earthlight Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 CTZ005>012-NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-300000- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN- EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...OCCASIONAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 70-90 MPH EXPECTED ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THROUGH 8 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED WINDS UP TO 110 MPH BETWEEN 1500 AND 3000 FEET. SOME OF THESE VERY STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH THE SURFACE...PRODUCING GUSTS OF 70-90 MPH ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT THROUGH 8 PM. THE GUSTS TO THESE LEVELS WILL BE MORE FREQUENT OVER SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND LONG ISLAND THAN OVER THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA. GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL DOWN NUMEROUS TREES...INCLUDING LARGE ONES. HIGH RISE BUILDINGS ARE ALSO SUSCEPTIBLE TO DAMAGE WITH THESE GUSTS. PERSONS ARE URGED TO REMAIN SHELTERED IN A STURDY BUILDING DUE TO THE THREAT OF FALLING TREES...LARGE LIMBS AND FLYING DEBRIS. $$ MALOIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Unconfirmed reports of 2 emt's swept out to sea in sea isle. That's all I've heard so far..nothingcomfirmed or official.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 ABC just announced that CONED is saying power below 36th street in Manhattan is likely to be shut off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MikeS Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Power keeps on flickering but hasn't gone off, yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Gotta tell ya - I know this is heresy here, but just as a layman looking at this, I don't see winds getting worse on LI with this storm - happy to be smacked down, but here's my rationale. Now I'm not talking about the water or flooding, so please don't say 'shame on you, what about the flooding', because I'm talking just about wind. - It has essentially made landfall - It's no longer a 'hybrid storm'. It's more like a regular hurricane which has made landfall - When hurricanes make landfall, they weaken - The eye of the storm is, what, 75 miles away? One more point. I think as far as trees go here on LI, we've had a 'thinning of the herd' with March 2010 and Irene. The easy marks already fell in the last two years; the sturdy trees are left behind. We're at about 220K outages island wide. Not a small number by any means, but I wonder if it will really get much worse from here. Let me have it... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SquatchinNY Posted October 29, 2012 Author Share Posted October 29, 2012 I was just out taking video. The wind, although lighter at the surface, is constantly roaring above the ground. You can hear it. It's amazing, I have never been in anything like it. Not much damage so far... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 just had a tree about 18" thick just snap in my backyard in this huge wind gust! wow insane right now! still waiting for that shift to the se still when that suppose to take place? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Gotta tell ya - I know this is heresy here, but just as a layman looking at this, I don't see winds getting worse on LI with this storm - happy to be smacked down, but here's my rationale. Now I'm not talking about the water or flooding, so please don't say 'shame on you, what about the flooding', because I'm talking just about wind. - It has essentially made landfall - It's no longer a 'hybrid storm'. It's more like a regular hurricane which has made landfall - When hurricanes make landfall, they weaken - The eye of the storm is, what, 75 miles away? One more point. I think as far as trees go here on LI, we've had a 'thinning of the herd' with March 2010 and Irene. The easy marks already fell in the last two years; the sturdy trees are left behind. We're at about 220K outages island wide. Not a small number by any means, but I wonder if it will really get much worse from here. Let me have it... So why continue posting? Leave it up to the experts, please. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Keep in mind the crane at the new WTC is probably at about 1,500ft. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Euripides Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Snowgiose, winds have def backed off now. Good call Guess it depends where you are.....just had multiple high gusts come through Douglaston (around the corner from the golf course) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Interesting that they put this out for NE NJ only east of the GSP. SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 CTZ005>012-NJZ006-104-106-108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-300000- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX- NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN- SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON-EASTERN BERGEN- EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 458 PM EDT MON OCT 29 2012 ...OCCASIONAL DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OF 70-90 MPH EXPECTED ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THROUGH 8 PM... NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED WINDS UP TO 110 MPH BETWEEN 1500 AND 3000 FEET. SOME OF THESE VERY STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS WILL OCCASIONALLY REACH THE SURFACE...PRODUCING GUSTS OF 70-90 MPH ACROSS THE NEW YORK CITY METROPOLITAN AREA...LONG ISLAND...AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT THROUGH 8 PM. THE GUSTS TO THESE LEVELS WILL BE MORE FREQUENT OVER SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND LONG ISLAND THAN OVER THE NEW YORK CITY METRO AREA. GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE WILL DOWN NUMEROUS TREES...INCLUDING LARGE ONES. HIGH RISE BUILDINGS ARE ALSO SUSCEPTIBLE TO DAMAGE WITH THESE GUSTS. PERSONS ARE URGED TO REMAIN SHELTERED IN A STURDY BUILDING DUE TO THE THREAT OF FALLING TREES...LARGE LIMBS AND FLYING DEBRIS. $$ MALOIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 They r still coming in bursts. Just not as strong as they were... for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Ripping in the Bronx. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEaster27 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 just took a drove around town, didnt see any real trees down just branches. Went down to broad channel right on the water, bay getting ready to flood the waves are crazy really crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JonClaw Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 IMBY 962mb Flooding in College Point according to my sources there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 So why continue posting? Leave it up to the experts, please. I asked a question. Did you understand the question you put in bold? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Interesting that they put this out for NE NJ only east of the GSP. There's too much friction and land that ENE or ESE winds need to travel over for Earthlight and I to see anything above hurricane force wind gusts, if not less. I think we'll see some gusts but only if we can get some actual rain bands to carry them down to the surface, and only then Im thinking more 50-60kt, not the 70-80kts that are being thrown around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 In the last 20 minutes an interesting effect has started here...we can hear crazy winds at the tree tops but the lower topped trees are not bending as much....definitely appears there is a bit less mixing to the immediate surface...very odd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Gotta tell ya - I know this is heresy here, but just as a layman looking at this, I don't see winds getting worse on LI with this storm - happy to be smacked down, but here's my rationale. Now I'm not talking about the water or flooding, so please don't say 'shame on you, what about the flooding', because I'm talking just about wind. - It has essentially made landfall - It's no longer a 'hybrid storm'. It's more like a regular hurricane which has made landfall - When hurricanes make landfall, they weaken - The eye of the storm is, what, 75 miles away? One more point. I think as far as trees go here on LI, we've had a 'thinning of the herd' with March 2010 and Irene. The easy marks already fell in the last two years; the sturdy trees are left behind. We're at about 220K outages island wide. Not a small number by any means, but I wonder if it will really get much worse from here. Let me have it... The problem with your logic is that this isn't a typical hurricane. Sandy was a pure warm core hurricane, but part of the reason she's turned NW is b/c of the amplifying upper level trough capturing her. The trough overhead is pulling her NW in conjunction w/ the blocking feature east of New England. Both synoptic features are directing Sandy toward NJ. The capturing of Sandy by the ULL will cause her to transition into a hybrid upon landfall, when the wind field will enlarge, and her intensity will not weaken much until several hours after landfall, due to the incredible upper jet dynamics. As others have noted, the strongest winds will occur from now until midnight, after landful, as we get the best transfer of winds from 850-900mb down to the surface. This is NOT a normal hurricane you'd see in the tropics or even your 'normal' Northeast hurricane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paweatherguy1 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Can we please stop with the "winds will not get any higher posts" when there are mets saying they will. I find all of this fascinating, and am reading from afar so I don't like to see the "bust" posts all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 I asked a question. Did you understand the question you put in bold? Read the threads. The answers to all of your questions are in there. And it's raining harder than it has all day up here. Had our biggest gust about 10 minutes ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 In the last 20 minutes an interesting effect has started here...we can hear crazy winds at the tree tops but the lower topped trees are not bending as much....definitely appears there is a bit less mixing to the immediate surface...very odd. You can hear an absolute roar through the buildings here. It is wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Easily worst weather of the day here in Woodlawn, BX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dosh Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 In the last 20 minutes an interesting effect has started here...we can hear crazy winds at the tree tops but the lower topped trees are not bending as much....definitely appears there is a bit less mixing to the immediate surface...very odd. Most likely because the convective feed of rain while sandy was over the gulf stream has shut off. We're now in the dry pocket of an insanely flipped-over noreaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Upton is dead on winds are increasing here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds have switched more E here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
goldalex Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Winds have switched more E here Same here. Still blowing hard too. Strongest sustained of all day actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Starting to get wild here. Seems like the winds are more consistent and/or mixing down more effectively with much less breaks between strong gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 Been personally experiencing some really strong gusts 850mb winds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted October 29, 2012 Share Posted October 29, 2012 My cousin's restaurant front in Barnaget, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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