during Sandy most were looking at 950 winds, here you attached 850 winds, does the type of storm make a difference at what level you look at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Noob question, during Sandy most were looking at 950 winds, here you attached 850 winds, does the type of storm make a difference at what level you look at? Euro doesn't put out 950 winds in its commonly accessible products. The 950 winds posted in Sandy were probably NAM/GFS model soundings viewed in bufkit or similar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Noob question, during Sandy most were looking at 950 winds, here you attached 850 winds, does the type of storm make a difference at what level you look at? Whatever shows the most damage is what KFS ingests Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Euro doesn't put out 950 winds in its commonly accessible products. The 950 winds posted in Sandy were probably NAM/GFS model soundings viewed in bufkit or similar. OK, that makes sense, thanks Whatever shows the most damage is what KFS ingests lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 2, 2012 Share Posted November 2, 2012 Mountains are white down to 2,800ft or so this morning. Several more upslope inches in the forecast through the weekend with lowering snow levels. Hopefully we can get some snow showers down in town, too. Loving the upslope potential in the synoptics for middle/end of next week... early season is a climo favored time for big upslope events, too. Usually some more available moisture, stronger low pressure systems, steep low level lapse rates, etc BTV is sensing the signal, too...these storms can easily turn from a 1-3" synoptic event to 12"+ if the storm can find away to get itself to CAR/FVE area. FOR THE SYSTEM AFFECTING THE NORTH COUNTRY MID/LATE WEEK...REGION WILL SEE AMPLE QPF PINWHEEL INTO AREA AS CIRCULATION WILL BE EASTERLY FROM THE ATLANTIC. GOOD CHANCE FOR HIR ELEV TO SEE -SW/-RW MIX INITIALLY WITH RAIN IN VALLEYS...AND AS LOW LIFTS N AND E OF THE AREA BY END OF FORECAST PERIOD...CAA WILL BRING -SW WITH LIGHT ACCUM POSSIBLE. WNW FLOW COULD BRING EVEN MORE TO WESTERN FACING SLOPES. THIS WILL PROMPT WATCHING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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