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Pittsburgh/Western Pa Weather


north pgh

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Closing in on 2" here.  Over-performances make me happy.

 

A solid inch here. Snow caked on everything.

Nice little surprise for pretty much a 2-3 hour snow.

A sharp cutoff to the northern edge. 

North of Wexford to Cranberry looks like nothing. (about 15 miles north of me)

 

Anyone see the 18z GFS for Tuesday storm is now east of us. 

We need to bring it back west a tad and we are looking good.

Lot's of time to waffle back and forth but again it will suck me into watching the models all week.

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Check out what the 0z NAM is suddenly showing for Saturday. Model madness.

This detour sign is working it's magic and it started by bringing the snow north tonight. :whistle:

Let's see if the others catch on to what the NAM is showing as far as intensity is concerned. I know the NAM tends to be the one to overdo the QPF so we'll see. The 0z GFS and EURO will be interesting. Any kind of bump up in QPF from those two would be encouraging.

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0z GFS doesn't look good for us with either potential storm. It basically has next week's storm right back where it was before the 18z run. Model madness.

Yes indeed.

One run it goes about 200 miles the other way.

Whatever happens on Saturday will probably affect Tuesday's storm.

Anxious to see the Canadian in a few minutes before I turn in.

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Canadian follows GFS out to sea on Saturday.

Tuesday still looks like a rain to snow event.

 

By the way, If my big map of March 93 is a distraction on all of these posts let me know and I will take it off.

I didn't know if it bothered anyone because it takes up so much space and may be an eyesore.

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Canadian follows GFS out to sea on Saturday.

Tuesday still looks like a rain to snow event.

 

By the way, If my big map of March 93 is a distraction on all of these posts let me know and I will take it off.

I didn't know if it bothered anyone because it takes up so much space and may be an eyesore.

 

Doesn't bother me. Then again, I had a big ass radar in my signature for a long time and you guys put up with that. lol

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Latest NAM for Pgh shows about 8.2 inches of snow for friday Night/ Saturday!! Some ratios at times as high as 19 & 20 to 1--Snow to Rain. GFS, however, does not agree. I'll keep my fingers crossed!! :snowwindow:  :mapsnow:

We can kiss that goodbye now with the 6z run. We get teased with a run or two that puts us in a good spot and then we go back to reality when the models trend unfavorably for us. I think I'm going to take a break from this for a while. Whatever happens, happens.

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I hate to say this, but don't give much credence to the NAM.  It has been absolutely awful this winter.  It showed almost all of New England from NYC to Maine getting 24"+ of snow from the blizzard last week even 24 hours before it hit.  When it's wet it is due to overamplification.  When it is dry it tends to be closer to accurate.  Blend the Euro and GFS to get a decent prediction.

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Canadian follows GFS out to sea on Saturday.

Tuesday still looks like a rain to snow event.

 

By the way, If my big map of March 93 is a distraction on all of these posts let me know and I will take it off.

I didn't know if it bothered anyone because it takes up so much space and may be an eyesore.

Nah, lately it has been the only map worth looking at. ;) ;)

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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA

403 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013

.SYNOPSIS...

A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING AND BRING SNOW SHOWERS

TO THE AREA. IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...COLDER TEMPERATURES WITH

SNOW SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...

THE LATEST RAP MID-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES A BROAD 500MB TROUGH

ACROSS THE MIDWEST WITH THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY IN A SOUTHWESTERLY

FLOW AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE. 700MB OMEGA INDICATES AN AREA OF LIFT

PUSHING EAST OF THE ALLEGHENY FRONT. THIS LIFT HAS BEEN

RESPONSIBLE FOR GENERALLY 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW ACCUMULATION IN THE

HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF THE ALLEGHENY FRONT. AT THE SURFACE...A COLD

FRONT HAS PUSHED NOW PUSHED EAST OF ZANESVILLE AND IS MOVING

ACROSS EASTERN OHIO. WITH THE FRONT...NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS ARE MOVING

ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY.

THIS EVENING...THE COLD FRONT IS PROGGED TO BE REACH THE PITTSBURGH

METRO BY AROUND 23Z. THE FRONT WILL BRING SNOW SHOWERS...MODERATE

TO HEAVY AT TIMES IN LOCALIZED AREAS. WITH WARMER GROUND AHEAD OF THE

FRONT AND SHOT OF CAA LAGGING SOMEWHAT BEHIND THE FRONT...BELIEVE

THIS WILL LIMIT ACCUMULATION. THUS...WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE

ITSELF...SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL MOSTLY BE AN INCH OR LESS ACROSS

THE AREA...NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION A LOCATION COULD GET 2 INCHES

IN MORE LOCALIZED SNOW SHOWERS. HOWEVER...ACCUMULATION WILL MOSTLY

JUST BE ON GRASSY SURFACES AS THE BIGGER IMPACT WITH THE FRONTAL

PASSAGE WILL BE REDUCED VISIBILITIES TO LESS THAN A HALF MILE IN

THE STRONGER SNOW SHOWERS.

TONIGHT...THE FRONT WILL SLIDE EAST OF THE AREA AND CAA WILL

ENSUE. BEHIND THE FRONT...A WESTERLY COMPONENT WILL ALLOW FOR SOME

UPSLOPING ACROSS THE LAUREL HIGHLANDS AND ALLEGHENY FRONT

OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER...DEEP MOISTURE WILL NOT BE PRESENT IN THE WAKE

OF THE FRONT AND THUS ANTICIPATE THAT SNOW WILL BE GENERALLY LIGHT

WITH ADDITIONAL OVERNIGHT ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES FOR

LOCATIONS ABOVE 2000 FT. ACROSS THE LOWLANDS...AN INVERSION AROUND

4-5KFT WILL LIMIT SNOW SHOWERS AND THUS ANTICIPATE LITTLE OR NO

ACCUMULATION OVERNIGHT. WITH A POST-FRONTAL ARCTIC AIR MASS

SETTLING INTO THE REGION...TEMPS TONIGHT WILL BE NOTICEABLY

COLDER. A MAV/MET BLEND WAS USED WITH LOWS RANGING FROM THE MID

TEENS NORTH AND EAST OF PITTSBURGH TO NEAR 20 IN PORTIONS OF

EASTERN OHIO AND NORTHERN WV.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY/...

A MODEL CONSENSUS INDICATES THAT A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL CROSS THE

UPPER OHIO VALLEY SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...PROVIDING FORCING

FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BEGINNING IN THE LATE MORNING INTO THE

AFTERNOON ON SATURDAY. WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE TROUGH AROUND AN

INCH OF SNOW IS EXPECTED GENERALLY ACROSS THE AREA...ALTHOUGH

LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO THREE INCHES CANNOT BE RULED

OUT...ESPECIALLY WITH UPSLOPING IN THE HIGHER

ELEVATIONS...DEPENDING ON WHERE SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOP.

THE TROUGH WILL SHIFT EAST OF THE AREA ON SUNDAY...WITH SNOW

SHOWERS DIMINISHING IN COVERAGE AND COMING TO AN END FOR MOST OF

THE AREA BY THE AFTERNOON. MODELS REMAIN IN AGREEMENT THAT HIGH

PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST BEHIND THIS FEATURE AND

ALLOW FOR A DRY FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

FOR TEMPS...A NOTICEABLY COLDER WEEKEND IS AHEAD IN CAA BEHIND THE

FRONT. TEMPS WILL STRUGGLE TO REACH 30 ACROSS THE AREA EACH DAY

WITH TEMPS AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. WAA WILL RETURN

AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON MONDAY...ALLOWING FOR TEMPS TO WARM TO A FEW

DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE DISTRICT TUESDAY

BRINGING SHOWERS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF THE FRONT. AS

THE FRONT PUSHES EAST OF THE DISTRICT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CHANGE TO

SNOW SHOWERS AS COLDER TEMPERATURES MOVE IN FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO

WEDNESDAY. NORTHWEST FLOW OFF THE LAKES BEHIND THE FRONT WILL

BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING

DRY WEATHER FOR THURSDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL BRING A RISK OF

SHOWERS FOR FRIDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE DISTRICT THIS EVENING WILL BRING

PERIODS OF SNOW WITH MVFR TO IFR RESTRICTIONS WHEN THE SNOW

IS OCCURRING. GENERAL MVFR OVERCAST CEILINGS CAN BE EXPECTED

TONIGHT WHERE NO SNOW IS FALLING. SNOW IS MOST LIKELY ACROSS THE

SOUTHERN PORTS.

.OUTLOOK.../SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...

PERIODIC RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH SUNDAY AS SEVERAL FAST

MOVING DISTURBANCES MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION. HIGH

PRESSURE AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN MONDAY AND LAST

UNTIL A COLD FRONT APPROACHES TUESDAY.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MD...NONE.

OH...NONE.

PA...NONE.

WV...NONE.

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I have one tiny little snow shower that happens to be right over top of me right now. Snowing moderately I'd have to say. Shouldn't last too long and then another area of snow showers moving in from Ohio should affect at least some of us in a little bit. Maybe we'll see a quick coating to an inch out of it. This is the best we can do right now while everyone else around us seems to get the storms.

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BDJ_-r1CMAAxdJX.jpg

 

Check out that little snow circle in Allegheny County.  :pimp:

Remember this little bullseye. Here it comes.

 

 

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENTNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA648 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013PAZ014-020>023-029-031-073-075-076-WVZ001>004-012-021-022-160115-ALLEGHENY PA-ARMSTRONG PA-BEAVER PA-BROOKE WV-BUTLER PA-FAYETTE PA-FAYETTE RIDGES PA-GREENE PA-HANCOCK WV-INDIANA PA-MARION WV-MARSHALL WV-MONONGALIA WV-OHIO WV-WASHINGTON PA-WESTMORELAND PA-WETZEL WV-648 PM EST FRI FEB 15 2013...AN AREA OF SNOW WILL AFFECT ALLEGHENY...EASTERN BROOKE...EASTERNMARSHALL...EASTERN OHIO...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN MARION...EXTREMESOUTHWESTERN INDIANA...GREENE...NORTHEASTERN WETZEL...NORTHWESTERNMONONGALIA...SOUTHEASTERN BUTLER...SOUTHEASTERN HANCOCK...SOUTHERNBEAVER...SOUTHWESTERN ARMSTRONG...WASHINGTON...WESTERN FAYETTE ANDWESTERN WESTMORELAND COUNTIES...AT 636 PM EST...AN AREA OF SNOW WITH THE LEADING ALONG A LINE FROM 3MILES WEST OF RACCOON CREEK STATE PARK TO 3 MILES NORTHEAST OFWILEYVILLE...WAS MOVING EAST AT 25 TO 30 MPH.THIS AREA OF SNOW WILL GENERATE A QUICK ONE TO TWO INCHES OFACCUMULATION AND MAY DROP VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.  HIGHWAYS IMPACTED INCLUDE...  I-79.  I-376.  I-70.YOU CAN REPORT SNOW TOTALS BY CALLING...412-262-1988...POST TO THENWS PITTSBURGH FACEBOOK PAGE...OR USING TWITTER @NWSPITTSBURGH.LAT...LON 4078 7936 3978 7960 3956 8072 4057 8051
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Light snow here now. Looks like it's going to end pretty soon here. I have to say that personally that's as heavy as I've seen it snow this winter. Usually you guys up north get it and we miss out down here. This one just happened to track perfectly for where I'm at. Too bad it can't snow like that around here for hours instead of minutes.

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