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Hurricane Sandy OBS


SquatchinNY

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Just got back from work, very gusty winds so far at home. Tonight should be somthing.

I work in Lyndhurst, NJ, and right near the river and it got flooded during Irene. This time, they sandbagged the whole workforce area, and I fear the surge is going to be significanly worse than Irene or Floyd, whereas less rain flooding itself.

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12Z GFS/NAM and 14Z RAP Skew-Ts and Bufkit profiles for the NYC area unanimously forecast low level lapse rates to steepen dramatically after 22Z. By 02-03Z, they're near dry-adiabatic from the surface to 850. This should allow easy mixing of some of those 70-80kt winds to the surface in frequent gusts, especially in any bands of showers.

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You can start to see some enhanced precipitation around the center now on KDIX radar and the satellite imagery is very impressive.

it appears quite clear to me that NJ will feel much more of an effect than anyone on LI. PLEASE feel free to correct me and explain why I am wrong...wanna learn here

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12Z GFS/NAM and 14Z RAP Skew-Ts and Bufkit profiles for the NYC area unanimously forecast low level lapse rates to steepen dramatically after 22Z. By 02-03Z, they're near dry-adiabatic from the surface to 850. This should allow easy mixing of some of those 70-80kt winds to the surface in frequent gusts, especially in any bands of showers.

Whoah those soundings are scary.

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True..true, I'm just surprised at how low the number is right now. I'll wait until after peak winds though to see how many, I just don't see as many people as some expect that's all.

I do not think 1 customer = 1 person. A customer can be a household. One customer can represent several people. With over 30k customers without power, I imagine that means at least 100k people in the dark right now.

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Some people were over exaggerating the power outages here on LI. I still have power, only 34,000 people don't out of 3,000,000 customers. If the power would have gone out, it would have already IMO.

It is actually 34,000 CUSTOMERS. LIPA has about 1,000,000 CUSTOMERS. 22,000 CUSTOMERS have lost power in the last three hours. I believe during Irene there were between 400,000 and 500,000 Customers without power.

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If this comes in farther south, say near Cape May, I wonder if that will affect the surge in the NYC area?

I think it will even out, even if it does come in near ACY which it appears to be wanting to do right now. The NAM has 40-50kt sustained southeast winds right into the S Shore of LI and NY Harbor after the storm is already inland. That would be a disaster with high tide at 8pm.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~fxg1/ETANE9_18z/f30.gif

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Well Sandy took my weather station offline already in Muttontown. All cablevision services are dead at my parent's house for over an hour. Thankfully Directv is working for them, but no internet is a bummer, really wanted to see my data as the storm got closer. Highest gust over an hour ago was 44MPH, I am sure it's over 50MPH now.

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