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Central PA - Is it really looking like Christmas?


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High Wind Warning Updated to 70MPH now!

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STATE COLLEGE PA

616 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...STRONG WINDS AND POWER OUTAGES LIKELY MONDAY INTO TUESDAY...

.THE REMNANTS OF HURRICANE SANDY WILL TRACK WESTWARD INTO

PENNSYLVANIA MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...BRINGING STRONG...GUSTY

WINDS TO THE AREA.

PAZ036-056>059-063>066-291000-

/O.CON.KCTP.HW.W.0002.121029T1200Z-121030T1600Z/

FRANKLIN-PERRY-DAUPHIN-SCHUYLKILL-LEBANON-CUMBERLAND-ADAMS-YORK-

LANCASTER-

INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CHAMBERSBURG...NEWPORT...HARRISBURG...

HERSHEY...POTTSVILLE...LEBANON...CARLISLE...GETTYSBURG...YORK...

LANCASTER

616 PM EDT SUN OCT 28 2012

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM MONDAY TO NOON

EDT TUESDAY...

* WINDS...NORTH 35 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 70 MPH.

* TIMING...BEGINNING SHORTLY AFTER DAYBREAK MONDAY...AND LASTING

THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...NUMEROUS DOWNED TREES...AND WIDESPREAD...POTENTIALLY

LONG-DURATION POWER OUTAGES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH WIND WARNING MEANS A HAZARDOUS HIGH WIND EVENT IS EXPECTED

OR OCCURRING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST 40 MPH OR GUSTS

OF 58 MPH OR MORE CAN LEAD TO PROPERTY DAMAGE.

IF YOU EXPERIENCE A POWER OUTAGE...DO NOT USE GENERATORS...

GRILLS OR OTHER GASOLINE...PROPANE OR CHARCOAL BURNING DEVICES

INSIDE YOUR HOME OR GARAGE. THEY PRODUCE CARBON MONOXIDE...AN

ODORLESS...COLORLESS GAS THAT KILLS MORE THAN 500 AMERICANS EACH

YEAR. GENERATORS SHOULD BE PLACED OUTSIDE...AWAY FROM DOORS

WINDOWS AND VENTS THAT COULD ALLOW CARBON MONOXIDE TO SEEP

INSIDE. DO NOT LET YOUR CAR IDLE INSIDE THE GARAGE...EVEN IF THE

GARAGE DOOR IS OPEN.

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My reponse to Jamie:

The part of the whole thing that really irks me is the whole "we're not in the direct path of the storm". Well yea... technically, we ARE in the direct path of the storm. The low pressure center is literally going to either go over our head or just east. Obviously, we aren't going to see the type of stuff the NJ coast and NYC/LI are about to experience and the central counties will probably see somewhat mitigated wind gusts (and i use that term lightly). But still, this isn't going to be run of the mill. I'm curious to see what actually happens cuz this is such a rare track/setup.
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My reponse to Jamie:

MAG, what I'm also not thrilled with in the wording is that Brian is seemingly brushing the threat off because we're seemingly not in the direct path, when it's clear impacts will expand hundreds of miles.

Nah bro if the storm moves like several miles it'll make all kinds of difference amirite?

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MAG, what I'm also not thrilled with in the wording is that Brian is seemingly brushing the threat off because we're seemingly not in the direct path, when it's clear impacts will expand hundreds of miles.

Thats a really good point actually now that I think about it.. that thinking goes against any typical NHC storm statement regarding an impending land fall of a tropical system (like there will still be significant impacts away from the center of the storm) .

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I've not had any phone calls from our power company yet back here, that's pretty wild that they're actually doing that though. We're ready for it here.. generators ready to pull out of the shed with gas on hand, chainsaw, heavy chains to pull anything out of the way with the truck, etc.

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Satellite appears Sandy's done moving east.

Yea, noticed that..the last couple of frames especially. May be making the turn just a bit earlier than the 18z NAM/GFS indicated, which had it drifting slightly NE for another 12 hrs or so. Overall you have to be really impressed with the way the models have been handling this since early in the week. I kept expecting to wake up to huge shifts in the track/ intensity but was greeted with pretty much the same solution every time. I guess being burned by many a winter storm has conditioned me to that line of thinking. FYI, we just got the PPL call as well.

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00z NAM holds with the idea of possible snow for us here in State College. No big changes from the 12z or 18z NAM.

I noticed that around 5 of the SREF members for 21z show greater than 0.5" of liquid falling as snow in UNV...

http://nws.met.psu.e...mes/Plumes.html

Looks like this storm will have some of everything!

What do you think peak gusts will be at UNV?

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I think at the UNV airport we will see a gust >= 60 mph or at least upper 50s.

The max gusts at a particular location is dependent on topography, elevation, etc. I'd guess somewhere in this forum will get a 70+ gust if everything pans out as expected.

I'd actually be surprised if PSU university park doesn't have classes affected Tuesday. Power outages will be a significant deal I think, but I guess we'll find out soon!

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